IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oishi-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17370:1" rel="noopener">Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB)</a> IFA opines that shareholders approve <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)</a>’s delisting tender offer of THB59.00 per share at the EGM on 3 May.</li>
<li>The offer is conditional on Oishi shareholder approval which requires 75% approval by total outstanding shares and &lt;10% rejection by total outstanding shares.</li>
<li>The offer is attractive to the IFA’s fair value of THB53.48-56.42 per share. At last close and the end-July completion, the gross and annualised spread is 2.2% and 8.1%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB) IFA opines that shareholders approve Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)’s delisting tender offer of THB59.00 per share at the EGM on 3 May.
The offer is conditional on Oishi shareholder approval which requires 75% approval by total outstanding shares and &lt;10% rejection by total outstanding shares.
The offer is attractive to the IFA’s fair value of THB53.48-56.42 per share. At last close and the end-July completion, the gross and annualised spread is 2.2% and 8.1%, respectively.


Oishi Group (OISHI TB): IFA Recommends the THB59.00 Delisting Offer

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Nine stocks remain, and five new join the fray</li>
<li>Since inception, it has gained 105% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 38%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Nine stocks remain, and five new join the fray
Since inception, it has gained 105% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 38%


The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 39

<ul>
<li>Dominus Capital has lobbed a voluntary conditional cash offer of S$0.77 per share. The offer price represents a 15.8% premium to the unaffected price of A$0.665 (28 December).</li>
<li>The offer is conditional on the offeror and concert parties hold not less than 90% of the voting rights. Irrecovables represent 77.41% of outstanding shares.</li>
<li>56% of shareholders ex. irrecovables are required to accept the offer to meet the 90% threshold. While the offer is a modest premium to historical share prices, it is feasible. </li>
</ul>


Dominus Capital has lobbed a voluntary conditional cash offer of S$0.77 per share. The offer price represents a 15.8% premium to the unaffected price of A$0.665 (28 December).
The offer is conditional on the offeror and concert parties hold not less than 90% of the voting rights. Irrecovables represent 77.41% of outstanding shares.
56% of shareholders ex. irrecovables are required to accept the offer to meet the 90% threshold. While the offer is a modest premium to historical share prices, it is feasible. 


Koufu’s Voluntary Conditional Offer by Founding Shareholders

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a> is a Thai listed global food company and is a leading producer of tuna and seafood. The company saw a recent sell-off due to a COVID-19 outbreak at the Mahachai seafood market in Samut Sakhon province, which seems unjustified since it has little exposure. 
The company has confirmed that its own seafood facilities in Thailand are enclosed and it has seen little impact from this latest outbreak. 
As of 6th January, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a> had tested 85% of employees, or 23,630 workers, in Samut Sakhon province, where a cluster of cases emerged at the market late last year.
The company has not yet shut any plants in the Samut Sakhon Province but a two-week shutdown could impact about 2% of total revenue.
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a> booked record earnings of Bt2.06bn in 9M2020 net profit growth of +50% YoY and +20% QoQ on the back of organic sales growth of +9.3% on volume growth of +5.2%, despite COVID-19.
It also saw significant loss reductions at Red Lobster which was acquired in 2019 and has successfully completed a restructuring of the company's shareholding structure bringing in Seafood Alliance as the second-largest shareholder. 
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>'s valuations look relatively attractive from a historic perspective, with the company trading on 11.6x FY21E and 10.7x FY22E PER, with a flat EPS for FY21E. We continue to take a positive view on the company, especially given its global credentials.

Thai Union Group (TU TB) is a Thai listed global food company and is a leading producer of tuna and seafood. The company saw a recent sell-off due to a COVID-19 outbreak at the Mahachai seafood market in Samut Sakhon province, which seems unjustified since it has little exposure. 
The company has confirmed that its own seafood facilities in Thailand are enclosed and it has seen little impact from this latest outbreak. 
As of 6th January, Thai Union Group (TU TB) had tested 85% of employees, or 23,630 workers, in Samut Sakhon province, where a cluster of cases emerged at the market late last year.
The company has not yet shut any plants in the Samut Sakhon Province but a two-week shutdown could impact about 2% of total revenue.
Thai Union Group (TU TB) booked record earnings of Bt2.06bn in 9M2020 net profit growth of +50% YoY and +20% QoQ on the back of organic sales growth of +9.3% on volume growth of +5.2%, despite COVID-19.
It also saw significant loss reductions at Red Lobster which was acquired in 2019 and has successfully completed a restructuring of the company's shareholding structure bringing in Seafood Alliance as the second-largest shareholder. 
Thai Union Group (TU TB)'s valuations look relatively attractive from a historic perspective, with the company trading on 11.6x FY21E and 10.7x FY22E PER, with a flat EPS for FY21E. We continue to take a positive view on the company, especially given its global credentials.

Thai Union Group (TU TB) - Enter the Chicken of the Sea

Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Asean (Thailand) Focused Independent Research

M Corp Review

M Corp is led by Athaporn Arayasantiparb who served as Head of Research for UOB and ANZ in Thailand and was an award-winning telecoms analyst at UBS in 2010 (AsiaMoney Thailand category) and Regional Strategist for DMG in Singapore. Prior to that, he also served as Kasikornbank credit analyst and scholar. He has a total work experience of 17 years, of which 14 were in research and 4 in research management roles. He started his career as an engineer for PTT and currently manages family investments. He holds an MBA from Stern (NYU) and CFA Charter since 2006. Apart from IPO Radar, which focuses on future listings, MCorp Review also provides six on-going thematic series ranked by frequency in descending order, namely: 1) Silicon Stories (technology) 2) Sathorn Series (financial services) 3) Thai-Coons (billionaire origin stories) 4) Reality Check (data-driven, investigative) 5) Thai Media Spotlight; and 6) Thai Macro Watch (global market drivers).

Five interesting recent news/trends that could impact Thai equities include:<ul>
<li>
Lobster Alliance. Thai Union buys out Golden Gate and invites Seafood Alliance (MINT and MK executives) to invest in Red Lobster.</li>
<li>
CP All reveals its expansion plans in Laos shortly after it gained exclusive rights to expand into Cambodia. Thailand's largest retailer is fast becoming a regional player.</li>
<li>
Property SOS. Thailand's struggling property sector take measures to survive. Raimon gets Singapore group Mesa Thai as new investors, while Sansiri cuts prices to draw cash flows.</li>
<li>
The Venezuela connection. America slaps a sanction on TASCO for using crude from Venezuela, prompting TASCO to close down its KBM refinery which accounts for half of its output.</li>
<li>
CPF acquires CP Group's Chinese swine business, valued at Bt131bn, through a share swap with its non-listed Chia Tai business. The share price jumped 7%, but this is a rather weak response, considering that CP Foods could be getting a 50% premium for its swaps.</li>
</ul>

Five interesting recent news/trends that could impact Thai equities include:

Lobster Alliance. Thai Union buys out Golden Gate and invites Seafood Alliance (MINT and MK executives) to invest in Red Lobster.

CP All reveals its expansion plans in Laos shortly after it gained exclusive rights to expand into Cambodia. Thailand's largest retailer is fast becoming a regional player.

Property SOS. Thailand's struggling property sector take measures to survive. Raimon gets Singapore group Mesa Thai as new investors, while Sansiri cuts prices to draw cash flows.

The Venezuela connection. America slaps a sanction on TASCO for using crude from Venezuela, prompting TASCO to close down its KBM refinery which accounts for half of its output.

CPF acquires CP Group's Chinese swine business, valued at Bt131bn, through a share swap with its non-listed Chia Tai business. The share price jumped 7%, but this is a rather weak response, considering that CP Foods could be getting a 50% premium for its swaps.


Snippets #45: Lobster Alliance, CP All Goes to Laos

Thailand

MK Restaurant Group Public Company Limited engages in the sale of food and beverages through restaurants, primarily operating sukiyaki and Japanese restaurants under brands like MK, Yayoi, Miyazaki, and Hakata. The company also provides training services and manufactures and distributes food products. It was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

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MK Restaurant Group (M TB)

Oishi Group (OISHI TB): IFA Recommends the THB59.00 Delisting Offer

The THB59.00 offer is attractive. The IFA’s fair value is THB53.48-56.42 per share. At the last close and the end-July completion, the annualised...

Arun George

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 39

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Nine stocks remain, five new join...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Koufu’s Voluntary Conditional Offer by Founding Shareholders

Koufu has received a voluntary conditional cash offer of S$0.77 per share. The offer is conditional meeting the 90% voting threshold. Despite the...

Arun George

Thai Union Group (TU TB) - Enter the Chicken of the Sea

Thai Union is truly a global food provider, with its leading position in both canned tuna and chilled and frozen seafoods. The impact of the latest...

Angus Mackintosh

Snippets #45: Lobster Alliance, CP All Goes to Laos

Thai Union forms an alliance with restaurant honchos MK and Minor. While CP All expands into Laos, its parent company CP Foods consolidates its...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

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