Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>In our final weekly for the year, we look back at 2022 to see which stocks, countries, and currencies out and underperformed in the Global Emerging Markets.</li>
<li>We also look forward to 2023F to see what’s expected for the major GEM economies next year.  </li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.
In our final weekly for the year, we look back at 2022 to see which stocks, countries, and currencies out and underperformed in the Global Emerging Markets.
We also look forward to 2023F to see what’s expected for the major GEM economies next year.  


China Specialist, Auto and Industrial Specialist

Victoria Li

<ul>
<li>Despite the remaining EV subsidies finishing next year, we expect demand to be relatively unimpacted</li>
<li>Battery supply issues should be eased with Covid lockdowns easing and new capacity expansions</li>
<li>&gt;100 new models due for launch in 2023E vs ~70 in 2022 and will keep potential customers and market excited in the sector</li>
</ul>


Despite the remaining EV subsidies finishing next year, we expect demand to be relatively unimpacted
Battery supply issues should be eased with Covid lockdowns easing and new capacity expansions
&gt;100 new models due for launch in 2023E vs ~70 in 2022 and will keep potential customers and market excited in the sector


China NEV Outlook: Life After Subsidies Is Still Beautiful

<ul>
<li>The 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +12.8%y/y for 3Q22-to-date, a significant slowdown from what was reported for 2Q22.</li>
<li>60% of companies delivered positive sales surprise, same as in 2Q22, whilst 65% delivered positive EPS surprise, up from 56% in 2Q22.</li>
<li>Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.</li>
</ul>


The 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +12.8%y/y for 3Q22-to-date, a significant slowdown from what was reported for 2Q22.
60% of companies delivered positive sales surprise, same as in 2Q22, whilst 65% delivered positive EPS surprise, up from 56% in 2Q22.
Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 3Q2022

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Yuan / In Depth: Yuan gets more international love as dollar rivalry grows</li><li>China-Vietnam / Xi pledges supply chain stability with Vietnam</li><li>PMI / China’s manufacturing contracts for third straight month, Caixin PMI shows　</li></ul>

Yuan / In Depth: Yuan gets more international love as dollar rivalry growsChina-Vietnam / Xi pledges supply chain stability with VietnamPMI / China’s manufacturing contracts for third straight month, Caixin PMI shows　

CX Daily: Yuan Gets More International Love As Dollar Rivalry Grows

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-China in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on TENCENT, MAXSCEND MICROELECTRONICS, MEITUAN, XIAOMI, JD.COM, JIANGSU ETERN, NCI, CHINA LIFE.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-China in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on TENCENT, MAXSCEND MICROELECTRONICS, MEITUAN, XIAOMI, JD.COM, JIANGSU ETERN, NCI, CHINA LIFE.


MS-China Index Earning Revision (Jul): TENCENT, MAXSCEND MICROELECTRONICS, MEITUAN, XIAOMI, JD.COM

China

NIO designs, develops, manufactures, and sells smart electric vehicles, including sedans and SUVs under its NIO, ONVO, and FIREFLY brands. The company also offers innovative power solutions such as battery swapping services and various charging options. NIO was founded in November 2014 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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NIO (9866 HK)

GEM Weekly: 2022 Yearend Edition

In our final weekly for the year, we look back at 2022 to see which GEM stocks, countries, and currencies out and underperformed, and look forward...

Wium Malan, CFA

China NEV Outlook: Life After Subsidies Is Still Beautiful

Despite the remaining EV subsidies finishing next year, we expect demand to be relatively unimpacted. Battery supply issues should be eased with...

Victoria Li

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 3Q2022

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends with reference to Sales- and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive...

Wium Malan, CFA

CX Daily: Yuan Gets More International Love As Dollar Rivalry Grows

In Depth: Yuan gets more international love as dollar rivalry grows. Xi pledges supply chain stability with Vietnam. China’s manufacturing...

Caixin Global

MS-China Index Earning Revision (Jul): TENCENT, MAXSCEND MICROELECTRONICS, MEITUAN, XIAOMI, JD.COM

We analyzed MS-China's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in TENCENT, MAXSCEND MICROELECTRONICS, MEITUAN, XIAOMI, JD.COM,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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