High Conviction Concentrated Growth Investing, Fallacy Alarm

Fallacy Alarm

High Conviction Concentrated Growth Investing

High conviction concentrated growth investing. Blends single stock, macro and thematic research into powerful long and short ideas. I am convinced that a robust and comprehensive investment process requires macro and micro considerations. And it requires a deep understanding what you are looking for and what you are invested in. Digitization has changed the dynamics both how businesses operate and how investors compete for returns. Ideas can scale much faster and fail much faster than before. The biggest value creation happens before it can be spotted in financial statements. As a result, my approach can be best summarized as high conviction, high concentration growth investing, embedded into a macro framework built on the realization that our current demographic set-up, monetary paradigm and innovation cycle will likely deliver a strong decade for nominal and real returns of productive assets.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li><p>If you want to sell branded products, you need to get your customers excited.</p></li><li><p>Nike’s reinvention of road running shoes in the late 2010s is a perfect example.</p></li><li><p>After Eliud Kipchoge won the 2017 Berlin Marathon in the freshly launched <em>Vaporfly 4%, </em>its stock ran more than 200% over several years.</p></li></ul>

If you want to sell branded products, you need to get your customers excited.Nike’s reinvention of road running shoes in the late 2010s is a perfect example.After Eliud Kipchoge won the 2017 Berlin Marathon in the freshly launched Vaporfly 4%, its stock ran more than 200% over several years.

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li>Nike Inc. is undertaking a major overhaul of its global supply chain to reduce its reliance on Chinese manufacturing for footwear destined for the U.S. market. The move comes as the sportswear giant faces mounting tariff pressures and falling sales.</li><li>Currently, China accounts for about 16% of Nike’s footwear imported into the United States, Matthew Friend, Nike’s chief financial officer, said during an earnings call on Thursday. The company wants to cut that figure to a “high single-digit percentage range” by May 2026, shifting production to other countries to offset rising tariff costs.</li><li>Nike estimates tariffs imposed by the Trump administration will add roughly $1 billion to its expenses, highlighting the urgency of diversifying its sourcing strategy.</li></ul>

Nike Inc. is undertaking a major overhaul of its global supply chain to reduce its reliance on Chinese manufacturing for footwear destined for the U.S. market. The move comes as the sportswear giant faces mounting tariff pressures and falling sales.Currently, China accounts for about 16% of Nike’s footwear imported into the United States, Matthew Friend, Nike’s chief financial officer, said during an earnings call on Thursday. The company wants to cut that figure to a “high single-digit percentage range” by May 2026, shifting production to other countries to offset rising tariff costs.Nike estimates tariffs imposed by the Trump administration will add roughly $1 billion to its expenses, highlighting the urgency of diversifying its sourcing strategy.

Nike to Cut China Footwear Output to Counter $1 Billion Tariff Hit 

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

<ul><li>Nike is a high-quality company that has recently experienced a sell-off, presenting an attractive investment opportunity for long-term investors.</li><li>The company's historical track record, long-term competitive advantage, and potential for future success make it a strong choice for investors looking to hold onto their investments for five or more years.</li><li>Despite near-term missteps and temporary strength from competitors, Nike's strong brand reputation and track record of success suggest favorable odds for long-term investors.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.</em></p>

Nike is a high-quality company that has recently experienced a sell-off, presenting an attractive investment opportunity for long-term investors.The company's historical track record, long-term competitive advantage, and potential for future success make it a strong choice for investors looking to hold onto their investments for five or more years.Despite near-term missteps and temporary strength from competitors, Nike's strong brand reputation and track record of success suggest favorable odds for long-term investors.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Nike Inc  -Cl B (NKE) - Wednesday, Aug 21, 2024

Fundamental Principles of the Stock Market, From 0 to 1 in the Stock Market

From 0 to 1 in the Stock Market

Fundamental Principles of the Stock Market

Fundamental principles of the stock market, earnings reviews and research. My name is Giuliano Mana, I’m 23 years old. I have a B.A Degree in Finance and I’m a Master’s candidate at Brandeis IBS. I’ve been thoroughly going over huge amounts of reading material regarding the stock market and hope to transmit some insights here.

<ul>
<li>The last twelve months were, market-wise, interesting. Multiple things have happened that contributed to changes in my thinking-process.</li>
<li>Refining thoughts and the mental mechanism I utilize to approach portfolio management should lead to success, or at least that is my hypothesis.</li>
<li>Continuous learning allows for building more solid premises. Given time, compound interest sharpens them to the point where chances of error are minimum.</li>
</ul>


The last twelve months were, market-wise, interesting. Multiple things have happened that contributed to changes in my thinking-process.
Refining thoughts and the mental mechanism I utilize to approach portfolio management should lead to success, or at least that is my hypothesis.
Continuous learning allows for building more solid premises. Given time, compound interest sharpens them to the point where chances of error are minimum.


Managing Partner, VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

Managing Partner

Valuation & Research Specialists (VRS) is a boutique financial advisor with more than 17 years of experience in Corporate Valuation and Finance, and a diversified client base including some of the largest Companies in Greece.

Since 2002, VRS has completed more than 200 engagements in the areas of business valuation and financial analysis for more than 100 clients in a wide range of industries.

VRS has been honored to work with small and large private and publicly traded companies in Europe and overseas.

Boutique Financial Advisor

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>NIKE, Inc. is engaged in the designing, marketing and distributing of athletic footwear, apparel, equipment and accessories and services for sports and fitness activities.</li><li>The Company's operating segments in- clude North America; Europe, Middle East &amp; Africa (EMEA); Greater China; and Asia Pacific &amp; Latin America (APLA).</li><li>It sells a line of equipment and accessories under the NIKE Brand name, including bags, socks, sport balls, eyewear, timepieces, digital devices, bats, gloves, protective equipment and other equipment designed for sports activities. </li></ul></div></div></div></div>

NIKE, Inc. is engaged in the designing, marketing and distributing of athletic footwear, apparel, equipment and accessories and services for sports and fitness activities.The Company's operating segments in- clude North America; Europe, Middle East &amp; Africa (EMEA); Greater China; and Asia Pacific &amp; Latin America (APLA).It sells a line of equipment and accessories under the NIKE Brand name, including bags, socks, sport balls, eyewear, timepieces, digital devices, bats, gloves, protective equipment and other equipment designed for sports activities. 

United States

NIKE, Inc. designs, develops, and markets athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessory products for men, women, and children. The Company sells its products worldwide to retail stores, through its own stores, subsidiaries, and distributors.

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Nike (NKE US)

Adidas: Supershoe = Superstock?

If you want to sell branded products, you need to get your customers excited. Nike’s reinvention of road running shoes in the late 2010s is a...

Fallacy Alarm

Nike to Cut China Footwear Output to Counter $1 Billion Tariff Hit

Nike Inc. is undertaking a major overhaul of its global supply chain to reduce its reliance on Chinese manufacturing for footwear destined for the...

Caixin Global

Nike Inc -Cl B (NKE) - Wednesday, Aug 21, 2024

Nike is a high-quality company that has recently experienced a sell-off, presenting an attractive investment opportunity for long-term investors.

Value Investors Club (VIC)

2023 Shareholder Letter

The last twelve months were, market-wise, interesting. Multiple things have happened that contributed to changes in my thinking-process.

From 0 to 1 in the Stock Market

Company Update - NIKE INC.

NIKE, Inc. is engaged in the designing, marketing and distributing of athletic footwear, apparel, equipment and accessories and services for sports...

VRS (Valuation & Research Specialists)

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