IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Zhongji InnoLight / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongji-innolight" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55331:1" rel="noopener">Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK)</a>, a leading global provider of optical interconnect solutions, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$7.0 billion.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/innolight-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:247130" rel="noopener">Innolight H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a></em></strong>. </li>
<li>The proposed AH discount of 23.3% (based on the close on 21 July A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.</li>
</ul>



Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK), a leading global provider of optical interconnect solutions, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$7.0 billion.
I discussed the H Share listing in Innolight H Share Listing: The Investment Case. 
The proposed AH discount of 23.3% (based on the close on 21 July A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.


Innolight H Share Listing (3308 HK): Valuation Insights

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We screen HK stocks ahead of the HSCI September 2026 half-yearly review, with 44 ADD candidates and 26 DELETE candidates.</li>
<li>ADD candidates are mostly new listings and prior constituents, including seven A+H names already in Connect.</li>
<li>DELETE candidates include 21 MV DELETEs, three retention-line borderline names, and two velocity cases.</li>
</ul>


We screen HK stocks ahead of the HSCI September 2026 half-yearly review, with 44 ADD candidates and 26 DELETE candidates.
ADD candidates are mostly new listings and prior constituents, including seven A+H names already in Connect.
DELETE candidates include 21 MV DELETEs, three retention-line borderline names, and two velocity cases.


HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Rebalance Forecast

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) / Equity Capital Markets

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) (2476 HK)

<ul>
<li>We study the 32 HK IPOs of at least US$100m listed in 2Q26, comparing Day 1 and 2W performance with the five prior quarters.</li>
<li>2Q26 had more deals, smaller median deal size, and record subscription demand. Day 1 return reached a six-quarter high, while 2W follow-through weakened.</li>
<li>International-Sponsored deals outperformed domestic-only deals after trailing for three quarters, while the high-retail-subscription debut screen produced negative Day 1 closes for the first time.</li>
</ul>


We study the 32 HK IPOs of at least US$100m listed in 2Q26, comparing Day 1 and 2W performance with the five prior quarters.
2Q26 had more deals, smaller median deal size, and record subscription demand. Day 1 return reached a six-quarter high, while 2W follow-through weakened.
International-Sponsored deals outperformed domestic-only deals after trailing for three quarters, while the high-retail-subscription debut screen produced negative Day 1 closes for the first time.


HK IPO 2Q2026 Essential Analytics: Record Demand, Faster Fade

Luxshare Precision Industry / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Luxshare Precision, a consumer electronics precision components and EMS manufacturer, raised HKD 24,039.1m (USD 3,089.9m) in net proceeds and will list on the HKEX on Thursday, July 9, 2026.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company's fundamentals and the deal terms.</li>
<li>In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before its trading debut.</li>
</ul>


Luxshare Precision, a consumer electronics precision components and EMS manufacturer, raised HKD 24,039.1m (USD 3,089.9m) in net proceeds and will list on the HKEX on Thursday, July 9, 2026.
In our previous notes, we looked at the company's fundamentals and the deal terms.
In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before its trading debut.


Luxshare Precision (立讯精密) IPO Trading

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 55 potential inclusions and 14 potential deletions for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. There are more stocks that are close on market cap/liquidity.</li>
<li>A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


There could be 55 potential inclusions and 14 potential deletions for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. There are more stocks that are close on market cap/liquidity.
A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2026): Adds Outnumber Deletes as IPOs Dominate

China

Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. conducts pigs farming businesses. The Company provides pigs breeding, raising, slaughtering, processing, and other services. Muyuan Foodstuff also produces animal feed products.

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Muyuan Foods Co (2714 HK)

HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Rebalance Forecast

We forecast 44 ADD candidates and 26 DELETE candidates for the HSCI September review, with the announcement expected on 21 Aug 2026.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK IPO 2Q2026 Essential Analytics: Record Demand, Faster Fade

We review 32 HK IPOs above US$100m in 2Q26 against the six-quarter history since 1Q25. Record subscription demand met a faster post-debut fade,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Luxshare Precision (立讯精密) IPO Trading

Luxshare Precision raised USD 3,089.9m in net proceeds and lists on HKEX on Thursday, July 9. We are cautious on debut performance given a tight A...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2026): Adds Outnumber Deletes as IPOs Dominate

There could be 80 changes for the HSCI in March. That could result in 70 changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and also have implications...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Innolight H Share Listing (3308 HK): Valuation Insights

InnoLight, a leading global provider of optical interconnect solutions, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$7.0 billion. In this note, I...

Arun George

HSCI / HK Connect Sep 2026 Rebalance Forecast

We forecast 44 ADD candidates and 26 DELETE candidates for the HSCI September review, with the announcement expected on 21 Aug 2026.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK IPO 2Q2026 Essential Analytics: Record Demand, Faster Fade

We review 32 HK IPOs above US$100m in 2Q26 against the six-quarter history since 1Q25. Record subscription demand met a faster post-debut fade,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Luxshare Precision (立讯精密) IPO Trading

Luxshare Precision raised USD 3,089.9m in net proceeds and lists on HKEX on Thursday, July 9. We are cautious on debut performance given a tight A...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2026): Adds Outnumber Deletes as IPOs Dominate

There could be 80 changes for the HSCI in March. That could result in 70 changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and also have implications...

Brian Freitas