Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After rejecting an approach on the 24th March, on the 5th May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-road-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6698:1" rel="noopener">Gold Road Resources (GOR AU)</a>entered into a Scheme with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-fields-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25109:1" rel="noopener">Gold Fields Ltd (GFI SJ)</a> after terms were bumped.</li>
<li>GFI offered $2.52/share, cash, plus a variable cash component of ~A$0.88 (now worth ~A$0.77/share) via GOR's indirect stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northern-star-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4243:1" rel="noopener">Northern Star Resources (NST AU)</a>. This includes any fully franked dividend.</li>
<li>
The Scheme Booklet is now <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250815/pdf/06mxpjvcw9991s.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>, with a shareholder vote on the 22nd September. The IE (Deloitte) says fair &amp; reasonable. It is. </li>
</ul>


After rejecting an approach on the 24th March, on the 5th May, Gold Road Resources (GOR AU)entered into a Scheme with Gold Fields Ltd (GFI SJ) after terms were bumped.
GFI offered $2.52/share, cash, plus a variable cash component of ~A$0.88 (now worth ~A$0.77/share) via GOR's indirect stake in Northern Star Resources (NST AU). This includes any fully franked dividend.

The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a shareholder vote on the 22nd September. The IE (Deloitte) says fair &amp; reasonable. It is. 


Gold Road (GOR AU): 22th September Vote On Gold Fields' Offer

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-road-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6698:1" rel="noopener">Gold Road Resources (GOR AU)</a> IE considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-fields-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25109:1" rel="noopener">Gold Fields Ltd (GFI SJ)</a>’s offer fair and reasonable. The offer is A$2.52 cash + value per share of GOR's NST stake.</li>
<li>The key condition is GOR shareholder approval. The scheme vote should pass partly due to the benign shareholder structure.  </li>
<li>The offer is attractive. At the last close and for a 13 October payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.2%/8.1%. </li>
</ul>


The Gold Road Resources (GOR AU) IE considers Gold Fields Ltd (GFI SJ)’s offer fair and reasonable. The offer is A$2.52 cash + value per share of GOR's NST stake.
The key condition is GOR shareholder approval. The scheme vote should pass partly due to the benign shareholder structure.  
The offer is attractive. At the last close and for a 13 October payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.2%/8.1%. 


Gold Road (GOR AU): Gold Fields (GFI US)’s Scheme Vote on 22 September

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 8th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD25.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Infratil, Iluka Resources, Bigtincan, Auswide Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 8th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD25.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Infratil, Iluka Resources, Bigtincan, Auswide Bank.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 8th): Wesfarmers, Infratil, Iluka Resources, Bigtincan, Auswide Bank

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P DJI have proposed methodology changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices to enhance representativeness and more quickly reflecting changing market conditions.</li>
<li>The main changes are lowering the minimum float threshold, shortening the market cap calculation period and the liquidity calculation period, and including buffers for additions and deletions.</li>
<li>We currently forecast 47 changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in September and the short market cap computation period could lead to more change over the next two months.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P DJI have proposed methodology changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices to enhance representativeness and more quickly reflecting changing market conditions.
The main changes are lowering the minimum float threshold, shortening the market cap calculation period and the liquidity calculation period, and including buffers for additions and deletions.
We currently forecast 47 changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in September and the short market cap computation period could lead to more change over the next two months.


S&P/ASX Indices: Proposed Methodology Changes & The BIG September Rebalance

Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

FNArena

Financial News, Analysis and Data

Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In today's edition: -Ask FNArena -Review All-Weather Model Portfolio -Recent Updates On Expert Views -Best Buys & Conviction Calls</li></ul>

In today's edition: -Ask FNArena -Review All-Weather Model Portfolio -Recent Updates On Expert Views -Best Buys & Conviction Calls

Rudi's View: Bega Cheese, Cettire, Harvey Norman, Sigma, SiteMinder & More

Australia

Northern Star Resources Ltd manufactures precious metals. The Company provides mining and production of gold. Northern Star Resources serves customers in Australia and North America.

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Northern Star Resources (NST AU)

Gold Road (GOR AU): 22th September Vote On Gold Fields' Offer

Clean deal. Trading super tight at ~1.1%/7.1% gross/annualised spread, based on NST's last traded price. More bang for your buck for those who can...

David Blennerhassett

Gold Road (GOR AU): Gold Fields (GFI US)’s Scheme Vote on 22 September

The vote is low-risk. The offer is attractive. At the last close and for a 13 October payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.2%/8.1%.

Arun George

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 8th): Wesfarmers, Infratil, Iluka Resources, Bigtincan, Auswide Bank

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Infratil, Iluka Resources, Bigtincan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/ASX Indices: Proposed Methodology Changes & The BIG September Rebalance

The market consultation ends in 2 weeks, and the conclusions should be announced soon after that. A lot of the stocks have moved significantly over...

Brian Freitas

Rudi's View: Bega Cheese, Cettire, Harvey Norman, Sigma, SiteMinder & More

In today's edition: -Ask FNArena -Review All-Weather Model Portfolio -Recent Updates On Expert Views -Best Buys & Conviction Calls

FNArena

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