Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-China in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on KINGBOARD HLDG, LI AUTO, XIAOMI, TRINA SOLAR, TENCENT, CHINA LIFE, GCL TECHNOLOGY, PDD.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-China in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on KINGBOARD HLDG, LI AUTO, XIAOMI, TRINA SOLAR, TENCENT, CHINA LIFE, GCL TECHNOLOGY, PDD.


MS-China Index Earning Revision (Aug): KINGBOARD HLDG, LI AUTO, XIAOMI, TRINA SOLAR, TENCENT, PDD

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Exchanges / In Depth: It’s curtains for China’s local financial asset exchanges</li><li>Biotech /Caixin Explains: How China is overhauling regulations on genetic resources</li><li>Cyberbully /: Public security official loses lawsuit for online attacks on murdered couple’s daughters</li></ul>

Exchanges / In Depth: It’s curtains for China’s local financial asset exchangesBiotech /Caixin Explains: How China is overhauling regulations on genetic resourcesCyberbully /: Public security official loses lawsuit for online attacks on murdered couple’s daughters

CX Daily: It’s Curtains for China’s Local Financial Asset Exchanges 

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China insurance sector may seem like there is strong growth prospects due the population, but relatively long term data on insurance premium growth is not robust in recent years.</li>
<li>Aggregate impairment losses on assets of insurance companies have been soaring in recent years, well higher than in the GFC, which can continue with weak CRE, investments.</li>
<li>Ping An Insurance has seen sharp fall in operating income in the past 2 quarters, with levels near quarterly lows in the past five years. Lower rates may hurt further. </li>
</ul>


China insurance sector may seem like there is strong growth prospects due the population, but relatively long term data on insurance premium growth is not robust in recent years.
Aggregate impairment losses on assets of insurance companies have been soaring in recent years, well higher than in the GFC, which can continue with weak CRE, investments.
Ping An Insurance has seen sharp fall in operating income in the past 2 quarters, with levels near quarterly lows in the past five years. Lower rates may hurt further. 


Ping An Insurance - Recent Profit Growth Is Weak, Industry Aggregates Do Not Suggest a Change

<ul>
<li>The earnings decline at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-group-co-of-c2975d60-47cd-4246-a7a6-25297586242b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24682:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance Group of (601318 CH)</a> is well in place for the past three years and including the last 12 months and YTD. </li>
<li>A worsening China should see accelerated weakness at Ping An Insurance: bond mark downs, less product sales, lower bank contribution, falling investment returns as rates are cut.</li>
<li>Earnings risk perspective: profit RMB79bn in LTM against bond holdings of RMB2,622bn putting its bonds/profit at 33x. Bonds to capital is 2.9x: book value risk too.</li>
</ul>


The earnings decline at Ping An Insurance Group of (601318 CH) is well in place for the past three years and including the last 12 months and YTD. 
A worsening China should see accelerated weakness at Ping An Insurance: bond mark downs, less product sales, lower bank contribution, falling investment returns as rates are cut.
Earnings risk perspective: profit RMB79bn in LTM against bond holdings of RMB2,622bn putting its bonds/profit at 33x. Bonds to capital is 2.9x: book value risk too.


Ping An Insurance - Worsening Profit for Some Years, Can Accelerate with Corporate Bond Impairments

<ul><li>Land / In Depth: China’s cash-strapped local governments struggle to revive land sales</li><li><p>PMI /: China services activity picks up, Caixin PMI shows</p></li><li><p>Funds /: New China Life sets up $1.4 billion fund for property investments</p></li></ul>

Land / In Depth: China’s cash-strapped local governments struggle to revive land salesPMI /: China services activity picks up, Caixin PMI showsFunds /: New China Life sets up $1.4 billion fund for property investments

CX Daily: China’s Cash-Strapped Local Governments Struggle to Revive Land Sales 

China

New China Life Insurance provides a comprehensive range of life insurance products and services, including traditional life, health, and accident insurance, to individual and institutional clients. The company also manages and invests insurance funds through its subsidiaries. It is headquartered in Beijing, China, and was founded in September 1996.

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New China Life Insurance (1336 HK)

MS-China Index Earning Revision (Aug): KINGBOARD HLDG, LI AUTO, XIAOMI, TRINA SOLAR, TENCENT, PDD

We analyzed MS-China's consensus for Aug 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in KINGBOARD HLDG, LI AUTO, XIAOMI, TRINA SOLAR, TENCENT, CHINA LIFE,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CX Daily: It’s Curtains for China’s Local Financial Asset Exchanges

Exchanges / In Depth: It’s curtains for China’s local financial asset exchanges Biotech /Caixin Explains: How China is overhauling regulations on...

Caixin Global

Ping An Insurance - Recent Profit Growth Is Weak, Industry Aggregates Do Not Suggest a Change

Ping An Insurance demonstrates weakening profit, China insurance industry aggregates, do not suggest this will change. Rather, investment returns...

Daniel Tabbush

Ping An Insurance - Worsening Profit for Some Years, Can Accelerate with Corporate Bond Impairments

Ping An Insurance can see meaningful risk to profit and book value from mark downs in its corporate bonds with a weak China economy.

Daniel Tabbush

CX Daily: China’s Cash-Strapped Local Governments Struggle to Revive Land Sales

Land / In Depth: China’s cash-strapped local governments struggle to revive land sales As China’s local governments struggle to increase their...

Caixin Global

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