Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-June.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in flow from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 19 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 8 could have passive outflows in February.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-June.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in flow from passive trackers.
Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 19 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 8 could have passive outflows in February.


India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February 2026

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/phonepe-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34788:1" rel="noopener">Phonepe</a> is looking to list on the Indian exchanges with pre-IPO investors looking to sell 50.66m shares at a valuation of US$13.1bn and raising around US$1.3bn in the IPO.</li>
<li>The stock will not get Fast Entry to either of the global indices. The earliest inclusion in a global index should take place in September.</li>
<li>The stock should be added to the Large Cap segment in the AMFI Classification in July and to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index</a> in September.</li>
</ul>



Phonepe is looking to list on the Indian exchanges with pre-IPO investors looking to sell 50.66m shares at a valuation of US$13.1bn and raising around US$1.3bn in the IPO.
The stock will not get Fast Entry to either of the global indices. The earliest inclusion in a global index should take place in September.
The stock should be added to the Large Cap segment in the AMFI Classification in July and to the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index in September.


PhonePe IPO: Limited Float & Index Inclusion Timeline

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearing completion, there could be 5 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in March.</li>
<li>Constituent changes and capping for non-F&amp;O stocks leads to an estimated one-way turnover of 10.5% and in a round-trip trade of INR 88.5bn (US$974m).</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes and there could be further performance over the next few weeks ahead of the announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearing completion, there could be 5 changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in March.
Constituent changes and capping for non-F&amp;O stocks leads to an estimated one-way turnover of 10.5% and in a round-trip trade of INR 88.5bn (US$974m).
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes and there could be further performance over the next few weeks ahead of the announcement of the changes.


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Forecast Changes & Close Names

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

National Stock Exchange of India / Equity Capital Markets

National Stock Exchange of India (NSE IN)

<ul>
<li>In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2026, having looked at Hong Kong earlier, we now talk about India's pipeline.</li>
<li>This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources.</li>
<li>The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.</li>
</ul>


In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2026, having looked at Hong Kong earlier, we now talk about India's pipeline.
This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources.
The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ambuja-cements-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14745:1" rel="noopener">Ambuja Cements (ACEM IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/acc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:183:1" rel="noopener">ACC Ltd (ACC IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-cement-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3356:1" rel="noopener">Orient Cement (ORCMNT IN)</a> will be merging to create a pan-India cement giant.</li>
<li>There are a whole bunch of approvals needed, and the mergers are expected to complete in the next 12 months.</li>
<li>With the stocks part of different indices, there will be index flows on completion of the merger.</li>
</ul>



Ambuja Cements (ACEM IN), ACC Ltd (ACC IN) and Orient Cement (ORCMNT IN) will be merging to create a pan-India cement giant.
There are a whole bunch of approvals needed, and the mergers are expected to complete in the next 12 months.
With the stocks part of different indices, there will be index flows on completion of the merger.


Ambuja Cement/ ACC/ Orient Cement Merger: Index Flows

India

The Nifty Junior Index is a free-float capitalization weighted index of the most liquid stocks excluded from the Nifty Index.

NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX EQUITY)

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NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX EQUITY)

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February 2026

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices in February. Passive trackers will need to...

Brian Freitas

PhonePe IPO: Limited Float & Index Inclusion Timeline

Phonepe's IPO could raise US$1.3bn and value the company at US$13.1bn. Index inclusions could start in September and the stock will be added to the...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Forecast Changes & Close Names

There could be 5 changes in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 10.5% and round-trip trade is INR 88.5bn (US$974m). Passives need to trade more...

Brian Freitas

Aequitas 2026 Asia IPO Pipeline - India

In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2026, having looked at Hong Kong earlier, we now talk about India's pipeline.

Sumeet Singh

Ambuja Cement/ ACC/ Orient Cement Merger: Index Flows

Ambuja Cement, ACC and Orient Cement are merging to create a pan-India cement giant. The merger should complete within 12 months and there will be...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)