Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>There is a boom in Bangkok, yet again.</li><li>This tends to be positive for banks.</li><li>It creates loan demand, both by developers and also companies making and selling products for construction.It also supports mortgage lending and collateral values behind loans.</li><li>A benign credit cycle, high provisions and reasonable margins is reason enough to be positive on Thai banks. Additionally is the current construction boom.</li><li>But the warning and focus of this note is that not all banks are created equal. And it may be surprising, that some of Thailand&rsquo;s newest banks are showing trends completely at odds with mainstream banks. </li><li>It pays to differentiate, even in a boom</li></ul>

There is a boom in Bangkok, yet again.This tends to be positive for banks.It creates loan demand, both by developers and also companies making and selling products for construction.It also supports mortgage lending and collateral values behind loans.A benign credit cycle, high provisions and reasonable margins is reason enough to be positive on Thai banks. Additionally is the current construction boom.But the warning and focus of this note is that not all banks are created equal. And it may be surprising, that some of Thailand&rsquo;s newest banks are showing trends completely at odds with mainstream banks. It pays to differentiate, even in a boom

Thailand: Despite Boom, Small Banks are Dull. Big Banks are Irresistible.

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Mar 13th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD3.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, PTT, Minor International, PTT E&amp;P, CP AXTRA NVDR, PTT E&amp;P, Ptt, Minor International, Cp Axtra Nvdr.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Mar 13th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD3.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, PTT, Minor International, PTT E&amp;P, CP AXTRA NVDR, PTT E&amp;P, Ptt, Minor International, Cp Axtra Nvdr.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Mar 13th): Intouch, PTT, Minor International, PTT E&P, CP AXTRA NVDR

<ul><li>A likely Russian credit and currency crisis, the weakening Euro and ineptitude of BoJ &nbsp;combine to create a world of worry in markets and bank stocks in particular. The way this usually plays out is first with liquidity.&nbsp; </li><li>Banks pull credit lines from weaker banks (and weaker companies).&nbsp; </li><li>If a bank has a loan to deposit ratio (LDR) above 100%, it is often difficult to repay the redeemed credit line, as it means disposing of an asset, a loan – immediately. &nbsp; </li></ul>

A likely Russian credit and currency crisis, the weakening Euro and ineptitude of BoJ &nbsp;combine to create a world of worry in markets and bank stocks in particular. The way this usually plays out is first with liquidity.&nbsp; Banks pull credit lines from weaker banks (and weaker companies).&nbsp; If a bank has a loan to deposit ratio (LDR) above 100%, it is often difficult to repay the redeemed credit line, as it means disposing of an asset, a loan – immediately. &nbsp; 

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Mar 6th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD3.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, PTT E&amp;P, CP Foods, Minor International, Bangchak, PTT E&amp;P, Bangchak, Cp Foods.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Mar 6th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD3.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, PTT E&amp;P, CP Foods, Minor International, Bangchak, PTT E&amp;P, Bangchak, Cp Foods.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Mar 6th): Intouch, PTT E&P, CP Foods, Minor International, Bangchak

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Feb 27th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD3.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, SCB X, Krung Thai Bank, Bangchak, PTT Oil and Retail, Krung Thai Bank, Scb X, Bangchak.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Feb 27th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD3.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, SCB X, Krung Thai Bank, Bangchak, PTT Oil and Retail, Krung Thai Bank, Scb X, Bangchak.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Feb 27th): Intouch, SCB X, Krung Thai Bank, Bangchak

Thailand

Muangthai Capital Public Company Limited is a leading non-bank financial institution in Thailand, primarily offering vehicle title loans, land title loans, personal loans, and nano-finance to retail customers. The company also provides motorcycle hire purchase and insurance brokerage services. It was founded on May 22, 1992, and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Muangthai Capital (MTC TB)

Thailand: Despite Boom, Small Banks are Dull. Big Banks are Irresistible.

There is a boom in Bangkok, yet again. This tends to be positive for banks. It creates loan demand, both by developers and also companies making...

Daniel Tabbush

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Mar 13th): Intouch, PTT, Minor International, PTT E&P, CP AXTRA NVDR

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Intouch (INTUCH TB), PTT (PTT TB), Minor...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Be Wary of High LDR Banks at Present

A likely Russian credit and currency crisis, the weakening Euro and ineptitude of BoJ combine to create a world of worry in markets and bank...

Daniel Tabbush

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Mar 6th): Intouch, PTT E&P, CP Foods, Minor International, Bangchak

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Intouch, PTT E&P, CP Foods, Minor International,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Feb 27th): Intouch, SCB X, Krung Thai Bank, Bangchak

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Intouch, SCB X, Krung Thai Bank, Bangchak, PTT...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)