HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

As an important supplement to China's basic medical insurance and an integral part of the multi-level medical security system, commercial health insurance has developed rapidly in recent years. The product structure, market scale, insured population and service connotation of commercial health insurance have undergone tremendous changes. However, it is undeniable that compared with other mature markets, the market of commercial health insurance in China still needs to be further explored, and the insurance products and service models also need to be continuously innovated. In particular, how to keep up with the pace of the times, meet the needs of the market, and constantly realize the iterative upgrading of health insurance products and services, so as to meet the diversified and personalized health insurance needs of people based on the inclusive basic medical insurance is undoubtedly a new subject for domestic commercial health insurance companies.

As an important supplement to China's basic medical insurance and an integral part of the multi-level medical security system, commercial health insurance has developed rapidly in recent years. The product structure, market scale, insured population and service connotation of commercial health insurance have undergone tremendous changes. However, it is undeniable that compared with other mature markets, the market of commercial health insurance in China still needs to be further explored, and the insurance products and service models also need to be continuously innovated. In particular, how to keep up with the pace of the times, meet the needs of the market, and constantly realize the iterative upgrading of health insurance products and services, so as to meet the diversified and personalized health insurance needs of people based on the inclusive basic medical insurance is undoubtedly a new subject for domestic commercial health insurance companies.

Industry Report - Insights on China Commercial Health Insurance Industry

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

*Reversing Course Again: On April 3, 2020, the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA) - the European Union’s financial regulatory body which replaced the Committee of European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Supervisors (CEIOPS) – in the context of the corona virus, released a statement urging insurers to “temporarily suspend all discretionary dividend distributions and share buybacks aimed at remunerating shareholders” in order to preserve capital. In an odd reversal of course, EIOPA has updated its commentary surrounding European insurance capital management; and  *Asia-Pacific Insurers Still At Risk: Asia-Pacific insurance counterparts previously acted in capital solidarity with their Western peer during COVID-19. Many Asia-Pacific insurers purchased USD-denominated assets in their desperate search for yield in this low/negative rate environment where the impact of credit default and ratings agency downgrades on their investment portfolios is likely to continue to be outsized and challenge capital their ratios. We are hopeful that the Asia-Pacific insurers - particularly in Japan, Australia, Taiwan, and South Korea – don’t behave as desperately as their European counterparts have.

*Reversing Course Again: On April 3, 2020, the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA) - the European Union’s financial regulatory body which replaced the Committee of European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Supervisors (CEIOPS) – in the context of the corona virus, released a statement urging insurers to “temporarily suspend all discretionary dividend distributions and share buybacks aimed at remunerating shareholders” in order to preserve capital. In an odd reversal of course, EIOPA has updated its commentary surrounding European insurance capital management; and  *Asia-Pacific Insurers Still At Risk: Asia-Pacific insurance counterparts previously acted in capital solidarity with their Western peer during COVID-19. Many Asia-Pacific insurers purchased USD-denominated assets in their desperate search for yield in this low/negative rate environment where the impact of credit default and ratings agency downgrades on their investment portfolios is likely to continue to be outsized and challenge capital their ratios. We are hopeful that the Asia-Pacific insurers - particularly in Japan, Australia, Taiwan, and South Korea – don’t behave as desperately as their European counterparts have. 

*Yongcheng Coal Default: According to Shanghai Clearing House, Yongcheng Coal and Electricity (YCE) in Henan Province failed to repay a CNY 1 bn (USD 151 mn) short-term bond despite being given the highest rating by one of mainland China’s awful domestic credit ratings agencies; and*Watch Your Banks: The yield on benchmark five-year “AAA” rated mainland Chinese corporates was 3.99% - up over 100 bp from their April 2020 low. Investor flight is pushing financing costs higher and squeezing local corporate funding in a market which is just barely recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic. Concerns remain over higher problem loans as debt service risk is heightened over higher rates, unreliable financial statements and ratings agency reports, and now an inability to refinance public debt with a number of bond sales being canceled. Further, the degradation of corporate bond values is limiting their usage as collateral.

*Yongcheng Coal Default: According to Shanghai Clearing House, Yongcheng Coal and Electricity (YCE) in Henan Province failed to repay a CNY 1 bn (USD 151 mn) short-term bond despite being given the highest rating by one of mainland China’s awful domestic credit ratings agencies; and*Watch Your Banks: The yield on benchmark five-year “AAA” rated mainland Chinese corporates was 3.99% - up over 100 bp from their April 2020 low. Investor flight is pushing financing costs higher and squeezing local corporate funding in a market which is just barely recovering from the COVID-19 pandemic. Concerns remain over higher problem loans as debt service risk is heightened over higher rates, unreliable financial statements and ratings agency reports, and now an inability to refinance public debt with a number of bond sales being canceled. Further, the degradation of corporate bond values is limiting their usage as collateral.

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 185 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 85.6% as of Jun 26th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 5.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, information technology, utilities and offset by communication services, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Midea, Cmoc, Htsc, China Longyuan, Times Electric, Innocare.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 185 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 85.6% as of Jun 26th.
The average A-H premium changed by 5.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, information technology, utilities and offset by communication services, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Midea, Cmoc, Htsc, China Longyuan, Times Electric, Innocare.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 26th): Midea, Cmoc, Htsc, China Longyuan, Times Electric, Innocare

<div><ul>
<li>
China Loves the "F" Word: The China Bank and Insurance Regulatory Commission's (CBIRC) latest bout of bank capital forbearance in reaction to the negative economic implications of the corona virus pandemic: 1) Banks can now roll over loans to companies at risk of missing payment deadlines and relaxing guidelines on how to categorize overdue debt; and 2) Some banks are also refraining from reporting delinquencies to mainland China's centralized credit-scoring system and allowing borrowers to skip interest payments for up to six months.</li>
<li>
Sick Man of Asia Is a Double Entendre: Not only is mainland China the epicenter for the corona virus outbreak, but it certainly appears its struggling financial system is as ill as the folks in Wuhan. There are increasing and hidden risks on bank balance sheets. Its latest bout of forbearance is reversing a several year trend of vigilance and discipline within its financial system.  </li>
</ul></div>



China Loves the "F" Word: The China Bank and Insurance Regulatory Commission's (CBIRC) latest bout of bank capital forbearance in reaction to the negative economic implications of the corona virus pandemic: 1) Banks can now roll over loans to companies at risk of missing payment deadlines and relaxing guidelines on how to categorize overdue debt; and 2) Some banks are also refraining from reporting delinquencies to mainland China's centralized credit-scoring system and allowing borrowers to skip interest payments for up to six months.

Sick Man of Asia Is a Double Entendre: Not only is mainland China the epicenter for the corona virus outbreak, but it certainly appears its struggling financial system is as ill as the folks in Wuhan. There are increasing and hidden risks on bank balance sheets. Its latest bout of forbearance is reversing a several year trend of vigilance and discipline within its financial system.  


China

New China Life Insurance provides a comprehensive range of life insurance products and services, including traditional life, health, and accident insurance, to individual and institutional clients. The company also manages and invests insurance funds through its subsidiaries. It is headquartered in Beijing, China, and was founded in September 1996.

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New China Life Insurance (1336 HK)

Industry Report - Insights on China Commercial Health Insurance Industry

This article mainly analyzed the current situation, market potential, industry characteristics, challenges and future trends of China commercial...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Asian Insurers – Mea, Mea EIOPA

ASIA INSURERS: On April 3, 2020, EIOPA temporarily suspended capital management activities," but just reversed course. Many Asia-Pacific insurers...

Thomas J. Monaco

Another Day, Another Default

MAINLAND CHINA DEFAULT: Yongcheng Coal Defaulted On Its Debt, Leading To Concerns About The Credibility Of AAA Rated Corporates In Mainland China...

Thomas J. Monaco

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 26th): Midea, Cmoc, Htsc, China Longyuan, Times Electric, Innocare

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Midea, Cmoc, Htsc, China Longyuan, Times Electric, Innocare.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Banks - Abracadabra

China Loves the "F" Word: The China Bank and Insurance Regulatory Commission's (CBIRC) latest bout of bank capital forbearance in reaction to the...

Thomas J. Monaco

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