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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Demand growth slows in Q1FY25: The slowdown in construction activities during the general elections in April and May has adversely impacted cement sales in these months</li><li>The scorching heat further dented demand during Q1FY25 and the industry demand growth is expected to slow down to low single digit YoY</li><li>We estimate the aggregate volumes of our coverage universe will deliver 5% YoY volume growth, implying 8% QoQ volume decline.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Demand growth slows in Q1FY25: The slowdown in construction activities during the general elections in April and May has adversely impacted cement sales in these monthsThe scorching heat further dented demand during Q1FY25 and the industry demand growth is expected to slow down to low single digit YoYWe estimate the aggregate volumes of our coverage universe will deliver 5% YoY volume growth, implying 8% QoQ volume decline.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q1FY25 Results Preview): Weak Pricing Continues to Offset Cost Gains

<ul><li>Ambuja Cement: We maintain ADD with an unchanged TP of INR 620/share (16.5x its consolidated FY26E EBITDA)</li><li>During Q4FY24, consolidated volumes rose 17% YoY owing to the low base and ramp-up of recently acquired Sanghi plants</li><li>Weak pricing across markets drove down NSR by INR 394/MT QoQ (-7%)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ambuja Cement: We maintain ADD with an unchanged TP of INR 620/share (16.5x its consolidated FY26E EBITDA)During Q4FY24, consolidated volumes rose 17% YoY owing to the low base and ramp-up of recently acquired Sanghi plantsWeak pricing across markets drove down NSR by INR 394/MT QoQ (-7%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Ambuja Cement, Havells India, Dabur, ACC

<ul><li>Demand firmed up but at the expense of pricing: In our view, cement demand again firmed up in Q4FY24 on a strong pick-up in non-trades sales</li><li>We estimate aggregate volumes will grow 10% YoY in Q4FY24 (as against 8% YoY in Q3)</li><li>However, owing to aggressive volume push in non-trade segments (channel check suggests major players pushed volumes hard in Q4), cement pricing took a beating during the peak demand quarter</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Demand firmed up but at the expense of pricing: In our view, cement demand again firmed up in Q4FY24 on a strong pick-up in non-trades salesWe estimate aggregate volumes will grow 10% YoY in Q4FY24 (as against 8% YoY in Q3)However, owing to aggressive volume push in non-trade segments (channel check suggests major players pushed volumes hard in Q4), cement pricing took a beating during the peak demand quarterContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Weak pricing dampens industry margin

<ul><li>Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters</li><li>While demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivals</li><li>Thus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quartersWhile demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivalsThus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

<ul><li>Indian Oil Corporation: Our ADD rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 100, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, partially offset by muted petchem earnings and elevated debt</li><li>IOCL reported EBITDA of INR 213bn (+11x YoY, -4% QoQ), which was broadly in line, while APAT came in at INR 130bn, marginally below estimate</li><li>Earnings were supported by strong performance from the refining segment</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indian Oil Corporation: Our ADD rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 100, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, partially offset by muted petchem earnings and elevated debtIOCL reported EBITDA of INR 213bn (+11x YoY, -4% QoQ), which was broadly in line, while APAT came in at INR 130bn, marginally below estimateEarnings were supported by strong performance from the refining segmentContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, Godrej Consumers, Ambuja Cement, Gail

India

Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited is a leading Indian building materials company that manufactures and sells cement, ready-mix concrete (RMX), and modern building materials (MBM). Its product portfolio includes various types of cement, as well as construction chemicals, wall putty, tile adhesives, and other specialized building solutions. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

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Nuvoco Vistas (NUVOCO IN)

Cement (Q1FY25 Results Preview): Weak Pricing Continues to Offset Cost Gains

Demand growth slows in Q1FY25: The slowdown in construction activities during the general elections in April and May has adversely impacted cement...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Ambuja Cement, Havells India, Dabur, ACC

During Q4FY24, consolidated volumes rose 17% YoY owing to the low base and ramp-up of recently acquired Sanghi plants. Weak pricing across markets...

HDFC Securities

Cement (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Weak pricing dampens industry margin

Demand firmed up but at the expense of pricing: In our view, cement demand again firmed up in Q4FY24 on a strong pick-up in non-trades sales

HDFC Securities

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, Godrej Consumers, Ambuja Cement, Gail

Our ADD rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 100, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, partially...

HDFC Securities

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