Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist, Casino Business Review LLC

Howard J Klein

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry Specialist

Casino Business Review LLC

Extensive experience in marketing and development in the Asian gaming market

Global Gaming and Casinos Industry

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We have long been bullish on Nagacorp Ltd. on long term fundamentals. We are now seeing rising positivity as market sentiment begins to recognize ASEAN covid recovery coming.</li>
<li>Stock is at midpoint of 52 week range at HKD$6.97. Our 1 year target is HKD$10.425 based on what we see trending from its 1Q22 unaudited results.</li>
<li>All revenue segments up: Morgan Stanley report agrees with our view that shares present an immediate opportunity due to potential in cross border gamblers and ASEAN mass.</li>
</ul>


We have long been bullish on Nagacorp Ltd. on long term fundamentals. We are now seeing rising positivity as market sentiment begins to recognize ASEAN covid recovery coming.
Stock is at midpoint of 52 week range at HKD$6.97. Our 1 year target is HKD$10.425 based on what we see trending from its 1Q22 unaudited results.
All revenue segments up: Morgan Stanley report agrees with our view that shares present an immediate opportunity due to potential in cross border gamblers and ASEAN mass.


Nagacorp: Cambodia Is Open, Covid at Low, Stock Attractive as Alternative to Macau Tourist Gamblers

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Unsurprisingly, the independent expert (IE) considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a>'s A$13.10 offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone Group (BX US)</a> to be fair and reasonable. We think that IE’s valuation approach is sound.  </li>
<li>The key condition is approval from shareholders and gaming regulatory authorities. The scheme meeting is scheduled for 29 April. </li>
<li>We continue to think that offer is attractive. At the last close price and for the 12 May implementation date, the gross and annualised spread is 2.7% and 27.1%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


Unsurprisingly, the independent expert (IE) considers Crown Resorts (CWN AU)'s A$13.10 offer from Blackstone Group (BX US) to be fair and reasonable. We think that IE’s valuation approach is sound.  
The key condition is approval from shareholders and gaming regulatory authorities. The scheme meeting is scheduled for 29 April. 
We continue to think that offer is attractive. At the last close price and for the 12 May implementation date, the gross and annualised spread is 2.7% and 27.1%, respectively.


Crown Resorts Scheme Meeting on 29 April, IE Opinion

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.parliament.wa.gov.au/publications/tabledpapers.nsf/displaypaper/4111048a8d7a626ef0a339594825880f00079102/%24file/pcrc+final+report+digital.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Perth commission report</a> found <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a> not suitable to operate Crown Perth but did not call for the gaming licence to be revoked.</li>
<li>The key conditions precedent for the Blackstone deal are shareholder, gaming regulatory and FIRB approval. The scheme meeting is targeted to be held before the end of June 2022.</li>
<li>At the last close price of A$12.58, the gross and annualised spread for a 30 June implementation is 4.1% and 16.94%, respectively. </li>
</ul>


The Perth commission report found Crown Resorts (CWN AU) not suitable to operate Crown Perth but did not call for the gaming licence to be revoked.
The key conditions precedent for the Blackstone deal are shareholder, gaming regulatory and FIRB approval. The scheme meeting is targeted to be held before the end of June 2022.
At the last close price of A$12.58, the gross and annualised spread for a 30 June implementation is 4.1% and 16.94%, respectively. 


Crown Resorts' Offer Spread Risk/Reward - The Perth Commission Report

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a> has entered a scheme implementation deed with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone Group (BX US)</a> at A$13.10 cash per share, a 32.3% premium to the unaffected price of A$9.90.</li>
<li>The key conditions precedent is Crown shareholder, gaming regulatory and FIRB approval. The scheme meeting is targeted to be held before the end of June 2022.   </li>
<li>The offer price is attractive and the largest shareholder will be supportive. At last close, the gross and annualised spread is 3.6% and 10.0%, respectively, to a June scheme meeting.   </li>
</ul>



Crown Resorts (CWN AU) has entered a scheme implementation deed with Blackstone Group (BX US) at A$13.10 cash per share, a 32.3% premium to the unaffected price of A$9.90.
The key conditions precedent is Crown shareholder, gaming regulatory and FIRB approval. The scheme meeting is targeted to be held before the end of June 2022.   
The offer price is attractive and the largest shareholder will be supportive. At last close, the gross and annualised spread is 3.6% and 10.0%, respectively, to a June scheme meeting.   


Crown Resorts Enters a SID with Blackstone

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone Group (BX US)</a> has returned for a fourth time with a revised indicative offer of A$13.10 cash per share, a 4.8% bump to its previous offer of A$12.50.</li>
<li>The Board intends to recommend a binding offer of no less than A$13.10 per share. CPH, the largest shareholder, is “<em>encouraged by today’s announcement.</em>”</li>
<li>The Board’s willingness to recommend a binding offer may draw out rival suitors. At the last close of A$12.65, the shares trade at a 3.6% gross spread to the offer.</li>
</ul>



Blackstone Group (BX US) has returned for a fourth time with a revised indicative offer of A$13.10 cash per share, a 4.8% bump to its previous offer of A$12.50.
The Board intends to recommend a binding offer of no less than A$13.10 per share. CPH, the largest shareholder, is “encouraged by today’s announcement.”
The Board’s willingness to recommend a binding offer may draw out rival suitors. At the last close of A$12.65, the shares trade at a 3.6% gross spread to the offer.


Blackstone’s Fourth Bid for Crown Resorts

Cambodia

NagaCorp is an investment holding company that manages and operates NagaWorld, an integrated hotel and casino complex in Phnom Penh, Cambodia. It offers gaming, luxury accommodations, dining, entertainment, and convention facilities. The company holds a 70-year casino license until 2065 and has exclusive rights to operate casinos within a 200-kilometer radius of Phnom Penh until 2045. NagaCorp was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Phnom Penh, Cambodia.

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NagaCorp (3918 HK)

Nagacorp: Cambodia Is Open, Covid at Low, Stock Attractive as Alternative to Macau Tourist Gamblers

Nagacorp is gaining positive sentiment as investors begin to realize that Cambodia represents an alternative gaming destination to Macau while it...

Howard J Klein

Crown Resorts Scheme Meeting on 29 April, IE Opinion

The key condition is approval from shareholders and gaming regulatory authorities. Scheme meeting is on 29 April. At the last close and for the 12...

Arun George

Crown Resorts' Offer Spread Risk/Reward - The Perth Commission Report

We believe that the Perth commission Report is a positive outcome for the Blackstone offer. At the last close, the gross and annualised spread for...

Arun George

Crown Resorts Enters a SID with Blackstone

Crown Resorts has entered a SID with Blackstone at A$13.10 cash per share. The offer price is attractive and presents the largest shareholder...

Arun George

Blackstone’s Fourth Bid for Crown Resorts

Blackstone has returned for a fourth time with a revised indicative offer of A$13.10 cash per share. The Board’s willingness to recommend a binding...

Arun George

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