Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co., / Equity Bottom-Up

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ilyang-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2789:1" rel="noopener">Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co., (007570 KS)</a> shares have plunged 19% since we published our bearish insight on the company on November 2, 2021.</li>
<li>We are still bearish on Ilyang Pharmaceutical as both of its key drugs, Noltec and Supect are facing increasing competition from new generation treatments.</li>
<li>Q4 provisional results indicate sequential deceleration in revenue, operating profit, and net profit. Recently, one institutional shareholder has reduced stake holding in the company.  </li>
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Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co., (007570 KS) shares have plunged 19% since we published our bearish insight on the company on November 2, 2021.
We are still bearish on Ilyang Pharmaceutical as both of its key drugs, Noltec and Supect are facing increasing competition from new generation treatments.
Q4 provisional results indicate sequential deceleration in revenue, operating profit, and net profit. Recently, one institutional shareholder has reduced stake holding in the company.  


Ilyang Pharmaceutical (007570 KS): Key Drugs Facing Increasing Competition

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/imugene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20276:1" rel="noopener">Imugene Ltd (IMU AU)</a> is a clinical-stage biopharma company, which is developing alternative approach to treat certain types of cancers. Lead candidate HER-Vaxx is in phase 2 trial.</li>
<li>Imugene is well funded and resourced, to deliver on its commercial and clinical milestones. Recent clinical and patent activities entail conviction over the commercialization prospect of Imugene’s pipeline.</li>
<li>Recent insider acquisition of shares and patent grant in Europe and South Korea for its lead candidate have boosted investor sentiment.</li>
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Imugene Ltd (IMU AU) is a clinical-stage biopharma company, which is developing alternative approach to treat certain types of cancers. Lead candidate HER-Vaxx is in phase 2 trial.
Imugene is well funded and resourced, to deliver on its commercial and clinical milestones. Recent clinical and patent activities entail conviction over the commercialization prospect of Imugene’s pipeline.
Recent insider acquisition of shares and patent grant in Europe and South Korea for its lead candidate have boosted investor sentiment.


Imugene (IMU AU): Research Partnerships and Fund-Raising Entail Conviction on Solid Tumors Pipeline

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aptabio-therapeutics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34894:1" rel="noopener">AptaBio Therapeutics (293780 KS) </a>shares surged 28% in last one month, increasing its one-year gain to 213% versus KOSPI’s gain of 26%. Share price was driven by presentation of clinical progress of AptaBio’s pipeline at a virtual meeting held from October 7 to 9, 2021.</li>
<li>By leveraging on its two proprietary platform technologies, NOX inhibitor discovery platform and Aptamer-drug conjugate platform, AptaBio has developed eight new clinical candidates for complications of diabetes mellitus and three new candidates for anticancer agents. Its lead candidate APX-115 is also being studied as an oral COVID-19 treatment.  </li>
<li>This insight has analyzed the strength and potential of AptaBio’s late-stage pipeline to find whether further stream is left after a spectacular rally in share price in last one year.</li>
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AptaBio Therapeutics (293780 KS) shares surged 28% in last one month, increasing its one-year gain to 213% versus KOSPI’s gain of 26%. Share price was driven by presentation of clinical progress of AptaBio’s pipeline at a virtual meeting held from October 7 to 9, 2021.
By leveraging on its two proprietary platform technologies, NOX inhibitor discovery platform and Aptamer-drug conjugate platform, AptaBio has developed eight new clinical candidates for complications of diabetes mellitus and three new candidates for anticancer agents. Its lead candidate APX-115 is also being studied as an oral COVID-19 treatment.  
This insight has analyzed the strength and potential of AptaBio’s late-stage pipeline to find whether further stream is left after a spectacular rally in share price in last one year.


AptaBio Therapeutics (293780 KS): Promising, Innovative, and First-In-Class Pipeline

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ilyang-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2789:1" rel="noopener">Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co., (007570 KS)</a> shares touched new high of KRW 84,300 in December 2020 after its self-developed innovative drug Supect received approval for clinical trial for potential label expansion. However, Supect failed to prove efficacy in another clinical trial for COVID-19 in March 2021 and since then shares are declining. Ilyang shares are now trading near 52-week low.</li>
<li>Ilyang’s flagship drug Noltec is the leading anti-ulcer drug in Korea due to its superior efficacy and convenience of administration. Noltec is further expected to gain market share driven by its label expansion. </li>
<li>While Noltec has been enjoying steady revenue growth since its launch in 2009, Ilyang’s aspiration to become a leading global pharmaceutical company is dependent on the long-term commercialization success of its leukemia drug Supect and its label expansion potential.</li>
<li>Last week’s FDA approval of a new class of leukemia drug from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novartis-ag-8261b5d2-53ba-409e-8628-86d59cd6f853" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27907:1" rel="noopener">Novartis AG (NOVN SW)</a> has further increased competition in the already crowded leukemia space. This insight has mainly analyzed concerns over the commercialization of Supect amidst this competitive backdrop to find whether Ilyang can be a good bargain hunting idea for investors.  </li>
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Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co., (007570 KS) shares touched new high of KRW 84,300 in December 2020 after its self-developed innovative drug Supect received approval for clinical trial for potential label expansion. However, Supect failed to prove efficacy in another clinical trial for COVID-19 in March 2021 and since then shares are declining. Ilyang shares are now trading near 52-week low.
Ilyang’s flagship drug Noltec is the leading anti-ulcer drug in Korea due to its superior efficacy and convenience of administration. Noltec is further expected to gain market share driven by its label expansion. 
While Noltec has been enjoying steady revenue growth since its launch in 2009, Ilyang’s aspiration to become a leading global pharmaceutical company is dependent on the long-term commercialization success of its leukemia drug Supect and its label expansion potential.
Last week’s FDA approval of a new class of leukemia drug from Novartis AG (NOVN SW) has further increased competition in the already crowded leukemia space. This insight has mainly analyzed concerns over the commercialization of Supect amidst this competitive backdrop to find whether Ilyang can be a good bargain hunting idea for investors.  


Ilyang Pharmaceutical (007570 KS): Leukemia Drug Commercialization Concerns Still Persist

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

CARsgen Therapeutics / Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carsgen-therapeutics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32213:1" rel="noopener">CARSgen Therapeutics (1186504D CH)</a> is a biopharma focused on innovative CAR-T cell therapies for the treatment of haematological malignancies and solid tumours. CARsgen opines that is a key player in the field of CAR-T cell therapies. CARsgen is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise proceeds of $400-500 million, according to press reports. Five CAR-T products, Kymriah, Yescarta, Tecartus, Breyanzi and Abecma, have been approved by the FDA for marketing in the US. However, there is no CAR-T cell therapy approved by the NMPA for marketing in China. The total revenue of Kymriah, Yescarta and Tecartus in 2020 was $1.1 billion (source: Frost &amp; Sullivan) which highlights the market opportunity. <div class="content-highlight">CARsgen has developed a pipeline of 11 product candidates, including six at the clinical stage. CARsgen owns the global rights to its product candidates and technologies, all of which are developed in-house. The sole core product candidate is CT053. Overall, we believe that the promising prospects for the lead product, a credible management team and a good shareholder register make the IPO worth a closer look. </div>

CARSgen Therapeutics (1186504D CH) is a biopharma focused on innovative CAR-T cell therapies for the treatment of haematological malignancies and solid tumours. CARsgen opines that is a key player in the field of CAR-T cell therapies. CARsgen is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise proceeds of $400-500 million, according to press reports. Five CAR-T products, Kymriah, Yescarta, Tecartus, Breyanzi and Abecma, have been approved by the FDA for marketing in the US. However, there is no CAR-T cell therapy approved by the NMPA for marketing in China. The total revenue of Kymriah, Yescarta and Tecartus in 2020 was $1.1 billion (source: Frost &amp; Sullivan) which highlights the market opportunity. CARsgen has developed a pipeline of 11 product candidates, including six at the clinical stage. CARsgen owns the global rights to its product candidates and technologies, all of which are developed in-house. The sole core product candidate is CT053. Overall, we believe that the promising prospects for the lead product, a credible management team and a good shareholder register make the IPO worth a closer look. 

CARsgen Therapeutics IPO Initiation: Choosing Therapies À La CAR-T

Switzerland

Novartis AG manufactures pharmaceutical and consumer healthcare products. The Company uses innovative science and digital technologies to create transformative treatments in areas of great medical need. Novartis offers patent protected prescription medicine and generic pharmaceuticals and biosimilars.

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Novartis (NOVN SW)

Ilyang Pharmaceutical (007570 KS): Key Drugs Facing Increasing Competition

Increasing competition for its key drugs, sequential decelerating financial performance in Q4, and recent institutional shareholder selling stocks...

Tina Banerjee

Imugene (IMU AU): Research Partnerships and Fund-Raising Entail Conviction on Solid Tumors Pipeline

Imugene's novel technologies to smash solid tumors and research partnerships with large global pharmaceutical companies entail better visibility...

Tina Banerjee

AptaBio Therapeutics (293780 KS): Promising, Innovative, and First-In-Class Pipeline

AptaBio has a strong and innovative pipeline targeting multi-billion-dollar revenue opportunity. This insight has analyzed the potential of the...

Tina Banerjee

Ilyang Pharmaceutical (007570 KS): Leukemia Drug Commercialization Concerns Still Persist

This insight has analyzed commercialization concern over Ilyang's leukemia drug due to strong competition. Investors should avoid Ilyang shares.

Tina Banerjee

CARsgen Therapeutics IPO Initiation: Choosing Therapies À La CAR-T

CARsgen is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise proceeds of $400-500m. The promising prospects for the lead product, credible management and a good...

Arun George

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