Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

The last decade has seen EMEA allocations in active GEM portfolios drift ever lower, with Asia becoming the dominant weight.  However, the recent rhetoric from China has seen Asian allocations fall from their peak and EMEA allocations rally from their lows.  Average weights in EMEA stocks stand at 13.72%, marginally overweight the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF by 0.24%, with just under half of the active managers in our analysis overweight. <ul>
<li>Over the course of the last decade, exposure to each EMEA sector has either fallen dramatically or at best stayed largely unchanged.  Those that have seen a big decline in investment are led by EMEA Industrials and Health Care, with over 40% of investors closing exposure.  </li>
<li>The largest sector exposure, EMEA Financials allocations sit towards the lower-end of their historical range.  Top holdings are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sberbank-of-russia-pjsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24142:1" rel="noopener">Sberbank Of Russia Pjsc (SBER LI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/otp-bank-nyrt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28806:1" rel="noopener">OTP Bank Nyrt (OTP HB)</a> with 59% and 31% of funds invested respectively.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tcs-group-holding-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28148:1" rel="noopener">TCS Group Holding PLC (TCS LI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitec-bank-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27628:1" rel="noopener">Capitec Bank Holdings Ltd (CPI SJ)</a> saw ownership levels increase the most over the last 6-months.</li>
<li>Consumer Discretionary weights hit another all-time high this month of 1.46%, representing a 1.04% overweight versus the iShares MSCI EM ETF.  Underpinning the overweight are out-of-benchmark holdings in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> and Fix Price Group, though in general stocks in the sector are not widely held.  Funds with big overweights are led by Comgest's GEM Promising Companies Fund (8.98%) and Van Eck's Emerging Markets Fund (7.21%).  </li>
<li>With active ownership declining throughout 2020, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gazprom-pjsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23749:1" rel="noopener">Gazprom PJSC (GAZP RX)</a> has finally been the recipient of some inflows.  Over the last 6-months, 2% of funds added Gazprom to their portfolios with a combined $217m in inflows.  Leading those were Fidelity (2.7%), Virtus Allianz (2.67%) and JP Morgan ($64m).</li>
</ul>The analysis looks in detail at all sectors in the EMEA region, together with some of the key stocks that underpin investment in the region.Analysis taken from our GEM fund research, covering 250 active GEM strategies with combined AUM of $500bn

The last decade has seen EMEA allocations in active GEM portfolios drift ever lower, with Asia becoming the dominant weight.  However, the recent rhetoric from China has seen Asian allocations fall from their peak and EMEA allocations rally from their lows.  Average weights in EMEA stocks stand at 13.72%, marginally overweight the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF by 0.24%, with just under half of the active managers in our analysis overweight. 
Over the course of the last decade, exposure to each EMEA sector has either fallen dramatically or at best stayed largely unchanged.  Those that have seen a big decline in investment are led by EMEA Industrials and Health Care, with over 40% of investors closing exposure.  
The largest sector exposure, EMEA Financials allocations sit towards the lower-end of their historical range.  Top holdings are Sberbank Of Russia Pjsc (SBER LI) and OTP Bank Nyrt (OTP HB) with 59% and 31% of funds invested respectively.  TCS Group Holding PLC (TCS LI) and Capitec Bank Holdings Ltd (CPI SJ) saw ownership levels increase the most over the last 6-months.
Consumer Discretionary weights hit another all-time high this month of 1.46%, representing a 1.04% overweight versus the iShares MSCI EM ETF.  Underpinning the overweight are out-of-benchmark holdings in Prosus (PRX NA) and Fix Price Group, though in general stocks in the sector are not widely held.  Funds with big overweights are led by Comgest's GEM Promising Companies Fund (8.98%) and Van Eck's Emerging Markets Fund (7.21%).  
With active ownership declining throughout 2020, Gazprom PJSC (GAZP RX) has finally been the recipient of some inflows.  Over the last 6-months, 2% of funds added Gazprom to their portfolios with a combined $217m in inflows.  Leading those were Fidelity (2.7%), Virtus Allianz (2.67%) and JP Morgan ($64m).
The analysis looks in detail at all sectors in the EMEA region, together with some of the key stocks that underpin investment in the region.Analysis taken from our GEM fund research, covering 250 active GEM strategies with combined AUM of $500bn

EMEA Sectors Deep-Dive.  Active Positioning in the EMEA Region

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for ADDs/DELs for the F100 and F250 indices during the September 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Yesterday (3rd September) was the base date for this rebalance event and the index changes will be confirmed after market close today.</li>
<li>We see one change for F100 and one change for F250 during the regular rebalance but there could be another change triggered by the Network International (NETW LN) deal completion.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for ADDs/DELs for the F100 and F250 indices during the September 2024 index rebal event.
Yesterday (3rd September) was the base date for this rebalance event and the index changes will be confirmed after market close today.
We see one change for F100 and one change for F250 during the regular rebalance but there could be another change triggered by the Network International (NETW LN) deal completion.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Sep 24: Announcement Day; Final Expectations

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the September 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>There could be up to three M&amp;A-related intra-review changes in the next few weeks.</li>
<li>Apart from that, there could be two changes for the F100 index and two other changes for the F250 index during the September 2024 review.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the September 2024 index rebal event.
There could be up to three M&amp;A-related intra-review changes in the next few weeks.
Apart from that, there could be two changes for the F100 index and two other changes for the F250 index during the September 2024 review.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Sep 24: High-Impact F250 Potential ADDs Could Outperform the Index

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Based on the current numbers, we see two F100 expected ADDs/DELs and three other F250 expected ADDs/DELs. The final changes will be decided based 4th June 2024 closing prices.</li>
<li>There are several names just outside the border requiring small price changes to trigger more index changes. An intra-review change is also possible.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the June 2024 index rebal event.
Based on the current numbers, we see two F100 expected ADDs/DELs and three other F250 expected ADDs/DELs. The final changes will be decided based 4th June 2024 closing prices.
There are several names just outside the border requiring small price changes to trigger more index changes. An intra-review change is also possible.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Jun 24: Names Lurking Close to The Border Should Be Monitored

<ul>
<li>The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes that could take place between now and the end of the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Currently, I see 7 ADDs and 7 DELs for the SE600 index. There are more names just outside the border requiring small price changes to get involved in index changes. </li>
</ul>


The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes that could take place between now and the end of the June 2024 index rebal event.
Currently, I see 7 ADDs and 7 DELs for the SE600 index. There are more names just outside the border requiring small price changes to get involved in index changes. 


Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Mar 24: 7 Changes Likely; Expected ADDs Could Outperform Expected DELs

United Arab Emirates

Network International is a leading digital commerce enabler and payment solutions provider operating across the Middle East and Africa. The company offers technology-enabled payment solutions to merchants and financial institutions, including direct acquiring services, acquirer processing, and issuer processing. Network International was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Dubai, United Arab Emirates.

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Network International (NETW LN)

EMEA Sectors Deep-Dive. Active Positioning in the EMEA Region

The last decade has seen EMEA weights drift ever lower. We look in detail at all sectors in the EMEA region, together with some of the key stocks...

Steven Holden

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Sep 24: Announcement Day; Final Expectations

Network International could be deleted from F250 at the close of trading on 16th September 2024. This would trigger an intra-review F250 addition.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Sep 24: High-Impact F250 Potential ADDs Could Outperform the Index

The top-ranked F250 potential ADDs would have a large number of days to buy if they got added to F250. There are multiple opportunities for both...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Jun 24: Names Lurking Close to The Border Should Be Monitored

The highest-ranked F250 potential ADDs and potential DELs could have multiple number of days to trade if they get involved in index changes.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Mar 24: 7 Changes Likely; Expected ADDs Could Outperform Expected DELs

My latest estimate for one-way flow is US$95mn. The expected ADDs have strong positive momentum while the expected DELs have strong negative momentum.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EMEA Sectors Deep-Dive. Active Positioning in the EMEA Region

The last decade has seen EMEA weights drift ever lower. We look in detail at all sectors in the EMEA region, together with some of the key stocks...

Steven Holden

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Sep 24: Announcement Day; Final Expectations

Network International could be deleted from F250 at the close of trading on 16th September 2024. This would trigger an intra-review F250 addition.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Sep 24: High-Impact F250 Potential ADDs Could Outperform the Index

The top-ranked F250 potential ADDs would have a large number of days to buy if they got added to F250. There are multiple opportunities for both...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Jun 24: Names Lurking Close to The Border Should Be Monitored

The highest-ranked F250 potential ADDs and potential DELs could have multiple number of days to trade if they get involved in index changes.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Mar 24: 7 Changes Likely; Expected ADDs Could Outperform Expected DELs

My latest estimate for one-way flow is US$95mn. The expected ADDs have strong positive momentum while the expected DELs have strong negative momentum.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Sep 24: Announcement Day; Final Expectations

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Sep 24: High-Impact F250 Potential ADDs Could Outperform the Index

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Jun 24: Names Lurking Close to The Border Should Be Monitored