Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>SPX is holding above its 200-day MA/3940 coinciding with its prior downtrend from 2022 near 3915; 3915-3940 remains critical support, and is the gateway to a much deeper pullback.</li>
<li>Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is breaking back above $297, another important line in the sand for us.</li>
<li>The SPX holding at 3915-3940 could be the spark that allows another run toward YTD highs, but we continue to expect 4165-4200 to cap upside on the S&amp;P 500.</li>
</ul>


SPX is holding above its 200-day MA/3940 coinciding with its prior downtrend from 2022 near 3915; 3915-3940 remains critical support, and is the gateway to a much deeper pullback.
Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is breaking back above $297, another important line in the sand for us.
The SPX holding at 3915-3940 could be the spark that allows another run toward YTD highs, but we continue to expect 4165-4200 to cap upside on the S&amp;P 500.


Still Expecting 4165-4200 on S&P 500 to Cap Upside; Buys Within Insurance and Steel/Metals

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>One area that appears to be picking up steam is market participants increasingly seeking out alternative non-government published data to inform real time indicators on the health of the US economy, jobs, and inflation.</li><li>There are many reasons alternative data sources are picking up importance including declining survey participation rates, significant and material revisions of prior published data, revisions to weightings or calculation methodologies, among others.</li><li>In particular, the steady structural decline over the past decade of survey responses can lead to inaccurate signals and conclusions with high error rates.</li></ul>

One area that appears to be picking up steam is market participants increasingly seeking out alternative non-government published data to inform real time indicators on the health of the US economy, jobs, and inflation.There are many reasons alternative data sources are picking up importance including declining survey participation rates, significant and material revisions of prior published data, revisions to weightings or calculation methodologies, among others.In particular, the steady structural decline over the past decade of survey responses can lead to inaccurate signals and conclusions with high error rates.

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Nucor had a mediocre quarter as its earnings dropped compared to the previous two quarters due to reduced shipping volumes and metal margin contraction, particularly at the company’s plate and sheet mills.</li><li>The startup and construction of the company’s Nucor Stell Brandenburg mill continue progressing incredibly great with respect to schedule, budget, and safety.</li><li>Lastly, at the end of this quarter, the company announced the approval of the construction of the galvanizing line at its Nucor Steel Berkeley mill.</li></ul>

Nucor had a mediocre quarter as its earnings dropped compared to the previous two quarters due to reduced shipping volumes and metal margin contraction, particularly at the company’s plate and sheet mills.The startup and construction of the company’s Nucor Stell Brandenburg mill continue progressing incredibly great with respect to schedule, budget, and safety.Lastly, at the end of this quarter, the company announced the approval of the construction of the galvanizing line at its Nucor Steel Berkeley mill.

Nucor Corp: Launch Of Elcyon & Other Developments

<ul>
<li>Despite $IWM already hitting our price target at 200-day MA/YTD downtrend, and the $SPX getting to within 1% of our target at 200-day MA, we see this 1.5-month rally continuing.</li>
<li>We expect further upside as long as the 1.5-month uptrend channels remain intact on the SPX and IWM, and we believe that breakouts above their 200-day MAs could be coming</li>
<li>Breakouts above their 200-day MAs that would likely signal the end to this bear market.</li>
</ul>


Despite $IWM already hitting our price target at 200-day MA/YTD downtrend, and the $SPX getting to within 1% of our target at 200-day MA, we see this 1.5-month rally continuing.
We expect further upside as long as the 1.5-month uptrend channels remain intact on the SPX and IWM, and we believe that breakouts above their 200-day MAs could be coming
Breakouts above their 200-day MAs that would likely signal the end to this bear market.


Small- And Mid-Cap Indexes Poised to Break Out?; Further Upside Expected; Buys Within Cyclicals

<ul><li>Nucor managed to deliver an all-around beat as a result of strong performance in raw material operations, tabular, buildings, deck, joist, structural, sheet, plate, and bar.</li><li>The flexible and sustainable business model of Nucor proves its ability to grow and create values for its shareholders.</li><li>Nucor Corporation has recently announced that it has joined an agreement to acquire Summit Utility Structures LLC and Sovereign Steel Manufacturing LLC.</li></ul>

Nucor managed to deliver an all-around beat as a result of strong performance in raw material operations, tabular, buildings, deck, joist, structural, sheet, plate, and bar.The flexible and sustainable business model of Nucor proves its ability to grow and create values for its shareholders.Nucor Corporation has recently announced that it has joined an agreement to acquire Summit Utility Structures LLC and Sovereign Steel Manufacturing LLC.

Nucor Corp: Recent Acquisitions & Other Drivers

United States

Nucor Corporation manufactures steel products.  The Company's products include carbon and alloy steel, steel joists, steel deck, cold finished steel, steel grinding balls, steel bearing products, and metal buildingsystems. Nucor also brokers ferrous and nonferrous metals, pig iron and HBI/DRI; supplies ferro-alloys; and processes ferrous and nonferrous scrap.

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Nucor Corp (NUE US)

Still Expecting 4165-4200 on S&P 500 to Cap Upside; Buys Within Insurance and Steel/Metals

The $SPX holding at 3915-3940 could be the spark that allows another run toward YTD highs, but we continue to expect 4165-4200 to cap upside and...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 3/6

One area that appears to be picking up steam is market participants increasingly seeking out alternative non-government published data to inform...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Nucor Corp: Launch Of Elcyon & Other Developments

Nucor had a mediocre quarter as its earnings dropped compared to the previous two quarters due to reduced shipping volumes and metal margin...

Baptista Research

Small- And Mid-Cap Indexes Poised to Break Out?; Further Upside Expected; Buys Within Cyclicals

Despite $IWM already hitting our price target at its 200-day MA/YTD downtrend, & the $SPX getting to within 1% of our target at its 200-day MA, we...

Vermilion Research

Nucor Corp: Recent Acquisitions & Other Drivers

Nucor managed to deliver an all-around beat as a result of strong performance in raw material operations, tabular, buildings, deck, joist,...

Baptista Research

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