HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>While the final results of 2021 national medical insurance negotiation have yet to be announced, here are what's circulating in the market.</li>
<li>The centralized procurement on spring coil in Hebei province would start soon, which means that the centralized procurement in the field of neuro-intervention in China has officially begun.</li>
<li>There is a phenomenon of "valuation upside down" in the primary and secondary market of healthcare investment, so we recommend investors to be more cautious and rational.</li>
</ul>


While the final results of 2021 national medical insurance negotiation have yet to be announced, here are what's circulating in the market.
The centralized procurement on spring coil in Hebei province would start soon, which means that the centralized procurement in the field of neuro-intervention in China has officially begun.
There is a phenomenon of "valuation upside down" in the primary and secondary market of healthcare investment, so we recommend investors to be more cautious and rational.


China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.12)-Medical Insurance Negotiation,Spring Coil VBP,Valuation Upside Down

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>Drug development and commercialization are two different logics, such as CAR-T therapy.</li>
<li>The domestic vaccine industry has entered a new stage of development, and innovation is one way out.</li>
<li>Currently, there is a big gap between China autoimmune drug market and overseas market.</li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated progress on new drugs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-mab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28384:1" rel="noopener">I-Mab (IMAB US) </a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lepu-biopharma-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33231:1" rel="noopener">Lepu Biopharma (LBP HK)</a>.Market review: Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 1.52%, while CSI 300 decreased 1.03% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
Drug development and commercialization are two different logics, such as CAR-T therapy.
The domestic vaccine industry has entered a new stage of development, and innovation is one way out.
Currently, there is a big gap between China autoimmune drug market and overseas market.
Company news:News about the updated progress on new drugs of Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK), I-Mab (IMAB US) and Lepu Biopharma (LBP HK).Market review: Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 1.52%, while CSI 300 decreased 1.03% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

China Healthcare Weekly(Oct.29)-Logic of CAR-T,New Stage For Vaccine Industry,Autoimmune Drug Market

Industry viewpoints:
<ul>
<li>This year, the underlying logic of China's economy is being restructured.</li>
<li>Whether drugs or medical devices, once they are included in the scope of centralized procurement, there could be only two strategies.</li>
<li>There are still many uncertainties in regulation approval and commercialization of AI medical imaging products in China.</li>
</ul>
Company news:
News about the updated progress on new drugs, new cooperation agreement and M&amp;A deal of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphamab-oncology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28213:1" rel="noopener">Alphamab Co Ltd (9966 HK), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akeso-biopharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28830:1" rel="noopener">Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH) </a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wenzhou-kangning-hospital" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1100:1" rel="noopener">Wenzhou Kangning Hospital (2120 HK)</a>.
Market review:
Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 0.61%, while CSI 300 increased 1.21% over the same period of time.
Risk disclosure:
Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:

This year, the underlying logic of China's economy is being restructured.
Whether drugs or medical devices, once they are included in the scope of centralized procurement, there could be only two strategies.
There are still many uncertainties in regulation approval and commercialization of AI medical imaging products in China.

Company news:
News about the updated progress on new drugs, new cooperation agreement and M&amp;A deal of Alphamab Co Ltd (9966 HK), Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK), Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK), Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH) and Wenzhou Kangning Hospital (2120 HK).
Market review:
Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 0.61%, while CSI 300 increased 1.21% over the same period of time.
Risk disclosure:
Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

The MSCI EM index (local currency) remains in an uptrend and is testing all-time highs set in January 2018 near 65,800; as long as the index is above 60,000 we are constructive from a price perspective.  China (CSI 300, MSCI China) continues to offer many attractive setups and accounts for the vast majority of today’s recommendations. Taiwan (TAIEX) continues to be worthy of an overweight within the EM universe, while South Korea (KOSPI) and India (SENSEX) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure.

The MSCI EM index (local currency) remains in an uptrend and is testing all-time highs set in January 2018 near 65,800; as long as the index is above 60,000 we are constructive from a price perspective.  China (CSI 300, MSCI China) continues to offer many attractive setups and accounts for the vast majority of today’s recommendations. Taiwan (TAIEX) continues to be worthy of an overweight within the EM universe, while South Korea (KOSPI) and India (SENSEX) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure.

Equity Capital Markets

Changchun High-Tech Industry / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>CHANGCHUN HIGH-TECH’s stock price has been declining for more than four years since the news broke in May 2021 that growth hormone was to be included in 17-province VBP alliance.</li>
<li>GenSci’s innovative drug pipeline layout does have some ideas, but in fact, there are no expected blockbuster products among them - Their technological barriers and long-term exclusivity are relatively limited.</li>
<li>Short-Term performance pain is inevitable due to negative growth of main business and strategic transformation. The market may give it a conservative valuation, which may be lower than peers.</li>
</ul>


CHANGCHUN HIGH-TECH’s stock price has been declining for more than four years since the news broke in May 2021 that growth hormone was to be included in 17-province VBP alliance.
GenSci’s innovative drug pipeline layout does have some ideas, but in fact, there are no expected blockbuster products among them - Their technological barriers and long-term exclusivity are relatively limited.
Short-Term performance pain is inevitable due to negative growth of main business and strategic transformation. The market may give it a conservative valuation, which may be lower than peers.


Pre-IPO Changchun High-Tech Industry (A/H Listing) - The Business and the Outlook

China

NovaBridge Biosciences is a biopharmaceutical company. The Company specializes in discovery, development, and commercialization of novel biologics to treat diseases with significant unmet medical needs, particularly cancers and autoimmune disorders. NovaBridge Biosciences operates globally.

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NovaBridge Biosciences (NBP US)

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.12)-Medical Insurance Negotiation,Spring Coil VBP,Valuation Upside Down

This insight mainly analyzed some news circulating about 2021 national medical insurance negotiation results, VBP on spring coil in Hebei and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly(Oct.29)-Logic of CAR-T,New Stage For Vaccine Industry,Autoimmune Drug Market

The insight analyzed the different logics of drug development and commercialization for CAR-T, a new stage of development for domestic vaccine...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.27)

This article analyzed the logic of China's healthcare sector while its economy is being restructured, two strategies to deal with centralized...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Remain Overweight EM Relative To EAFE

The MSCI EM index (local currency) remains in an uptrend and is testing all-time highs set in January 2018 near 65,800; as long as the index is...

Vermilion Research

Pre-IPO Changchun High-Tech Industry (A/H Listing) - The Business and the Outlook

CHANGCHUN HIGH-TECH INDUSTRY is under pressure due to negative growth of main business and is in strategic transformation.The market may give it a...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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