Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Kioxia +650% YTD, and the most crowded name on the TSE, likely to face sharp selling at the open.</li>
<li>Optical fiber names Furukawa, SEI and Fujikura all in the firing line along with MLCC plays Taiyo Yuden, Murata and TDK.</li>
<li>Expect a sharp rotation back to domestic defensives and the software plays.</li>
</ul>


Kioxia +650% YTD, and the most crowded name on the TSE, likely to face sharp selling at the open.
Optical fiber names Furukawa, SEI and Fujikura all in the firing line along with MLCC plays Taiyo Yuden, Murata and TDK.
Expect a sharp rotation back to domestic defensives and the software plays.


Japan Morning Connection: AI Rally Faces a Correction After SOX Has Biggest Drop in 6 Years

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>Japan's Nikkei rose +3.6% this week, led by companies supplying copper foil, optical fibre and semiconductors directly into AI data centre buildouts.</li>
<li>The rally is backed by real earnings: double-digit profit growth, raised guidance and dividend hikes across materials and components makers serving AI infrastructure. </li>
<li>Rising copper and gold prices are boosting earnings forecasts for miners while reinforcing a multi-year supply constraint narrative for materials suppliers serving electrification and AI infrastructure.</li>
</ul>


Japan's Nikkei rose +3.6% this week, led by companies supplying copper foil, optical fibre and semiconductors directly into AI data centre buildouts.
The rally is backed by real earnings: double-digit profit growth, raised guidance and dividend hikes across materials and components makers serving AI infrastructure. 
Rising copper and gold prices are boosting earnings forecasts for miners while reinforcing a multi-year supply constraint narrative for materials suppliers serving electrification and AI infrastructure.


Japan Strategy Weekly | The AI Age Plumber

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jx-advanced-metals-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44346:1" rel="noopener">JX Advanced Metals (5016)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capcom-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1459:1" rel="noopener">Capcom Co Ltd (9697)</a> replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/konica-minolta-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17287:1" rel="noopener">Konica Minolta (4902)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/archion-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47577:1" rel="noopener">Archion (543A)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kanadevia-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14969:1" rel="noopener">Kanadevia (7004)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 Index</a>.</li>
<li>With the new methodology, the index committee appears to be focused on adding stocks with high liquidity and restoring sector balance to align the index with the methodology.</li>
<li>With sector imbalance still rife, there could be 3 more changes for the index in March with more inclusions from the Information and Communications sector likely.</li>
</ul>



JX Advanced Metals (5016), Kokusai Electric (6525) and Capcom Co Ltd (9697) replace Konica Minolta (4902), Archion (543A) and Kanadevia (7004) in the Nikkei 225 Index.
With the new methodology, the index committee appears to be focused on adding stocks with high liquidity and restoring sector balance to align the index with the methodology.
With sector imbalance still rife, there could be 3 more changes for the index in March with more inclusions from the Information and Communications sector likely.


Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Capcom (9697 JP) Gets a Boss-Level Upgrade

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

<ul>
<li>Precious and energy-transition metals lead as structural scarcity, central-bank demand, and electrification support gold, silver, copper, aluminium, zinc, and rare earths into 2026.</li>
<li>Bulks and hydrocarbons lag with weak China demand, oversupply, and compressed margins across iron ore, nickel, steel, coal, and crude, keeping the segment firmly underweight.</li>
<li>Top Asia exposures include Zijin, Korea Zinc, Hindustan Zinc, Vedanta, CMOC, JXAM, SMM, Mitsui, Jiangxi Copper, NALCO, Hongqiao, Hindalco, Shenghe, and CNRE.</li>
</ul>


Precious and energy-transition metals lead as structural scarcity, central-bank demand, and electrification support gold, silver, copper, aluminium, zinc, and rare earths into 2026.
Bulks and hydrocarbons lag with weak China demand, oversupply, and compressed margins across iron ore, nickel, steel, coal, and crude, keeping the segment firmly underweight.
Top Asia exposures include Zijin, Korea Zinc, Hindustan Zinc, Vedanta, CMOC, JXAM, SMM, Mitsui, Jiangxi Copper, NALCO, Hongqiao, Hindalco, Shenghe, and CNRE.


Asia Metals Outlook 2026: Scarcity Favours Gold, Copper, Aluminium

<ul>
<li>Japanese equities rebounded strongly this week, with the Nikkei 225 up 3.3% and TOPIX up 2.4%, nearly reversing the prior week’s sharp losses.</li>
<li>This week's top performer was Toppan Printing due to strong interest in its “Double View Film” for solar panels and a new data-driven customer-experience service, highlighting innovation and growth potential.</li>
<li>A quieter week for Activists. Dalton increased its Anicom stake to 9.5%, signalling confidence in the pet insurer’s stable growth and potential capital returns.</li>
</ul>


Japanese equities rebounded strongly this week, with the Nikkei 225 up 3.3% and TOPIX up 2.4%, nearly reversing the prior week’s sharp losses.
This week's top performer was Toppan Printing due to strong interest in its “Double View Film” for solar panels and a new data-driven customer-experience service, highlighting innovation and growth potential.
A quieter week for Activists. Dalton increased its Anicom stake to 9.5%, signalling confidence in the pet insurer’s stable growth and potential capital returns.


Japan Strategy Weekly | Thanksgiving Rally

Japan

Mitsui Kinzoku Company, Limited provides fabricated metal materials. The Company manufactures non-ferrous metal such as aluminum and copper alloys, as well as produces transformable products, electronic materials, industrial chemicals, and automobile parts. Mitsui Kinzoku serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Mitsui Kinzoku Company (5706 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: AI Rally Faces a Correction After SOX Has Biggest Drop in 6 Years

SOX worst day in 6 years leaves Japan's AI names facing a tough open. Expect a sharp rotation back to domestic defensives and the software plays.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Strategy Weekly | The AI Age Plumber

Japan's Nikkei surged on the back of strong earnings and rising copper and gold prices, driven by companies supplying materials for AI...

Mark Chadwick

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Capcom (9697 JP) Gets a Boss-Level Upgrade

The Nikkei225 Index rebalances at the close today. Positioning has increased in nearly all adds/deletes since announcement of the changes. JX...

Brian Freitas

Asia Metals Outlook 2026: Scarcity Favours Gold, Copper, Aluminium

Precious and energy-transition metals set to outperform bulks and hydrocarbons through 2026, with top Asia exposures including Zijin, Korea Zinc,...

Rahul Jain

Japan Strategy Weekly | Thanksgiving Rally

Japanese equities rebounded strongly this week, led by Toppan Printing's innovative products and Dalton's confidence in Anicom's growth potential.

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: AI Rally Faces a Correction After SOX Has Biggest Drop in 6 Years

SOX worst day in 6 years leaves Japan's AI names facing a tough open. Expect a sharp rotation back to domestic defensives and the software plays.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Strategy Weekly | The AI Age Plumber

​Japan's Nikkei surged on the back of strong earnings and rising copper and gold prices, driven by companies supplying materials for AI...

Mark Chadwick

Nikkei 225 Index Rebalance: Capcom (9697 JP) Gets a Boss-Level Upgrade

The Nikkei225 Index rebalances at the close today. Positioning has increased in nearly all adds/deletes since announcement of the changes. JX...

Brian Freitas

Asia Metals Outlook 2026: Scarcity Favours Gold, Copper, Aluminium

​Precious and energy-transition metals set to outperform bulks and hydrocarbons through 2026, with top Asia exposures including Zijin, Korea Zinc,...

Rahul Jain

Japan Strategy Weekly | Thanksgiving Rally

​Japanese equities rebounded strongly this week, led by Toppan Printing's innovative products and Dalton's confidence in Anicom's growth potential.

Mark Chadwick

Japan's Nikkei surged on the back of strong earnings and rising copper and gold prices, driven by companies supplying materials for AI...

Precious and energy-transition metals set to outperform bulks and hydrocarbons through 2026, with top Asia exposures including Zijin, Korea Zinc,...

Japanese equities rebounded strongly this week, led by Toppan Printing's innovative products and Dalton's confidence in Anicom's growth potential.