Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The recent financial results of NEXT plc present a mixed picture, reflecting both the resilience and the challenges the company faces in the retail and online fashion sectors.</li><li>Overall, the company has shown commendable performance across its geographical markets, with particularly strong results in its international business.</li><li>However, there are notable concerns and cautious outlooks that investors should consider.</li></ul>

The recent financial results of NEXT plc present a mixed picture, reflecting both the resilience and the challenges the company faces in the retail and online fashion sectors.Overall, the company has shown commendable performance across its geographical markets, with particularly strong results in its international business.However, there are notable concerns and cautious outlooks that investors should consider.

NEXT plc’s Bold New Vision: From Local Retailer to Global Powerhouse Through Innovation & Efficiency!

<ul><li>NEXT, a prominent UK-based retail company, has reported its latest financial results, demonstrating both strengths and challenges in its operations.</li><li>This summary captures the core aspects of NEXT's performance, the strategic decisions made, and the roadmap ahead as outlined in their recent earnings call.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

NEXT, a prominent UK-based retail company, has reported its latest financial results, demonstrating both strengths and challenges in its operations.This summary captures the core aspects of NEXT's performance, the strategic decisions made, and the roadmap ahead as outlined in their recent earnings call.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

NEXT Plc: Initiation of Coverage- Is the Zalando Alliance The Hidden Catalyst for International Growth?

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Consumer Discretionary is the strongest consensus overweight among UK active funds, with 85% positioned above the FTSE All Share Index.</li>
<li>The sector’s relative overweight has climbed steadily to decade highs, with 85% of funds positioned above benchmark.</li>
<li>Stock-Level tilts show consistent preference for Burberry, Whitbread, and Next, alongside reductions in Taylor Wimpey, Dowlais, and Frasers Group.</li>
</ul>


Consumer Discretionary is the strongest consensus overweight among UK active funds, with 85% positioned above the FTSE All Share Index.
The sector’s relative overweight has climbed steadily to decade highs, with 85% of funds positioned above benchmark.
Stock-Level tilts show consistent preference for Burberry, Whitbread, and Next, alongside reductions in Taylor Wimpey, Dowlais, and Frasers Group.


UK Consumer Discretionary Positioning: A Consensus Overweight

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

<ul><li>The WTR Sustainable Index was down 3.3% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 1.0%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 0.9%), and the Nasdaq Index (down 1.4%).</li><li>Energy Technology (13.5% of the index) was down 4.7%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (46.7% of the index) was down 5.1%, ClimateTech Mining was flat, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (21.4% of index) was down 1.1%.</li><li><strong>Top 10 Performers</strong>: NXT, GPHOF, PNPN, GMGMF, BNET, ABML, FGPHF, LTBR, AMMP, ZAPP</li></ul>

The WTR Sustainable Index was down 3.3% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 1.0%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 0.9%), and the Nasdaq Index (down 1.4%).Energy Technology (13.5% of the index) was down 4.7%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (46.7% of the index) was down 5.1%, ClimateTech Mining was flat, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (21.4% of index) was down 1.1%.Top 10 Performers: NXT, GPHOF, PNPN, GMGMF, BNET, ABML, FGPHF, LTBR, AMMP, ZAPP

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Comstock, Inc. (LODE)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Singtel (Singapore Telecommunications) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The latest recessionary signal we see: WTI and Brent crude oil prices violating 1.5-year supports, only adding to our prior concerns about a weakening labor market (Sahm rule, SRI triggered)</li>
<li>We also discussed last week (August 29) how we were expecting the S&amp;P 500, Japan's TOPIX, and Europe's EURO STOXX 50 to "roll over near current or marginally higher levels."</li>
<li>Ongoing belief (since July 25) is that $ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation that could end up being a topping pattern. All have since reacted lower.</li>
</ul>


The latest recessionary signal we see: WTI and Brent crude oil prices violating 1.5-year supports, only adding to our prior concerns about a weakening labor market (Sahm rule, SRI triggered)
We also discussed last week (August 29) how we were expecting the S&amp;P 500, Japan's TOPIX, and Europe's EURO STOXX 50 to "roll over near current or marginally higher levels."
Ongoing belief (since July 25) is that $ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation that could end up being a topping pattern. All have since reacted lower.


Crude Oil Breaking 1.5-Year Support, Failed Breakouts on $EFA $ACWX; Still Expecting More Downside

United Kingdom

Next Plc conducts retailing, home shopping, and customer services management operations.  The Company's retail stores sell ladies wear, mens wear, childrens wear, and housewares.

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Next PLC (NXT LN)

NEXT plc’s Bold New Vision: From Local Retailer to Global Powerhouse Through Innovation & Efficiency!

The recent financial results of NEXT plc present a mixed picture, reflecting both the resilience and the challenges the company faces in the...

Baptista Research

NEXT Plc: Initiation of Coverage- Is the Zalando Alliance The Hidden Catalyst for International Growth?

NEXT, a prominent UK-based retail company, has reported its latest financial results, demonstrating both strengths and challenges in its...

Baptista Research

UK Consumer Discretionary Positioning: A Consensus Overweight

Consumer Discretionary is the UK’s standout active overweight. Absolute allocations are stable, but the sector’s relative overweight has surged to...

Steven Holden

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on Comstock, Inc. (LODE)

The WTR Sustainable Index was down 3.3% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (down 1.0%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 0.9%), and the Nasdaq Index (down...

Water Tower Research

Crude Oil Breaking 1.5-Year Support, Failed Breakouts on $EFA $ACWX; Still Expecting More Downside

Crude Oil Breaking Below 1.5-Year Support, Yet Another Recessionary Signal; Bearish Failed Breakouts on $EFA $ACWX; Still Expecting More Downside;...

Vermilion Research

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