Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the support at 1,365 points and 1,360 points (1/2 of the Fibonacci range of 1,325-1,404 points) and the resistance at 1,375/1,380 points (50-day EMA/75-day EMA).</li><li>Flash manufacturing and services PMIs in May: Japan's figures (Jibun Bank) are expected at 50.2/53.8 (vs. April at 49.6/54.3); the figures in the EU (HBOC) are forecast at 46.6/53.4 (vs. 45.7/53.3 in April); and the readings in the US (S&P Global) are expected at 50.1/51.3 (vs. 50.0/51.3 in April).</li><li>Should the figures surpass expectations, they will signal positive trends in international exports.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the support at 1,365 points and 1,360 points (1/2 of the Fibonacci range of 1,325-1,404 points) and the resistance at 1,375/1,380 points (50-day EMA/75-day EMA).Flash manufacturing and services PMIs in May: Japan's figures (Jibun Bank) are expected at 50.2/53.8 (vs. April at 49.6/54.3); the figures in the EU (HBOC) are forecast at 46.6/53.4 (vs. 45.7/53.3 in April); and the readings in the US (S&P Global) are expected at 50.1/51.3 (vs. 50.0/51.3 in April).Should the figures surpass expectations, they will signal positive trends in international exports.

Manufacturing and Services PMIs in Japan, the EU and the US

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR of 10.7/9.8%.</li><li>The growth of total online retail sales GMV continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV, which was likely due to the robust growth in online travel bookings during the CNY holiday.</li><li>Leading e-commerce platforms are prioritizing GMV and revenue growth over margin improvement in 2024, and guided to reinvest incremental operating profit generated to drive further business growth, which likely indicates more intensified industry competition. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR of 10.7/9.8%.The growth of total online retail sales GMV continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV, which was likely due to the robust growth in online travel bookings during the CNY holiday.Leading e-commerce platforms are prioritizing GMV and revenue growth over margin improvement in 2024, and guided to reinvest incremental operating profit generated to drive further business growth, which likely indicates more intensified industry competition. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

<ul><li>China online games market revenue grew by 13.9% YoY to RMB303.0bn in 2023, representing a 2-year CAGR of 1.1%, according to GPC.</li><li>Online games market revenue recorded robust growth of 34.4% YoY in 2H23, underpinned by the launch of several blockbuster titles and the recovery of user paying willingness.</li><li>Despite the flattish user growth, ARPU was up 13% YoY to RMB453 in 2023. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China online games market revenue grew by 13.9% YoY to RMB303.0bn in 2023, representing a 2-year CAGR of 1.1%, according to GPC.Online games market revenue recorded robust growth of 34.4% YoY in 2H23, underpinned by the launch of several blockbuster titles and the recovery of user paying willingness.Despite the flattish user growth, ARPU was up 13% YoY to RMB453 in 2023. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet – 2023 Online Games Recap: Start of a New Growth Phase

<ul><li>China’s online game market revenue grew by 37.5% YoY to RMB28.6bn in Jul 2023, with growth further accelerating (May/Jun: +16.0/23.6% YoY), according to CNG.</li><li>The strong YoY growth was mainly due to the launch of new games and low-base effect.</li><li>Overseas revenue from China’s self-developed games also returned to positive growth track in July (+7.6% YoY), thanks to the solid performance of Tencent’s and NetEase’s overseas mobile games. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s online game market revenue grew by 37.5% YoY to RMB28.6bn in Jul 2023, with growth further accelerating (May/Jun: +16.0/23.6% YoY), according to CNG.The strong YoY growth was mainly due to the launch of new games and low-base effect.Overseas revenue from China’s self-developed games also returned to positive growth track in July (+7.6% YoY), thanks to the solid performance of Tencent’s and NetEase’s overseas mobile games. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet – July online game market recap

<ul><li>China online game market revenue decreased 2.4% YoY but grew 22% HoH to RMB144.3bn in 1H23, according to GPC</li><li>Supported by the recovery of game supply and paying willingness, online game market revenue returned to positive growth track and was up by 12% YoY in 2Q23, with a 2-year CAGR of 2%.</li><li>We expect China online game market to maintain steady growth momentum in 2H23E, mainly due to the launch of quality new games YTD and the low-base effect. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China online game market revenue decreased 2.4% YoY but grew 22% HoH to RMB144.3bn in 1H23, according to GPCSupported by the recovery of game supply and paying willingness, online game market revenue returned to positive growth track and was up by 12% YoY in 2Q23, with a 2-year CAGR of 2%.We expect China online game market to maintain steady growth momentum in 2H23E, mainly due to the launch of quality new games YTD and the low-base effect. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet – Online game sector: rebounded in 2Q23

China

NetEase is a Chinese Internet technology company that provides online services across various sectors. Its core businesses include the development and operation of desktop and mobile games, alongside services in news aggregation, music streaming (NetEase Cloud Music), online education (Youdao), advertising, email, and e-commerce (Yanxuan). The company is headquartered in Hangzhou, China, and was founded in June 1997.

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NetEase (9999 HK)

Manufacturing and Services PMIs in Japan, the EU and the US

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the support at 1,365 points and 1,360 points (1/2 of the Fibonacci range of...

Krungthai XSpring

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR...

CMB International

China Internet – 2023 Online Games Recap: Start of a New Growth Phase

China online games market revenue grew by 13.9% YoY to RMB303.0bn in 2023, representing a 2-year CAGR of 1.1%, according to GPC.

CMB International

China Internet – July online game market recap

China’s online game market revenue grew by 37.5% YoY to RMB28.6bn in Jul 2023, with growth further accelerating (May/Jun: +16.0/23.6% YoY),...

CMB International

China Internet – Online game sector: rebounded in 2Q23

Supported by the recovery of game supply and paying willingness, online game market revenue returned to positive growth track and was up by 12% YoY...

CMB International

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52-week Range

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