Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Market Watch: Japanese equities flat over the week. Core inflation exceeds inflation; pressure on BoJ to normalize policy</li>
<li>Major Movers: Fujitsu stock soared by 12% this week; earnings in line; margin improvement in core Japan service solutions business.</li>
<li>Activist Watch: Murakami &amp; co has added another 1-pt to their holding in Ryosan (10.4%)</li>
</ul>


Market Watch: Japanese equities flat over the week. Core inflation exceeds inflation; pressure on BoJ to normalize policy
Major Movers: Fujitsu stock soared by 12% this week; earnings in line; margin improvement in core Japan service solutions business.
Activist Watch: Murakami &amp; co has added another 1-pt to their holding in Ryosan (10.4%)


<ul>
<li>Nidec released its financial results for the second quarter of 2023. Sales were up 0.7% and OP up 7.6% yoy</li>
<li>We view the results as neutral for the share price </li>
<li>The thesis for Nidec remains intact - the structural shift from oil to electricity is a key driver across all segments</li>
</ul>


Nidec released its financial results for the second quarter of 2023. Sales were up 0.7% and OP up 7.6% yoy
We view the results as neutral for the share price 
The thesis for Nidec remains intact - the structural shift from oil to electricity is a key driver across all segments


<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS: SPX +0.1% UST Yields 4.25%(down !) on hot August CPI Print; UAW plans strike strategy as no deal yet with US Big 3 autos; China vs Apple: Confused messaging. </li>
<li>JAPAN:  NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 147.5; Kishida focuses on wage hikes after cabinet reshuffle; Softbank wins on ARM - prices at $51;  Fanuc to SELL at GS.</li>
<li>JAPAN X:  Kirin (and Sapporo) Embrace AI for Demand Forecasting. We think that this trend in Japan will only increase - with positive implications for margins and profits. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS: SPX +0.1% UST Yields 4.25%(down !) on hot August CPI Print; UAW plans strike strategy as no deal yet with US Big 3 autos; China vs Apple: Confused messaging. 
JAPAN:  NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 147.5; Kishida focuses on wage hikes after cabinet reshuffle; Softbank wins on ARM - prices at $51;  Fanuc to SELL at GS.
JAPAN X:  Kirin (and Sapporo) Embrace AI for Demand Forecasting. We think that this trend in Japan will only increase - with positive implications for margins and profits. 


Ohayo Japan: Hot Inflaton Print...Ignored! JAPAN X: Kirin's AI to Revolutionize Production Planning

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. Fitch downgrade spurs risk off as S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 sold off;  US Treasuries sold off as well, but note new Treasury issuance are indeed coming </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY  Futures -1.1% vs cash; USDJPY 143.4;  Japan had most of the selling yesterday but could see some follow-through;  EARNINGS; TDK, Sumi Elect misses; TOB: Itochu takes CTC private</li>
<li>NUGGET. ANA(9202) to begin offsetting GHG via the purchase of carbon credits. We estimate that if DAC  removes 10% of its emissions, 70% of OP will disappear!  Bears watching. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. Fitch downgrade spurs risk off as S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 sold off;  US Treasuries sold off as well, but note new Treasury issuance are indeed coming 
JAPAN. NKY  Futures -1.1% vs cash; USDJPY 143.4;  Japan had most of the selling yesterday but could see some follow-through;  EARNINGS; TDK, Sumi Elect misses; TOB: Itochu takes CTC private
NUGGET. ANA(9202) to begin offsetting GHG via the purchase of carbon credits. We estimate that if DAC  removes 10% of its emissions, 70% of OP will disappear!  Bears watching. 


Ohayo Japan|Fitch Downgrade Spurs Global Risk Off; NUGGET: ANA(+JAL) - Direct Air Capture, Not Cheap

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. PCE Deflator 3.0%YoY; 0.2%MoM calms (re)inflation fears; Yields fall,  Equities rebound as Goldilocks View of Economy/Markets intact; SPX 2Q earnings not so bad; China further moves to bolster economy; </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futures 1% vs Cash; USDJPY 141.2; BOJ Tweaks - 0.5% JGB10Y  yield now a reference, not a ceiling; To buy bonds at 1%.; Next inflation forecast 1.9%=continued easing</li>
<li>NUGGET. Nidec-Renesas Partnership potentially a big deal for both companies. Successful execution will lead to sales and profit growth for both companies in their respective areas.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. PCE Deflator 3.0%YoY; 0.2%MoM calms (re)inflation fears; Yields fall,  Equities rebound as Goldilocks View of Economy/Markets intact; SPX 2Q earnings not so bad; China further moves to bolster economy; 
JAPAN. NKY Futures 1% vs Cash; USDJPY 141.2; BOJ Tweaks - 0.5% JGB10Y  yield now a reference, not a ceiling; To buy bonds at 1%.; Next inflation forecast 1.9%=continued easing
NUGGET. Nidec-Renesas Partnership potentially a big deal for both companies. Successful execution will lead to sales and profit growth for both companies in their respective areas.


Ohayo Japan|Benign PCE Deflator Spurs Equities; BOJ Easing to Continue: Nidec+Renasas = A Big Deal

Japan

NIDEC CORPORATION is the world's leading manufacturer of small precision motors mainly used in HDD and optical disk drives. The company has extended its focus to the home appliance and automotive markets. NIDEC is active in M&A and its subsidiaries include the world's leading manufacturers of LCD panel handling robots and camera shutters.

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Nidec Corp (6594 JP)

Japan Weekly | Fujitsu, Nidec, Ibiden

Japanese equities remain flat as core inflation surpasses inflation, increasing pressure on the Bank of Japan to normalize policy. Fujitsu stock...

Mark Chadwick

Nidec (6594) | Q2 Profits up 8%

Nidec's Q2 2023 financial results show slight sales growth and increased operating profit; Share price impact is considered neutral. LT thesis...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan: Hot Inflaton Print...Ignored! JAPAN X: Kirin's AI to Revolutionize Production Planning

US markets ignore August CPI print; NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 147.5; Kishida focuses on wage hikes after cabinet reshuffle; Softbank wins on...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan|Fitch Downgrade Spurs Global Risk Off; NUGGET: ANA(+JAL) - Direct Air Capture, Not Cheap

Fitch downgrade spurs risk off; NKY Futures -1.1% vs cash; USDJPY 143.4; Japan likely sees some follow-through on yesterday's sell-off; ...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan|Benign PCE Deflator Spurs Equities; BOJ Easing to Continue: Nidec+Renasas = A Big Deal

US Equities rebound as confidence grows in Golilocks trade; NKY Futures 1% vs Cash; USDJPY 141.2; BOJ Tweaks -To buy 10 year bonds at 1%.; Next...

Mark Chadwick

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Japan Weekly | Fujitsu, Nidec, Ibiden

​Japanese equities remain flat as core inflation surpasses inflation, increasing pressure on the Bank of Japan to normalize policy. Fujitsu stock...

Mark Chadwick

Nidec (6594) | Q2 Profits up 8%

​Nidec's Q2 2023 financial results show slight sales growth and increased operating profit; Share price impact is considered neutral. LT thesis...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan: Hot Inflaton Print...Ignored! JAPAN X: Kirin's AI to Revolutionize Production Planning

US markets ignore August CPI print; NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 147.5; Kishida focuses on wage hikes after cabinet reshuffle; Softbank wins on...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan|Fitch Downgrade Spurs Global Risk Off; NUGGET: ANA(+JAL) - Direct Air Capture, Not Cheap

Fitch downgrade spurs risk off; NKY Futures -1.1% vs cash; USDJPY 143.4; Japan likely sees some follow-through on yesterday's sell-off; ...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan|Benign PCE Deflator Spurs Equities; BOJ Easing to Continue: Nidec+Renasas = A Big Deal

US Equities rebound as confidence grows in Golilocks trade; NKY Futures 1% vs Cash; USDJPY 141.2; BOJ Tweaks -To buy 10 year bonds at 1%.; Next...

Mark Chadwick

Japanese equities remain flat as core inflation surpasses inflation, increasing pressure on the Bank of Japan to normalize policy. Fujitsu stock...

Nidec's Q2 2023 financial results show slight sales growth and increased operating profit; Share price impact is considered neutral. LT thesis...