Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>While there may be still be some overhang once the rights shares start trading, this is a good entry point</li>
<li>Applications for 6.4 Billion excess rights shares received from 11 applications</li>
<li>Rights shares will start trading on Tuesday 16th of July</li>
</ul>


While there may be still be some overhang once the rights shares start trading, this is a good entry point
Applications for 6.4 Billion excess rights shares received from 11 applications
Rights shares will start trading on Tuesday 16th of July


MMG Limited (1208.HK) Rights Issue - 98.18% Taken Up

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mmg-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13961:1" rel="noopener">MMG (1208 HK)</a> rights, designed to raise US$1.15bn to pay off loans to the parent for the purchase of a large copper asset, start trading 24 June 2024. </li>
<li>There is some risk up for grabs, and it is likely to trade according to standard Hong Kong Rights Trading Dynamics. Shorts are down somewhat, but covering should be expected. </li>
<li>There is path-dependency to the Rights Trading, and while they trade for 7 trading days through Tuesday next, one should expect the volume to trade this week. </li>
</ul>


The MMG (1208 HK) rights, designed to raise US$1.15bn to pay off loans to the parent for the purchase of a large copper asset, start trading 24 June 2024. 
There is some risk up for grabs, and it is likely to trade according to standard Hong Kong Rights Trading Dynamics. Shorts are down somewhat, but covering should be expected. 
There is path-dependency to the Rights Trading, and while they trade for 7 trading days through Tuesday next, one should expect the volume to trade this week. 


<ul>
<li>Copper and other base metals have been rising all year</li>
<li>The Trump tariff bump is not the only reason for this</li>
<li>Much less speculative positioning in futures vs previous peak meaning real world demand is the driver</li>
</ul>


Copper and other base metals have been rising all year
The Trump tariff bump is not the only reason for this
Much less speculative positioning in futures vs previous peak meaning real world demand is the driver


Tactical Trading -Revisiting MMG as Copper and Other Base Metals Perk Up

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Declining Chinese inventory and rising premiums bode well for the copper price.</li>
<li>Speculative interest, as per the COT reports, is low, providing room for new buyers.</li>
<li>Infrastructure and defence spending are on the rise in most regions of the world</li>
</ul>


Declining Chinese inventory and rising premiums bode well for the copper price.
Speculative interest, as per the COT reports, is low, providing room for new buyers.
Infrastructure and defence spending are on the rise in most regions of the world


From Rust to Riches: The Next Copper Boom

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

<ul>
<li>Copper retreated by more than 5% due to China's weak print on TSF. The plenum's lack of concrete stimulus measures also did not help matters. </li>
<li>Check out our initiation, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/copper-primer-what-we-like-about-copper-and-what-to-play" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:141017" rel="noopener">Copper Primer: What We Like About Copper And What to Play</a>, where we provide our long-term bullish outlook on copper. </li>
<li>Also, see our initiation, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/southern-copper-in-a-league-of-its-own" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:139839" rel="noopener">Southern Copper: In a League of Its Own</a>. The company reported a stellar Q2 FY24, beating the street estimates by 20%.</li>
</ul>


Copper retreated by more than 5% due to China's weak print on TSF. The plenum's lack of concrete stimulus measures also did not help matters. 
Check out our initiation, Copper Primer: What We Like About Copper And What to Play, where we provide our long-term bullish outlook on copper. 
Also, see our initiation, Southern Copper: In a League of Its Own. The company reported a stellar Q2 FY24, beating the street estimates by 20%.


Copper Tracker July 22nd, 2024: Physical/​Equity Screens And Trades, Copper Weak

Australia

MMG Limited is a mid-tier global resources company which explores, develops and mines base metal projects around the world.  The Company currently owns and operates the Century, Golden Grove and Rosebery mines in Australia, the Kinsevere mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and the LXML Sepon mine in Laos.

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MMG Ltd (MMG AU)

MMG Limited (1208.HK) Rights Issue - 98.18% Taken Up

Good entry point for investors as excess rights shares receive strong demand, trading to begin on July 16th, and copper has had its correction

Rikki Malik

MMG (1208 HK) Rights Trading Dynamics

It is now time to buy the dip on MMG vs Peers. The liquidation selling of Rights should be done, and this stock is cheap vs assets and earnings...

Travis Lundy

Tactical Trading -Revisiting MMG as Copper and Other Base Metals Perk Up

Base metals, including copper, have been on the rise due to factors beyond the "Trump tariff bump," driven by increased real world demand and not...

Rikki Malik

From Rust to Riches: The Next Copper Boom

Copper has now broken decisively through $5/lb on new cycle lows for the USD last night. $1208 MMG Ltd is nearing $4 resistance, and we would take...

Rikki Malik

Copper Tracker July 22nd, 2024: Physical/Equity Screens And Trades, Copper Weak

This brief insight summarizes Copper's performance and equities on our screens. We highlight our research and trades to explore.

Sameer Taneja

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MMG Limited (1208.HK) Rights Issue - 98.18% Taken Up

​Good entry point for investors as excess rights shares receive strong demand, trading to begin on July 16th, and copper has had its correction

Rikki Malik

MMG (1208 HK) Rights Trading Dynamics

It is now time to buy the dip on MMG vs Peers. The liquidation selling of Rights should be done, and this stock is cheap vs assets and earnings...

Travis Lundy

Tactical Trading -Revisiting MMG as Copper and Other Base Metals Perk Up

​Base metals, including copper, have been on the rise due to factors beyond the "Trump tariff bump," driven by increased real world demand and not...

Rikki Malik

From Rust to Riches: The Next Copper Boom

Copper has now broken decisively through $5/lb on new cycle lows for the USD last night. $1208 MMG Ltd is nearing $4 resistance, and we would take...

Rikki Malik

Copper Tracker July 22nd, 2024: Physical/​Equity Screens And Trades, Copper Weak

This brief insight summarizes Copper's performance and equities on our screens. We highlight our research and trades to explore.

Sameer Taneja

Good entry point for investors as excess rights shares receive strong demand, trading to begin on July 16th, and copper has had its correction

Base metals, including copper, have been on the rise due to factors beyond the "Trump tariff bump," driven by increased real world demand and not...

Copper Tracker July 22nd, 2024: Physical/Equity Screens And Trades, Copper Weak