External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. Despite NIO’s 3Q23 earnings beat on R&amp;D and SG&amp;A, its 4Q23 sales guidance could imply a tough FY24, in our view.</li><li>We see little chance for NIO to achieve double-digit GPM in FY24E given the lingering drag from battery swap.</li><li>We believe the limited GPM lift from the completion of the NT2.0 shift and acquiring plants from JAC (600418 CH, NR) could not offset its heavy SG&amp;A and R&amp;D, even as it finally plans to cut non-core projects. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. Despite NIO’s 3Q23 earnings beat on R&amp;D and SG&amp;A, its 4Q23 sales guidance could imply a tough FY24, in our view.We see little chance for NIO to achieve double-digit GPM in FY24E given the lingering drag from battery swap.We believe the limited GPM lift from the completion of the NT2.0 shift and acquiring plants from JAC (600418 CH, NR) could not offset its heavy SG&amp;A and R&amp;D, even as it finally plans to cut non-core projects. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – Back to Square One?

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We summarize the Nov 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.</li><li>Note that the following data reflects same-store metrics, and the total new orders and other metrics could rise more than these figures, as most players have reaccelerated their store expansion. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Nov 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.Note that the following data reflects same-store metrics, and the total new orders and other metrics could rise more than these figures, as most players have reaccelerated their store expansion. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Nov 2023 sales volumes on 1 Dec 2023.</li><li>Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 49% YoY (ranging from -17% to +245%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -1% to +48%) in Nov.</li><li>Seven out of the 11 automakers posted their all-time high sales volume in Nov.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Nov 2023 sales volumes on 1 Dec 2023.Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 49% YoY (ranging from -17% to +245%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -1% to +48%) in Nov.Seven out of the 11 automakers posted their all-time high sales volume in Nov.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – NEV Sales Volume MoM Growth Narrowed in Nov

<ul><li>After a strong sales beat in 2023, we expect China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) sales growth to be moderate in 2024E.</li><li>While it is still difficult to identify long-term winner in China’s auto industry, competition, overseas expansion and technological advancement would still be the key topics for 2024.</li><li>Exports, Chinese brands’ market share gain and competition still key topics.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

After a strong sales beat in 2023, we expect China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) sales growth to be moderate in 2024E.While it is still difficult to identify long-term winner in China’s auto industry, competition, overseas expansion and technological advancement would still be the key topics for 2024.Exports, Chinese brands’ market share gain and competition still key topics.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Competition Pushes Technological Advancement, Overseas Expansion

<ul><li>We summarize the Oct 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.</li><li>In general, new orders per store for most brands have been rising MoM since Apr 2023, which have been consistent with our prior projection that NEV market share in China could rise sequentially for the remainder of the year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Oct 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.In general, new orders per store for most brands have been rising MoM since Apr 2023, which have been consistent with our prior projection that NEV market share in China could rise sequentially for the remainder of the year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Improving Leading Indicators Imply Strong 4Q23

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

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NIO (NIO US)

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – Back to Square One?

Maintain HOLD. Despite NIO’s 3Q23 earnings beat on R&D and SG&A, its 4Q23 sales guidance could imply a tough FY24, in our view.

CMB International

China Auto Sector - Nov 2023

We summarize the Nov 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – NEV Sales Volume MoM Growth Narrowed in Nov

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Nov 2023 sales...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Competition Pushes Technological Advancement, Overseas Expansion

While it is still difficult to identify long-term winner in China’s auto industry, competition, overseas expansion and technological advancement...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Improving Leading Indicators Imply Strong 4Q23

We summarize the Oct 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

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