IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mmg-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13961:1" rel="noopener">Mmg Ltd (1208 HK)</a> will raise HK$9.1bn (US$1.2bn) through 2 rights shares for every 5 existing shares rights offering. The rights price is HK$2.62, a 24.7% discount to the TERP.</li>
<li>The rights proceeds will be used to repay existing debt, which will allow it to use other funds to better support the ongoing development of the operating mines.</li>
<li>MMG shares should continue to decline heading into the ex-rights date. The shares go ex-rights on 11 June, and the rights start trading from 24 June to 2 July (inclusive).</li>
</ul>



Mmg Ltd (1208 HK) will raise HK$9.1bn (US$1.2bn) through 2 rights shares for every 5 existing shares rights offering. The rights price is HK$2.62, a 24.7% discount to the TERP.
The rights proceeds will be used to repay existing debt, which will allow it to use other funds to better support the ongoing development of the operating mines.
MMG shares should continue to decline heading into the ex-rights date. The shares go ex-rights on 11 June, and the rights start trading from 24 June to 2 July (inclusive).


MMG (1208 HK): US$1.2bn Highly Dilutive Rights Issue

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mmg-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13961:1" rel="noopener">Mmg Ltd (1208 HK)</a> today announced a 2:5 Rights Offering to raise US$1.15bn at HK$2.62/share in order to pay down debt from their recent Botswanan copper mine acquisition. </li>
<li>It was a sizeable acquisition, and the near-term EV/EBITDA of the acquisition is 10x or above. The longer-term EV/EBITDA is in the 3s based on expansion later this decade.</li>
<li>The Rights Offering is underwritten, supported by its 67.5% owner. SOUTHBOUND holds 10+%. There are short dynamics, arb dynamics, "don't wanna spend more" dynamics. There's a path here.</li>
</ul>



Mmg Ltd (1208 HK) today announced a 2:5 Rights Offering to raise US$1.15bn at HK$2.62/share in order to pay down debt from their recent Botswanan copper mine acquisition. 
It was a sizeable acquisition, and the near-term EV/EBITDA of the acquisition is 10x or above. The longer-term EV/EBITDA is in the 3s based on expansion later this decade.
The Rights Offering is underwritten, supported by its 67.5% owner. SOUTHBOUND holds 10+%. There are short dynamics, arb dynamics, "don't wanna spend more" dynamics. There's a path here.


MMG (1208 HK) - $1.1bn+ Rights Offering - Expect Regular Rights Trading Dynamics

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A weekly review of recent events impacting our investment themes</li>
<li>Regulators in seemingly global coordination raise margin requirements for certain commodities </li>
<li>Federal Reserve talks tough but the ingredients for inflation already baked in the cake.</li>
</ul>


A weekly review of recent events impacting our investment themes
Regulators in seemingly global coordination raise margin requirements for certain commodities 
Federal Reserve talks tough but the ingredients for inflation already baked in the cake.


Overview #5 – Overheated Commodities Get Some of the Steam Taken Out of Them

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 10th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BOC, Li Auto, Meituan, HSBC, Tencent, CNOOC, Kuaishou Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 10th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for BOC, Li Auto, Meituan, HSBC, Tencent, CNOOC, Kuaishou Technology.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 10th): BOC, Li Auto, Meituan, HSBC, Tencent, CNOOC, Kuaishou Technology

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BHP’s bid for Anglo American highlights the value currently in the mining sector</li>
<li>Chinese material stocks outperforming and the world is following suit</li>
<li>Speculative buying exhaustion may prompt a correction in copper and provide a good entry point.</li>
</ul>


BHP’s bid for Anglo American highlights the value currently in the mining sector
Chinese material stocks outperforming and the world is following suit
Speculative buying exhaustion may prompt a correction in copper and provide a good entry point.


"There’s Gold in Them Thar Hills" – Value in the Diversified Mining Sector

Australia

MMG Limited is a mid-tier global resources company which explores, develops and mines base metal projects around the world.  The Company currently owns and operates the Century, Golden Grove and Rosebery mines in Australia, the Kinsevere mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and the LXML Sepon mine in Laos.

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MMG Ltd (MMG AU)

MMG (1208 HK): US$1.2bn Highly Dilutive Rights Issue

The rights price is HK$2.62, a 24.7% discount to the TERP. Precedents suggest that MMG shares should continue to decline heading into the ex-rights...

Arun George

MMG (1208 HK) - $1.1bn+ Rights Offering - Expect Regular Rights Trading Dynamics

Copper miner MMG (1208 HK) bought another copper mine this spring and needs to pay off the bridge loan. Thus a rights offering. It starts cheap....

Travis Lundy

Overview #5 – Overheated Commodities Get Some of the Steam Taken Out of Them

Global regulators increase margin requirements for certain commodities, while the Federal Reserve belatedly warns of inflation risks.

Rikki Malik

Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 10th): BOC, Li Auto, Meituan, HSBC, Tencent, CNOOC, Kuaishou Technology

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for BOC, Li Auto, Meituan, HSBC, Tencent, CNOOC, Kuaishou...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

"There’s Gold in Them Thar Hills" – Value in the Diversified Mining Sector

BHP bid for Anglo highlights value in the mining sector. The long-term underperformance of the sector is in the process of being reversed and has...

Rikki Malik

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MMG (1208 HK): US$1.2bn Highly Dilutive Rights Issue

The rights price is HK$2.62, a 24.7% discount to the TERP. Precedents suggest that MMG shares should continue to decline heading into the ex-rights...

Arun George

MMG (1208 HK) - $1.1bn+ Rights Offering - Expect Regular Rights Trading Dynamics

Copper miner MMG (1208 HK) bought another copper mine this spring and needs to pay off the bridge loan. Thus a rights offering. It starts cheap....

Travis Lundy

Overview #5 – Overheated Commodities Get Some of the Steam Taken Out of Them

​Global regulators increase margin requirements for certain commodities, while the Federal Reserve belatedly warns of inflation risks.

Rikki Malik

Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 10th): BOC, Li Auto, Meituan, HSBC, Tencent, CNOOC, Kuaishou Technology

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for BOC, Li Auto, Meituan, HSBC, Tencent, CNOOC, Kuaishou...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

"There’s Gold in Them Thar Hills" – Value in the Diversified Mining Sector

​BHP bid for Anglo highlights value in the mining sector. The long-term underperformance of the sector is in the process of being reversed and has...

Rikki Malik

Global regulators increase margin requirements for certain commodities, while the Federal Reserve belatedly warns of inflation risks.

BHP bid for Anglo highlights value in the mining sector. The long-term underperformance of the sector is in the process of being reversed and has...