Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Novavax, once a prominent pandemic-era vaccine contender, is now in the midst of intensifying turmoil.</li>
<li>The latest blow comes from Shah Capital, the company's largest shareholder, which is calling for an outright sale of the biotech firm.</li>
<li>This move follows a string of financial disappointments, declining market relevance, and concerns about Novavax’s execution under current leadership.</li>
</ul>


Novavax, once a prominent pandemic-era vaccine contender, is now in the midst of intensifying turmoil.
The latest blow comes from Shah Capital, the company's largest shareholder, which is calling for an outright sale of the biotech firm.
This move follows a string of financial disappointments, declining market relevance, and concerns about Novavax’s execution under current leadership.


Novavax in Crisis Mode: Sales Crumble & Investor Revolt Grows!

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Innovation data suggests that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bayer-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26881:1" rel="noopener">Bayer AG (BAYN GY)</a> has an almost monopoly stake in agriculture-related microbial, followed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dupont-de-nemours-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9239:1" rel="noopener">DuPont (DD US)</a> </li>
<li>In non-ag microbial space <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/moderna-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28744:1" rel="noopener">Moderna Inc (MRNA US)</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/codexis-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26400:1" rel="noopener">Codexis Inc (CDXS US)</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/regeneron-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9167:1" rel="noopener">Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN US),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/immatics-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33092:1" rel="noopener">Immatics NV (IMTX US)</a> lead the field</li>
<li>In the nascent area of bacteriophages which could be a game-changer to fight against antibiotic-resistant bacteria BOEHRINGER INGELHEIM, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/johnson-johnson" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1132:1" rel="noopener">Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pfizer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1131:1" rel="noopener">Pfizer Inc (PFE US) </a>lead</li>
</ul>


Innovation data suggests that Bayer AG (BAYN GY) has an almost monopoly stake in agriculture-related microbial, followed by DuPont (DD US) 
In non-ag microbial space Moderna Inc (MRNA US),  Codexis Inc (CDXS US),  Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN US),Immatics NV (IMTX US) lead the field
In the nascent area of bacteriophages which could be a game-changer to fight against antibiotic-resistant bacteria BOEHRINGER INGELHEIM, Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ US), and Pfizer Inc (PFE US) lead


Insights from Data Mining Technical Publications - Microbes - Bacteriophages

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Rex American Resources / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.</li>
<li>SPX is testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226, respectively. This makes us believe we could see some near-term downside; buy pullbacks.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.
SPX is testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226, respectively. This makes us believe we could see some near-term downside; buy pullbacks.


Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>In 3Q24, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-bioscience-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31484:1" rel="noopener">SK Bioscience (302440 KS)</a> reported operating loss of KRW40B, compared with operating loss of KRW20B in 2Q24 mainly due to anemic gross profit margin and higher SG&amp;A expenses.</li>
<li>The company is expected to report sequentially better performance in 4Q24 on favorable product mix. Varicella vaccine export is expected to increase, while Sanofi vaccine distribution revenue is showing uptrend.</li>
<li>Commencement of global phase 3 trial of SK Bioscience-Sanofi’s next-generation pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, PCV21 will lay the foundation for the company’s next level of growth.</li>
</ul>


In 3Q24, SK Bioscience (302440 KS) reported operating loss of KRW40B, compared with operating loss of KRW20B in 2Q24 mainly due to anemic gross profit margin and higher SG&amp;A expenses.
The company is expected to report sequentially better performance in 4Q24 on favorable product mix. Varicella vaccine export is expected to increase, while Sanofi vaccine distribution revenue is showing uptrend.
Commencement of global phase 3 trial of SK Bioscience-Sanofi’s next-generation pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, PCV21 will lay the foundation for the company’s next level of growth.


SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Operating Loss Widened in 3Q; What Lies Ahead

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-bioscience-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31484:1" rel="noopener">SK Bioscience (302440 KS)</a> secures 60% stake in IDT Biologika, a global CDMO company with state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities in Germany, for KRW339B ($244M). The valuation seems reasonable.</li>
<li>The transaction paves the way for SK bioscience to strengthen its global presence, notably in Europe and the U.S., and to diversify its business by expanding into bulk drug substances.</li>
<li>Based on the existing CDMO contracts, IDT Biologika’s outlook remains positive. SK bioscience aims to more than double its revenue and stabilize operating profit margins at 20%+.</li>
</ul>



SK Bioscience (302440 KS) secures 60% stake in IDT Biologika, a global CDMO company with state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities in Germany, for KRW339B ($244M). The valuation seems reasonable.
The transaction paves the way for SK bioscience to strengthen its global presence, notably in Europe and the U.S., and to diversify its business by expanding into bulk drug substances.
Based on the existing CDMO contracts, IDT Biologika’s outlook remains positive. SK bioscience aims to more than double its revenue and stabilize operating profit margins at 20%+.


SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Acquiring Majority Stake in IDT Biologika- A Step Toward ‘Globalization’

United States

Novavax, Inc. is a clinical stage biotechnology company. The Company creates novel vaccines to address a broad range of infectious diseases worldwide using proprietary virus-like particle (VLP) technology.

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Novavax (NVAX US)

Novavax in Crisis Mode: Sales Crumble & Investor Revolt Grows!

Novavax, once a prominent pandemic-era vaccine contender, is now in the midst of intensifying turmoil. The latest blow comes from Shah Capital, the...

Baptista Research

Insights from Data Mining Technical Publications - Microbes - Bacteriophages

Innovations are modifying and harnessing microbes for new uses in agriculture, industry, and as potential new therapeutics to replace or...

Pyari Menon

Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

Buying a pullback; SPX testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226. This makes us believe we could...

Vermilion Research

SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Operating Loss Widened in 3Q; What Lies Ahead

SK Bioscience reported reported operating loss of KRW40B versus operating loss of KRW20B in 2Q24. However, performance is expected to improve in...

Tina Banerjee

SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Acquiring Majority Stake in IDT Biologika- A Step Toward ‘Globalization’

SK Bioscience secures 60% stake in IDT Biologika, a global CDMO company with state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities in Germany, for KRW339B...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Novavax in Crisis Mode: Sales Crumble & Investor Revolt Grows!

Novavax, once a prominent pandemic-era vaccine contender, is now in the midst of intensifying turmoil. The latest blow comes from Shah Capital, the...

Baptista Research

Insights from Data Mining Technical Publications - Microbes - Bacteriophages

Innovations are modifying and harnessing microbes for new uses in agriculture, industry, and as potential new therapeutics to replace or...

Pyari Menon

Staying Bullish Despite Near-Term Pullback Potential; Buy Pullbacks

Buying a pullback; SPX testing 6400-6410 now, but QQQ and IWM are violating short-term supports at $572 and $226. This makes us believe we could...

Vermilion Research

SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Operating Loss Widened in 3Q; What Lies Ahead

​SK Bioscience reported reported operating loss of KRW40B versus operating loss of KRW20B in 2Q24. However, performance is expected to improve in...

Tina Banerjee

SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Acquiring Majority Stake in IDT Biologika- A Step Toward ‘Globalization’

SK Bioscience secures 60% stake in IDT Biologika, a global CDMO company with state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities in Germany, for KRW339B...

Tina Banerjee

SK Bioscience reported reported operating loss of KRW40B versus operating loss of KRW20B in 2Q24. However, performance is expected to improve in...