Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>We highlight several positive developments that have occurred since last week’s <em>Int’l Compass </em>report, all of which continue to support our overall constructive outlook. Last week we noted Europe’s STOXX 500 was on the cusp of a breakout above 4040; we got the breakout. WTI and Brent crude oil also broke above key multi-year resistance at $67 and $70, respectively. The MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE indexes each hit new all-time highs and remain in uptrends. The MSCI Emerging Markets index (EEM-US) bullishly inflected above short-term resistance at $55.35 and RS is reversing the downtrend. These are all bullish signals for global equities, and our constructive outlook remains appropriate.</p>

We highlight several positive developments that have occurred since last week’s Int’l Compass report, all of which continue to support our overall constructive outlook. Last week we noted Europe’s STOXX 500 was on the cusp of a breakout above 4040; we got the breakout. WTI and Brent crude oil also broke above key multi-year resistance at $67 and $70, respectively. The MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE indexes each hit new all-time highs and remain in uptrends. The MSCI Emerging Markets index (EEM-US) bullishly inflected above short-term resistance at $55.35 and RS is reversing the downtrend. These are all bullish signals for global equities, and our constructive outlook remains appropriate.

Major Breakouts For WTI and Brent Crude Oil. Actionable Themes: Energy, Manufacturing, Autos/Parts

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Strong order book in SMRPBV, recovery in India PV/US CV improves visibility MSS' 4QFY21 performance was a beat led by strong performance in India and SMP, as well as lower tax. MSS would continue to benefit from a cyclical recovery in its key businesses as well as from a strong order book and improving efficiencies in SMRPBV. We upgrade our FY22E/FY23E EPS by 16%/20%, factoring in a strong recovery in SMP, India, and PKC, as well as a lower tax rate. We maintain...</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Strong order book in SMRPBV, recovery in India PV/US CV improves visibility MSS' 4QFY21 performance was a beat led by strong performance in India and SMP, as well as lower tax. MSS would continue to benefit from a cyclical recovery in its key businesses as well as from a strong order book and improving efficiencies in SMRPBV. We upgrade our FY22E/FY23E EPS by 16%/20%, factoring in a strong recovery in SMP, India, and PKC, as well as a lower tax rate. We maintain...Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Strong performance in SMP / India; raising estimates

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

<p>MSSL said: (1) Its order-book (lifetime sales of awarded programs) at SMRPBV as of March 2021 were at 15.6 billion (gained 4.5 billion worth new orders in H2FY21) with share of EVs at ~25%. It will be supplying near similar products to electric vehicles.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

MSSL said: (1) Its order-book (lifetime sales of awarded programs) at SMRPBV as of March 2021 were at 15.6 billion (gained 4.5 billion worth new orders in H2FY21) with share of EVs at ~25%. It will be supplying near similar products to electric vehicles.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

MOTHERSUMI: MSSL said: (1) Its order-book (lifetime sales of awarded programs) at SMRPBV as of Ma...

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Edelweiss Broking Limited

Edelweiss

<p>Ready for the next leap</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Ready for the next leapContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Motherson Sumi Systems Ltd Rs Company Update

<p>Our outlook remains unchanged as the weight of the evidence continues to suggest a mixed, but overall constructive market. Cyclical value Sectors continue to be our favorite areas to overweight (i.e., Energy, Materials, Manufacturing, and Transportation), while defensive Sectors also continue to be worth a look (i.e., Staples, Health Care, and Real Estate). </p>

Our outlook remains unchanged as the weight of the evidence continues to suggest a mixed, but overall constructive market. Cyclical value Sectors continue to be our favorite areas to overweight (i.e., Energy, Materials, Manufacturing, and Transportation), while defensive Sectors also continue to be worth a look (i.e., Staples, Health Care, and Real Estate). 

Global Equity Strategy: Value Remains Leadership But Defensives Improving

India

Samvardhana Motherson International Limited manufactures and distributes automotive parts. The Company offers products such as HVAC systems, air intake manifolds, highway vehicle cabins, air compressors, and pedal box assembly. Samvardhana Motherson International markets its products worldwide.

Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd (MOTHERSO IN)

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Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd (MOTHERSO IN)

Major Breakouts For WTI and Brent Crude Oil. Actionable Themes: Energy, Manufacturing, Autos/Parts

Today we highlight several positive developments that have occurred since last week’s Int’l Compass report, all of which continue to support our...

Vermilion Research

Strong performance in SMP / India; raising estimates

Strong order book in SMRPBV, recovery in India PV/US CV improves visibility MSS' 4QFY21 performance was a beat led by strong performance in India...

Motilal Oswal

MOTHERSUMI: MSSL said: (1) Its order-book (lifetime sales of awarded programs) at SMRPBV as of Ma...

MSSL said: (1) Its order-book (lifetime sales of awarded programs) at SMRPBV as of March 2021 were at 15.6 billion (gained 4.5 billion worth new...

ICICI Securities Limited

Motherson Sumi Systems Ltd Rs Company Update

Ready for the next leap

Edelweiss

Global Equity Strategy: Value Remains Leadership But Defensives Improving

Cyclical value Sectors continue to be our favorite areas to overweight, while defensive Sectors also continue to be worth a look (i.e., Staples,...

Vermilion Research

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