Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

CG Power and Industrial Solutions / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 4 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 11 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>From the new listings, 4 stocks are expected to be added to Large Cap, 3 stocks to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.</li>
<li>There are multiple stocks among the AMFI changes that will be changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> and/or Nifty Midcap 150 Index in March.</li>
</ul>


We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 4 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 11 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
From the new listings, 4 stocks are expected to be added to Large Cap, 3 stocks to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.
There are multiple stocks among the AMFI changes that will be changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) and/or Nifty Midcap 150 Index in March.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2024): Recent Large IPOs Lead to Big Downward Shift

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The aggregate performance of the Q1FY25 earnings season was largely on expected lines, with wide divergences across sectors and companies</li><li>Aggregate revenue/PAT grew by 7%/0% YoY and -2%/-8% QoQ across the HSIE coverage (~229 stocks)</li><li>Overall earnings were adversely skewed by the weak performance of OMCs, hence ex-OMCs, revenue/PAT grew by 9%/13% YoY and -2%/-5% QoQ.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The aggregate performance of the Q1FY25 earnings season was largely on expected lines, with wide divergences across sectors and companiesAggregate revenue/PAT grew by 7%/0% YoY and -2%/-8% QoQ across the HSIE coverage (~229 stocks)Overall earnings were adversely skewed by the weak performance of OMCs, hence ex-OMCs, revenue/PAT grew by 9%/13% YoY and -2%/-5% QoQ.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Quarterly Flipbook: Earnings growth moderates, demand pick-up holds the key

<ul><li>Sundaram Finance: Sundaram Finance’s (SUF) Q1FY25 earnings were lower than our estimates, largely due to NIM compression and lower other income</li><li>AUM growth moderated to +23% YoY (Q4FY24: +27.3% YoY), driven by moderation in disbursements growth (+7% YoY)</li><li>While SUF’s product and geographic diversification approach to sustain its growth momentum and lift its margins has augured well in the past couple of years, the softening CV and PV cycle is likely to drive moderation in loan growth during FY25-FY26E (18% CAGR vs 22% CAGR during FY23-FY24)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sundaram Finance: Sundaram Finance’s (SUF) Q1FY25 earnings were lower than our estimates, largely due to NIM compression and lower other incomeAUM growth moderated to +23% YoY (Q4FY24: +27.3% YoY), driven by moderation in disbursements growth (+7% YoY)While SUF’s product and geographic diversification approach to sustain its growth momentum and lift its margins has augured well in the past couple of years, the softening CV and PV cycle is likely to drive moderation in loan growth during FY25-FY26E (18% CAGR vs 22% CAGR during FY23-FY24)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Sundaram Finance, LIC Housing Finance, Motherson Sumi Wiring India

<ul><li>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: M&amp;M Q4FY24 PAT at INR 21.6bn beat our estimate of INR 17.9bn, aided by better realisation and soft commodity prices</li><li>M&amp;M has shared its investment plan for FY25-27</li><li>The total investment planned in the auto division is INR 270bn, of which INR 85bn is for SUV ICE, INR 40bn for CV, and sustenance investment of INR 15bn</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: M&amp;M Q4FY24 PAT at INR 21.6bn beat our estimate of INR 17.9bn, aided by better realisation and soft commodity pricesM&amp;M has shared its investment plan for FY25-27The total investment planned in the auto division is INR 270bn, of which INR 85bn is for SUV ICE, INR 40bn for CV, and sustenance investment of INR 15bnContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Infoedge, Berger Paints, LIC Housing Finance

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay

Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd. is a leader in the financial services sector, actively creating wealth for our clients for over two decades. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

Motherson Sumi Wiring India / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Emkay Global Financial's research report onMotherson Sumi Wiring India We recently met the management at MSUMI, and visited the company’s Pune plant as well.</li><li>KTAs: a) MSUMI is making a strong breakthrough in several OEMs, particularly 2 large SUV-focused players, and has emerged as the sole supplier for a number of their key upcoming models (for both ICE as well as ‘born EV’ platforms).</li><li>b) Content per vehicle (CPV) would continue to grow strongly, with premiumization (up to 1.5x in SUVs vs sedans) &amp; electrification (up to 2.4x/5x in E-PVs/E-2Ws).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Emkay Global Financial's research report onMotherson Sumi Wiring India We recently met the management at MSUMI, and visited the company’s Pune plant as well.KTAs: a) MSUMI is making a strong breakthrough in several OEMs, particularly 2 large SUV-focused players, and has emerged as the sole supplier for a number of their key upcoming models (for both ICE as well as ‘born EV’ platforms).b) Content per vehicle (CPV) would continue to grow strongly, with premiumization (up to 1.5x in SUVs vs sedans) &amp; electrification (up to 2.4x/5x in E-PVs/E-2Ws).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Motherson Sumi Wiring India - Strong Proxy Play on PVs with Major SUV Order-Wins

India

Motherson Sumi Wiring India Limited manufactures auto parts. The Company offers wiring harnesses and electrical components for heavy, medium, and light-duty commercial vehicles. Motherson Sumi Wiring serves customers worldwide.

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Motherson Sumi Wiring India (MSUMI IN)

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2024): Recent Large IPOs Lead to Big Downward Shift

There could be 33 migrations in January, 4 new listings in LargeCap, 3 in MidCap and multiple in SmallCap. Some of the AMFI changes will have...

Brian Freitas

Quarterly Flipbook: Earnings growth moderates, demand pick-up holds the key

The aggregate performance of the Q1FY25 earnings season was largely on expected lines, with wide divergences across sectors and companies

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Sundaram Finance, LIC Housing Finance, Motherson Sumi Wiring India

Sundaram Finance: Sundaram Finance’s (SUF) Q1FY25 earnings were lower than our estimates, largely due to NIM compression and lower other income

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Infoedge, Berger Paints, LIC Housing Finance

Mahindra & Mahindra: M&M Q4FY24 PAT at INR 21.6bn beat our estimate of INR 17.9bn, aided by better realisation and soft commodity...

HDFC Securities

Motherson Sumi Wiring India - Strong Proxy Play on PVs with Major SUV Order-Wins

Emkay Global Financial's research report onMotherson Sumi Wiring India We recently met the management at MSUMI, and visited the company’s Pune...

Emkay

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