Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 14th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Xpeng (9868 HK), TraHK HSI ETF (2800 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 14th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Xpeng (9868 HK), TraHK HSI ETF (2800 HK).


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technologie" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie (9863 HK)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 4.7% and that results in a round-trip trade of HK$27.5bn (US$3.5bn). There is between 8.7-9.8 days of ADV to trade in the two stocks.</li>
<li>Capping and float changes results in chunky flows to some other stocks and there could be big price moves over the next week.</li>
</ul>


As expected, Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie (9863 HK) will replace ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK) in the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the December rebalance.
Estimated one-way turnover is 4.7% and that results in a round-trip trade of HK$27.5bn (US$3.5bn). There is between 8.7-9.8 days of ADV to trade in the two stocks.
Capping and float changes results in chunky flows to some other stocks and there could be big price moves over the next week.


HSTECH Index Rebalance: Leapmotor (9863 HK) To Replace ASMPT (522 HK) As Trade Hits US$3.5bn

<ul>
<li>Following the methodology update for the HSIII Index, there could be up to 5 constituent changes in December.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 12.8% and that will result in a round-trip trade of HK$9.8bn (US$1.25bn).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810 HK)</a> is the biggest beneficiary of the new methodology while there will be large funding outflows for a lot of the current index constituents.</li>
</ul>


Following the methodology update for the HSIII Index, there could be up to 5 constituent changes in December.
Estimated one-way turnover is 12.8% and that will result in a round-trip trade of HK$9.8bn (US$1.25bn).

Xiaomi (1810 HK) is the biggest beneficiary of the new methodology while there will be large funding outflows for a lot of the current index constituents.


Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Methodology Change Leads to US$1.25bn Trade

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: Some of Hong Kong’s largest and most prominent companies will report in the coming days, representing 20% of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> </li>
<li>
Highlight: This Insight quantifies option-implied swings which serve as a gauge for post-earnings reactions.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Prepare for a busy earnings week by understanding where single-stock and broader market volatility may be elevated.</li>
</ul>



Context: Some of Hong Kong’s largest and most prominent companies will report in the coming days, representing 20% of the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) 

Highlight: This Insight quantifies option-implied swings which serve as a gauge for post-earnings reactions.

Why Read: Prepare for a busy earnings week by understanding where single-stock and broader market volatility may be elevated.


Earnings Volatility Preview: Options Price Sharp Swings in China Tech Earnings Week

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 31st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Csop Hsi (2X Inv), TraHK HSI ETF, Akeso.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 31st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Csop Hsi (2X Inv), TraHK HSI ETF, Akeso.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Csop Hsi (2X Inv), TraHK HSI ETF, Akeso

China

NetEase, Inc. operates as an leading internet technology company providing online services including content, community, communication, and commerce. The Company develops and operates online games, electronic commerce, internet media, innovative business, and other businesses. NetEase expands its businesses to Japan, North American, and other other international markets.

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NetEase (9999 HK)

HK Short Interest Weekly: Xpeng

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 14th and highlight short interest changes in Xpeng, TraHK HSI ETF.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSTECH Index Rebalance: Leapmotor (9863 HK) To Replace ASMPT (522 HK) As Trade Hits US$3.5bn

Leapmotor will replace ASMPT in the HSTECH at the close on 5 Dec. Given the lack of certainty about the change, both stocks appear under positioned...

Brian Freitas

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Methodology Change Leads to US$1.25bn Trade

The methodology update could result in 5 changes in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 12.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$1.25bn. There...

Brian Freitas

Earnings Volatility Preview: Options Price Sharp Swings in China Tech Earnings Week

Option markets hint at sharp post-earnings reactions in some of China's top tech companies. Prepare for elevated volatility.

Gaudenz Schneider

HK Short Interest Weekly: Csop Hsi (2X Inv), TraHK HSI ETF, Akeso

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 31st and highlight short interest changes in Csop Hsi (2X Inv), TraHK...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)