Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Index Maintenance Sub-Committee of NSE Indices will meet on 21 February to conduct a semi-annual and quarterly review of stocks in various Nifty equity indices.</li>
<li>The changes will be announced after market close tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 28 March.</li>
<li>Based on the forecast index changes and capping changes for a few indices, the round-trip trade will be over US$2.5bn and many stocks will have over 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


The Index Maintenance Sub-Committee of NSE Indices will meet on 21 February to conduct a semi-annual and quarterly review of stocks in various Nifty equity indices.
The changes will be announced after market close tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 28 March.
Based on the forecast index changes and capping changes for a few indices, the round-trip trade will be over US$2.5bn and many stocks will have over 0.5x ADV to trade.


India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Hexaware Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hexaware-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7882:1" rel="noopener">Hexaware Technologies</a> raised around US$1bn in its India IPO, while its anchor book was strong, overall coverage was not. </li>
<li>Hexaware is a global digital and technology services company with AI at its core, delivering innovative solutions that help customers in their digital transformation journey and subsequent operations.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Hexaware Technologies raised around US$1bn in its India IPO, while its anchor book was strong, overall coverage was not. 
Hexaware is a global digital and technology services company with AI at its core, delivering innovative solutions that help customers in their digital transformation journey and subsequent operations.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Hexaware Technologies IPO Trading - Very Strong Anchor, Very Poor Overall

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

Ajax Engineering Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ajax-engineering-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44026:1" rel="noopener">Ajax Engineering Limited (0896529D IN)</a> raised around US$145m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Ajax Engineering Limited (AEL) is one of the leading concrete equipment manufacturers with a comprehensive range of concrete equipment, services and solutions across the concrete application value chain.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Ajax Engineering Limited (0896529D IN) raised around US$145m in its India IPO.
Ajax Engineering Limited (AEL) is one of the leading concrete equipment manufacturers with a comprehensive range of concrete equipment, services and solutions across the concrete application value chain.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Ajax Engineering IPO Trading - Decent Insti Coverage but Subdued Retail Demand

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period now complete, there could be 15 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 7.65bn (US$88m). With over US$40bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.</li>
<li>The outright adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 months, but there has been underperformance this calendar year.</li>
</ul>


With the review period now complete, there could be 15 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the March rebalance.
Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 7.65bn (US$88m). With over US$40bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.
The outright adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 months, but there has been underperformance this calendar year.


NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Potential Changes in March

<ul>
<li>With the review period now complete, there could be 7 changes (including 2 migrations) for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-housing-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43675:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swiggy-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (SWIGGY IN)</a> are a hair's breadth apart on market cap and only one of them could be added to the index.</li>
<li>With quantitative criteria now being used to add stocks to the F&amp;O segment, it is possible there is no change to the index methodology to limit inclusion to F&amp;O members.</li>
</ul>


With the review period now complete, there could be 7 changes (including 2 migrations) for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in March.

Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN) and Swiggy (SWIGGY IN) are a hair's breadth apart on market cap and only one of them could be added to the index.
With quantitative criteria now being used to add stocks to the F&amp;O segment, it is possible there is no change to the index methodology to limit inclusion to F&amp;O members.


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Final List of Potential Changes in March

India

NTPC Green Energy Limited provides green energy solutions. The Company develops renewable energy projects, and also generates electricity via hydro, solar, wind, and other renewable energy sources. NTPC Green Energy serves customers in India.

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NTPC Green Energy (NTPCGREE IN)

India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

The March changes for the Nifty indices will be announced tomorrow. There are changes forecast for most indices with large AUM. Round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

Hexaware Technologies IPO Trading - Very Strong Anchor, Very Poor Overall

Hexaware Technologies raised around US$1bn in its India IPO, while its anchor book was strong, overall coverage was not.

Sumeet Singh

Ajax Engineering IPO Trading - Decent Insti Coverage but Subdued Retail Demand

Ajax Engineering Limited raised around US$145m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Potential Changes in March

There could be 15 changes in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% and one-way trade is INR 7.65bn. With over US$40bn tracking the index...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Final List of Potential Changes in March

There could be 7 changes for the NIFTYJR in March. The forecast adds have underperformed since the start of the year as momentum has sold off....

Brian Freitas

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