Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Aztiq and Innobic have formally become the leading shareholder of  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotus-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20568:1" rel="noopener">Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT)</a>, with the controlling stake of 51%. New ownership will accelerate the growth and expansion of Lotus.</li>
<li>Lotus has created a niche for itself through its focus on oral oncology drug. Launch of Lenalidomide in 14 European countries drove 31% q/q growth in export revenue in Q1.</li>
<li>Continued strong uptake of the company’s newly acquired drug Cialis in Taiwan and bevacizumab biosimilar launch in Korea and Taiwan should boost its Asian business revenue.</li>
</ul>


Aztiq and Innobic have formally become the leading shareholder of  Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT), with the controlling stake of 51%. New ownership will accelerate the growth and expansion of Lotus.
Lotus has created a niche for itself through its focus on oral oncology drug. Launch of Lenalidomide in 14 European countries drove 31% q/q growth in export revenue in Q1.
Continued strong uptake of the company’s newly acquired drug Cialis in Taiwan and bevacizumab biosimilar launch in Korea and Taiwan should boost its Asian business revenue.


Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT): Ready for Next Phase of Growth with New Ownership and Product Launch

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>A bear market bounce is underway after the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) found support at their respective downtrend channels, a possibility we discussed last week.</li>
<li>Still, until the S&amp;P 500, QQQ, and IWM can break above their various downtrends, we remain bearish, and believe investors should be using rallies to reduce overall exposure.</li>
<li>This 1-week rally has the NDX(QQQ) testing resistance at its falling wedge pattern; a break above $297 would likely mean this bear market bounce has another 2-4 weeks of upside.</li>
</ul>


A bear market bounce is underway after the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) found support at their respective downtrend channels, a possibility we discussed last week.
Still, until the S&amp;P 500, QQQ, and IWM can break above their various downtrends, we remain bearish, and believe investors should be using rallies to reduce overall exposure.
This 1-week rally has the NDX(QQQ) testing resistance at its falling wedge pattern; a break above $297 would likely mean this bear market bounce has another 2-4 weeks of upside.


Signs of Disinflation?; Commodities Deteriorating; Another Bear Market Bounce; Pharma/Biotech Buys

Singtel (Singapore Telecommunications) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since March we have consistently said we believe any bottoming process would likely take weeks or months and could come with more tests of the lows, or even an undercut.</li>
<li>We are testing the March lows now in several global indexes, including the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>While this is a logical spot for a bounce, we see rallies as selling opportunities at the index level</li>
</ul>


Since March we have consistently said we believe any bottoming process would likely take weeks or months and could come with more tests of the lows, or even an undercut.
We are testing the March lows now in several global indexes, including the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US).
While this is a logical spot for a bounce, we see rallies as selling opportunities at the index level


MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EM Testing Logical Support; Actionable Themes: Defensives & Reopening Stocks

Founder

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Cherrystone Hill Research

<p>BeiGene has outlicensed ex-China rights to its PD-1 tislelizumab to Novartis on favorable terms, validating the competitive position of this compound in a crowded market. Further, the agreement marks a growing trend of Chinese companies outlicensing products to multinationals, which can have a leveraged benefit on their P&amp;Ls and valuations.</p>

BeiGene has outlicensed ex-China rights to its PD-1 tislelizumab to Novartis on favorable terms, validating the competitive position of this compound in a crowded market. Further, the agreement marks a growing trend of Chinese companies outlicensing products to multinationals, which can have a leveraged benefit on their P&amp;Ls and valuations.

BeiGene: Novartis Grabs Tislelizumab Rights

Equity Capital Markets

HBM Holdings Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<p>Pre-revenue biotechnology company Harbour Biomed looks to raise US$230 million in an IPO on the HKEX. Because of the short timetable for the offering, the analysis in this Insight will be shorter than normal. We think that the proposed pre-money valuation of US$950 -1,043MM is fair, and the company has rich newsflow and numerous catalysts ahead in 2021/22. We would take the deal.</p>

Pre-revenue biotechnology company Harbour Biomed looks to raise US$230 million in an IPO on the HKEX. Because of the short timetable for the offering, the analysis in this Insight will be shorter than normal. We think that the proposed pre-money valuation of US$950 -1,043MM is fair, and the company has rich newsflow and numerous catalysts ahead in 2021/22. We would take the deal.

Harbour Biomed IPO: Positive Thoughts in Brief

Switzerland

Novartis AG manufactures pharmaceutical and consumer healthcare products. The Company uses innovative science and digital technologies to create transformative treatments in areas of great medical need. Novartis offers patent protected prescription medicine and generic pharmaceuticals and biosimilars.

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Novartis AG Reg (NOVN VX)

Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT): Ready for Next Phase of Growth with New Ownership and Product Launch

Lotus has already created a compelling position in ASEAN, which has been further augmented by oral oncology drug launch in Europe. New ownership...

Tina Banerjee

Signs of Disinflation?; Commodities Deteriorating; Another Bear Market Bounce; Pharma/Biotech Buys

A bear market bounce is underway after the SPX, QQQ, and IWM found support at their respective downtrend channels. Until these indexes can break...

Vermilion Research

MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EM Testing Logical Support; Actionable Themes: Defensives & Reopening Stocks

We are testing the March lows in several global indexes, including the MSCI $ACWI, ACWI ex-US $ACWX, and EM $EEM. While this is a logical spot for...

Vermilion Research

BeiGene: Novartis Grabs Tislelizumab Rights

BeiGene's deal with Novartis for PD-1 tislelizumab validates its competitive position, and marks a rising trend of Chinese companies licensing...

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Harbour Biomed IPO: Positive Thoughts in Brief

This Insight includes a brief analysis of Harbour Biomed and its proposed listing on the HKEX. We like the deal at the price range offered.

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

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