External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 72% YoY and fell 12% MoM to 2.22mn units in Jan 2024, based on insurance data, 2% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>China’s PV wholesale volume rose 44% YoY and fell 24% MoM to 2.11mn units in Jan 2024, according to CAAM, 10% lower than our forecast, as automakers cut more than 0.4mn units of inventories.</li><li>PV exports rose 48% YoY and fell 12% MoM to 0.37mn units in Jan, also 10% lower than our projection</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 72% YoY and fell 12% MoM to 2.22mn units in Jan 2024, based on insurance data, 2% higher than our prior forecast.China’s PV wholesale volume rose 44% YoY and fell 24% MoM to 2.11mn units in Jan 2024, according to CAAM, 10% lower than our forecast, as automakers cut more than 0.4mn units of inventories.PV exports rose 48% YoY and fell 12% MoM to 0.37mn units in Jan, also 10% lower than our projectionContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Post CNY Sales Recovery Could Be Mild

<ul><li>11 Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Feb 2024 NEV sales volumes on 1 Mar 2024.</li><li>Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined fell 19% YoY (ranging from -45% to +503%) and 39% MoM (ranging from -51% to -19%) in Feb 2024 due to the Chinese New Year holiday.</li><li>Li Auto rose YoY, Xpeng fell the most MoM. Li Auto’s deliveries rose 22% YoY and fell 35% MoM to about 20,000 units in Feb 2024, in line with our prior expectation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

11 Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Feb 2024 NEV sales volumes on 1 Mar 2024.Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined fell 19% YoY (ranging from -45% to +503%) and 39% MoM (ranging from -51% to -19%) in Feb 2024 due to the Chinese New Year holiday.Li Auto rose YoY, Xpeng fell the most MoM. Li Auto’s deliveries rose 22% YoY and fell 35% MoM to about 20,000 units in Feb 2024, in line with our prior expectation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Feb NEV Sales Fell; More New Models from Mar

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. We project NIO’s 4Q23 net loss to narrow QoQ to RMB4.4bn with a GPM improvement.</li><li>However, such GPM lift could still result in a net loss of RMB14.6bn in FY24E on our estimates.</li><li>Although the capital injection from CYVN could probably support NIO’s cash burn for two years, we think NIO still needs to lay out persuasive strategies to turn profitable to increase investors’ confidence, especially for its second brand launch in 2H24, as the NIO brand lacks new models in 1H24.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. We project NIO’s 4Q23 net loss to narrow QoQ to RMB4.4bn with a GPM improvement.However, such GPM lift could still result in a net loss of RMB14.6bn in FY24E on our estimates.Although the capital injection from CYVN could probably support NIO’s cash burn for two years, we think NIO still needs to lay out persuasive strategies to turn profitable to increase investors’ confidence, especially for its second brand launch in 2H24, as the NIO brand lacks new models in 1H24.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NIO (NIO US) - Need Persuasive Strategies to Turn Profitable

<ul><li>We summarize the Jan 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Dec 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Jan 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>The blended average discounts for foreign brands slightly narrowed MoM in Jan 2024, based on our calculations, while those for Chinese brands widened by 0.6ppt MoM on average, as Chinese automakers are probably more aggressive in pushing sales before the Chinese New Year (CNY). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Jan 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Dec 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Jan 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.The blended average discounts for foreign brands slightly narrowed MoM in Jan 2024, based on our calculations, while those for Chinese brands widened by 0.6ppt MoM on average, as Chinese automakers are probably more aggressive in pushing sales before the Chinese New Year (CNY). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Chinese Brands’ Discounts Continued to Widen in Jan

<ul><li>We summarize the Jan 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15-18 stores for each brand) in 15 cities in China.</li><li>The following data reflect same-store metrics, and the metrics on a company level could be better than these figures, as most players are still expanding their sales network.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Jan 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15-18 stores for each brand) in 15 cities in China.The following data reflect same-store metrics, and the metrics on a company level could be better than these figures, as most players are still expanding their sales network.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Moderate Leading Indicators May Result in Mild Recovery After CNY

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

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NIO (NIO US)

Auto - Post CNY Sales Recovery Could Be Mild

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 72% YoY and fell 12% MoM to 2.22mn units in Jan 2024, based on insurance data, 2% higher...

CMB International

Auto - Feb NEV Sales Fell; More New Models from Mar

11 Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Feb 2024 NEV sales...

CMB International

NIO (NIO US) - Need Persuasive Strategies to Turn Profitable

Maintain HOLD. We project NIO’s 4Q23 net loss to narrow QoQ to RMB4.4bn with a GPM improvement. However, such GPM lift could still result in a net...

CMB International

Auto - Chinese Brands’ Discounts Continued to Widen in Jan

Discounts at dealers usually narrow after the CNY amid more new model launches, which did not occur in 2022 and 2023, as price war outweighed new...

CMB International

Auto - Moderate Leading Indicators May Result in Mild Recovery After CNY

We summarize the Jan 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

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