Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mog-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36763:1" rel="noopener">MOG Holdings (1942 HK)</a> has been skyrocketing in price since the start of the year. Remarkably, there is little change in the number of shares that trade daily.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mog-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36763:1" rel="noopener">MOG Holdings (1942 HK)</a> has a market cap of US$6.44bn and trades at a modest Price/Sales ratio of 75x and an equally modest Price to Book Value of 89.5x.</li>
<li>Liquidity has improved to the point where the stock could be added to some indices. However, there is a precedent of stocks not being added following market participant feedback.</li>
</ul>



MOG Holdings (1942 HK) has been skyrocketing in price since the start of the year. Remarkably, there is little change in the number of shares that trade daily.

MOG Holdings (1942 HK) has a market cap of US$6.44bn and trades at a modest Price/Sales ratio of 75x and an equally modest Price to Book Value of 89.5x.
Liquidity has improved to the point where the stock could be added to some indices. However, there is a precedent of stocks not being added following market participant feedback.


MOG Digitech (1942 HK): What the Flow Is Going On?

<ul>
<li>The changes to the LQ45/IDX30 were announced last week and will be implemented Monday. The PSE also announced that there would be no changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">PCOMP INDEX</a> in August.</li>
<li>There are a bunch of review cutoffs on Monday, most notably for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a>, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a> family of indices and the KRX New Deal indices.</li>
<li>There were inflows to China focused ETFs and outflows from Taiwan and Korea focused ETFs during the week.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the LQ45/IDX30 were announced last week and will be implemented Monday. The PSE also announced that there would be no changes for the PCOMP INDEX in August.
There are a bunch of review cutoffs on Monday, most notably for the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX), STAR50 INDEX, the NIFTY family of indices and the KRX New Deal indices.
There were inflows to China focused ETFs and outflows from Taiwan and Korea focused ETFs during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: LQ45/IDX30, FXI, New Deal, KOSPI, KQ150, LG Energy, IN Float, TTMT

<ul>
<li>The changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ150 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI300 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> and a bunch of other onshore China indices were implemented last week.</li>
<li>The coming week has a lot of rebalance implementations on Friday with the S&amp;P/ASX family and the MVIS family, among others.</li>
<li>AUM for the Yuanta/P-shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF (0050 TT) has continued to increase with big inflows in the last week.</li>
</ul>


The changes for the KOSPI2 INDEX, KOSDAQ150 Index, CSI300 Index, STAR50 INDEX and a bunch of other onshore China indices were implemented last week.
The coming week has a lot of rebalance implementations on Friday with the S&amp;P/ASX family and the MVIS family, among others.
AUM for the Yuanta/P-shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF (0050 TT) has continued to increase with big inflows in the last week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, GDXJ, KRX New Deal, AMFI, Amman Mineral, Infratil

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into TraHK, Xpeng, SMIC, CSOP Hang Seng ETF, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into TraHK, Xpeng, SMIC, CSOP Hang Seng ETF, Ping An Insurance.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (November): Five Months of Inflows Despite New Low

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat brand-spanking-new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND flows the last several weeks clearly indicated a momentum move. The top net sells were all down. The top buys were all up. This week that trend moderated significantly.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND breaks a 17-week inflow streak with HK$2.1bn of net outflows entirely driven, it appears, by relatively few accounts punting large size in local (HK-listed) ETFs</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat brand-spanking-new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.
SOUTHBOUND flows the last several weeks clearly indicated a momentum move. The top net sells were all down. The top buys were all up. This week that trend moderated significantly.
SOUTHBOUND breaks a 17-week inflow streak with HK$2.1bn of net outflows entirely driven, it appears, by relatively few accounts punting large size in local (HK-listed) ETFs


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND (To 17 Nov 23); High-Div SOEs Pause, Tech + ETFs Break 16wk Inflow Streak

China

MOG Digitech Holdings Limited operates as a holdings company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in business-to-business RMB hardware trading, digital RMB payment, scene-based ecological digitalization, optical prescription network, and optical products businesses. MOG Digitech Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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MOG Digitech Holdings (1942 HK)

MOG Digitech (1942 HK): What the Flow Is Going On?

MIND THE GAP! The stock could open lower today and there will be unwinding of pre-positioning. There could be value in the stock IF there is...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: LQ45/IDX30, FXI, New Deal, KOSPI, KQ150, LG Energy, IN Float, TTMT

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, GDXJ, KRX New Deal, AMFI, Amman Mineral, Infratil

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows (November): Five Months of Inflows Despite New Low

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for November and highlight flows for TraHK, Xpeng, SMIC, CSOP Hang Seng ETF, Ping An Insurance.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND (To 17 Nov 23); High-Div SOEs Pause, Tech + ETFs Break 16wk Inflow Streak

HK Connect (SOUTHBOUND) saw its first net sell week in four months this past week, with the net sell driven by large ETF sell flows from a small...

Travis Lundy

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