Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Global equity markets have experienced falling prices and increasing volatility over the past week. Some markets were affected more than others.</li>
<li>Hedging opportunities in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ftse-100-index-ukx" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22904:1" rel="noopener">FTSE 100 Index (UKX INDEX)</a>, or the Swiss Market Index; all with sub-13% implied volatility.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> experienced some of the largest market and volatility moves in international comparison, with more turbulence likely ahead following the Japanese elections.</li>
</ul>


Global equity markets have experienced falling prices and increasing volatility over the past week. Some markets were affected more than others.
Hedging opportunities in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX), the FTSE 100 Index (UKX INDEX), or the Swiss Market Index; all with sub-13% implied volatility.
The Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) experienced some of the largest market and volatility moves in international comparison, with more turbulence likely ahead following the Japanese elections.


EQD | Global Option Implied Volatility - Nikkei 225, Nifty 50, S&P/ASX 200, S&P 500, SMI, FTSE 100

Head of Trading/ Partner, AceGama Advisors

Sankalp Singh

Head of Trading/ Partner

Proprietary Trading Desk

AceGama Advisors

Trading desk specializing in the Listed & OTC options strategies for risk management & investment purposes.

<ul>
<li>SEBI-Mandated structural changes continue to percolate through for Options Markets. Position limits &amp; lot sizes have been increased drastically, tilting regulations away from Retail &amp; towards more Institutional participation.</li>
<li>IV levels are in the middle of their 12-month ranges. Vol-Regime Model currently in "High &amp; Down" state - grind lower in IVs projected. </li>
<li>In spite of a stronger underlying index, upcoming Bank earnings results have supported BankNifty IVs.  </li>
</ul>


SEBI-Mandated structural changes continue to percolate through for Options Markets. Position limits &amp; lot sizes have been increased drastically, tilting regulations away from Retail &amp; towards more Institutional participation.
IV levels are in the middle of their 12-month ranges. Vol-Regime Model currently in "High &amp; Down" state - grind lower in IVs projected. 
In spite of a stronger underlying index, upcoming Bank earnings results have supported BankNifty IVs.  


EQD / NSE Vol Update / Options Mkt. Structural Changes Incoming: 15x Position Limits + 3x Lot Size

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor (005380 KS)</a> raised INR 279bn (US$3.3bn) by selling some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)</a>, valuing Hyundai India at INR 1,593bn (US$18.95bn).</li>
<li>The anchor investor book was fully subscribed. The non-institutional and retail books were undersubscribed, so institutions got more stock. And that changes the free float estimates for one global index.</li>
<li>Even with the higher float, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)</a> is unlikely to get Fast Entry to one global index later this month. Index inclusions should commence in February 2025.</li>
</ul>



Hyundai Motor (005380 KS) raised INR 279bn (US$3.3bn) by selling some of its stake in Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN), valuing Hyundai India at INR 1,593bn (US$18.95bn).
The anchor investor book was fully subscribed. The non-institutional and retail books were undersubscribed, so institutions got more stock. And that changes the free float estimates for one global index.
Even with the higher float, Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN) is unlikely to get Fast Entry to one global index later this month. Index inclusions should commence in February 2025.


Hyundai Motor India IPO: How Far to Fast Entry?

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>A special call auction shall be held on October 28, 2024 by BSE &amp; NSE to discover hidden value in Investment Holding Companies.</li>
<li>BSE and NSE came out with the list of 8-9 Companies that are eligible for this special session. </li>
<li>We calculated the upside left in these companies using the Current price with 30% discount: 3 Companies with more than 100% upside.</li>
</ul>


A special call auction shall be held on October 28, 2024 by BSE &amp; NSE to discover hidden value in Investment Holding Companies.
BSE and NSE came out with the list of 8-9 Companies that are eligible for this special session. 
We calculated the upside left in these companies using the Current price with 30% discount: 3 Companies with more than 100% upside.


Event Driven: Special Call Auction in Indian Holding Companies

<ul>
<li>Options Markets expected risk sentiment to deteriorate further - IVs were elevated. But lack of RV follow through caused sharp markdowns, especially for short-dated contracts.  </li>
<li>Increased Vol-of-vol has triggered multiple switches in Vol Regime Model - currently in "High &amp; Down" vol-state. Multiple state-switches indicative of unfolding structural changes in Vol Markets.</li>
<li>Smile looking overly compressed in Monthly &amp; Quarterly contracts as OTM Strangles trade close to par with ATMs.</li>
</ul>


Options Markets expected risk sentiment to deteriorate further - IVs were elevated. But lack of RV follow through caused sharp markdowns, especially for short-dated contracts.  
Increased Vol-of-vol has triggered multiple switches in Vol Regime Model - currently in "High &amp; Down" vol-state. Multiple state-switches indicative of unfolding structural changes in Vol Markets.
Smile looking overly compressed in Monthly &amp; Quarterly contracts as OTM Strangles trade close to par with ATMs.


EQD / NSE Vol Update / ++Vol-Of-Vol & Unstable Vol-Regime. Structural Changes Unfolding in Vol Mkts?

India

The NIFTY 50 index is National Stock Exchange of India's benchmark stock market index for Indian equity market. Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products (IISL), which is a wholly owned subsidiary of the NSE Strategic Investment Corporation Limited.

NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)

EQD | Global Option Implied Volatility - Nikkei 225, Nifty 50, S&P/ASX 200, S&P 500, SMI, FTSE 100

Global equity markets have seen falling prices and rising volatility. Hedging opportunities exist in the FTSE 100, SMI, and S&P/ASX 200. The...

Gaudenz Schneider

EQD / NSE Vol Update / Options Mkt. Structural Changes Incoming: 15x Position Limits + 3x Lot Size

Nifty50 Index has traded decisively below 25000 level. IVs have responded as a result, taking the entire Vol Surface uniformly higher. Weekly IVs...

AceGama Advisors

Hyundai Motor India IPO: How Far to Fast Entry?

Hyundai India sold shares worth US$3.3bn in its IPO valuing the company at US$19bn. Grey market indicates a 3-5% higher opening today. Fast Entry...

Brian Freitas

Event Driven: Special Call Auction in Indian Holding Companies

BSE & NSE to hold special call auction on Oct 28, 2024 for Investment Holding Companies, 8-9 eligible, 3 with over 100% upside potential.

Nimish Maheshwari

EQD / NSE Vol Update / ++Vol-Of-Vol & Unstable Vol-Regime. Structural Changes Unfolding in Vol Mkts?

The new SEBI announcement (15.10.2024) w.r.t to position limits will add to the structural changes unfolding in the Options Markets. Position...

AceGama Advisors

EQD | Global Option Implied Volatility - Nikkei 225, Nifty 50, S&P/ASX 200, S&P 500, SMI, FTSE 100

​Global equity markets have seen falling prices and rising volatility. Hedging opportunities exist in the FTSE 100, SMI, and S&P/ASX 200. The...

Gaudenz Schneider

EQD / NSE Vol Update / Options Mkt. Structural Changes Incoming: 15x Position Limits + 3x Lot Size

Nifty50 Index has traded decisively below 25000 level. IVs have responded as a result, taking the entire Vol Surface uniformly higher. Weekly IVs...

AceGama Advisors

Hyundai Motor India IPO: How Far to Fast Entry?

Hyundai India sold shares worth US$3.3bn in its IPO valuing the company at US$19bn. Grey market indicates a 3-5% higher opening today. Fast Entry...

Brian Freitas

Event Driven: Special Call Auction in Indian Holding Companies

​BSE & NSE to hold special call auction on Oct 28, 2024 for Investment Holding Companies, 8-9 eligible, 3 with over 100% upside potential.

Nimish Maheshwari

EQD / NSE Vol Update / ++Vol-Of-Vol & Unstable Vol-Regime. Structural Changes Unfolding in Vol Mkts?

The new SEBI announcement (15.10.2024) w.r.t to position limits will add to the structural changes unfolding in the Options Markets. Position...

AceGama Advisors

Global equity markets have seen falling prices and rising volatility. Hedging opportunities exist in the FTSE 100, SMI, and S&P/ASX 200. The...

BSE & NSE to hold special call auction on Oct 28, 2024 for Investment Holding Companies, 8-9 eligible, 3 with over 100% upside potential.