Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Hon Hai, Pegatron, and Quanta Gear Up for Potential U.S. Investment Surge Amid Trump Policy Speculation</li>
<li>PC Monitor: Asustek &amp; Lenovo Signal Strong PC Growth, AI PC Expansion in Process</li>
<li>Semiconductor Memory Q324 Revenue Close To Historic Highs Even As Decoupling Intensifies </li>
</ul>


Hon Hai, Pegatron, and Quanta Gear Up for Potential U.S. Investment Surge Amid Trump Policy Speculation
PC Monitor: Asustek &amp; Lenovo Signal Strong PC Growth, AI PC Expansion in Process
Semiconductor Memory Q324 Revenue Close To Historic Highs Even As Decoupling Intensifies 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Taiwan Firms to Surge U.S. Investment Due to Trump?; AI PCs & Memory Expansion

<ul>
<li>Asustek Guides for 20%+ YoY PC Revenue Growth in 4Q24E;  Lenovo Delivers 17% YoY PC Revenue Growth in CY3Q24</li>
<li>AI PCs: A Multi-Year Upgrade Cycle with Rising Average Selling Prices; AI PCs 80% of the PC Market by 2027E</li>
<li>Maintain Structural Long View for AI PC Up-Cycle; Asustek, Acer, &amp; Lenovo Well-Positioned Through 2025E</li>
</ul>


Asustek Guides for 20%+ YoY PC Revenue Growth in 4Q24E;  Lenovo Delivers 17% YoY PC Revenue Growth in CY3Q24
AI PCs: A Multi-Year Upgrade Cycle with Rising Average Selling Prices; AI PCs 80% of the PC Market by 2027E
Maintain Structural Long View for AI PC Up-Cycle; Asustek, Acer, &amp; Lenovo Well-Positioned Through 2025E


PC Monitor: Asustek & Lenovo Signal Strong PC Growth, AI PC Expansion in Process

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>TSMC: more restrictions on export to China. TSMC can’t make 2nm in US before 2028-29. Lawsuit in Arizona.</li>
<li>Korea: special chips act to give chipmakers subsidies and an exemption from a national cap on working hours. Korean engineers only work 52 hours / week. That’s a problem.</li>
<li>Amazon more in-house AI chips. Super Micro trying to avoid delisting. Smartphone ASP keep increasing because chip prices are increasing (ie Mediatek, Qualcomm). AI PC reaching 20% in 3Q214. </li>
</ul>


TSMC: more restrictions on export to China. TSMC can’t make 2nm in US before 2028-29. Lawsuit in Arizona.
Korea: special chips act to give chipmakers subsidies and an exemption from a national cap on working hours. Korean engineers only work 52 hours / week. That’s a problem.
Amazon more in-house AI chips. Super Micro trying to avoid delisting. Smartphone ASP keep increasing because chip prices are increasing (ie Mediatek, Qualcomm). AI PC reaching 20% in 3Q214. 


Tech News This Week: TSMC, Samsung, Amazon / Nvidia, Super Micro, Smartphone ASP Increasing, AI PC

<ul>
<li>ASML maintains its 2030 targets: revenue EUR44-60bn, Gross Margin 56-60%. But the narrative has changed, again. In 2022, it was Mature nodes (DUV) and EUV. In 2024, it's AI. </li>
<li>What's changed? Lower growth in Smartphone, PC, Auto. AI bigger than expected. Server DRAM and HBM is the major positive change. NAND is revised down sharply. It's actually believable. </li>
<li>The guidance implies Operating Profits growing between 9.5-17.5% Cagr over 2024-2030. That's pretty good but the stock is trading at 27x 2025 EPS, 22x 2026. No room for disappointment. </li>
</ul>


ASML maintains its 2030 targets: revenue EUR44-60bn, Gross Margin 56-60%. But the narrative has changed, again. In 2022, it was Mature nodes (DUV) and EUV. In 2024, it's AI. 
What's changed? Lower growth in Smartphone, PC, Auto. AI bigger than expected. Server DRAM and HBM is the major positive change. NAND is revised down sharply. It's actually believable. 
The guidance implies Operating Profits growing between 9.5-17.5% Cagr over 2024-2030. That's pretty good but the stock is trading at 27x 2025 EPS, 22x 2026. No room for disappointment. 


ASML Investor Day: Oops They Did It Again. Different Story, Same 2030 Targets.

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

<ul><li>ARM reported good numbers with steady guidance for the coming quarter.</li><li>Qualcomm's earnings performed well, but concerns exist over rising costs and potential loss of customers.</li><li>Uncertainty surrounds US government policies on semiconductor manufacturing and trade with China, impacting industry players like Intel and Nvidia.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

ARM reported good numbers with steady guidance for the coming quarter.Qualcomm's earnings performed well, but concerns exist over rising costs and potential loss of customers.Uncertainty surrounds US government policies on semiconductor manufacturing and trade with China, impacting industry players like Intel and Nvidia.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Episode 93: Arm/QCOM Earnings, Trump Presidency Impact on Semis, NVDA Preview

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Taiwan Firms to Surge U.S. Investment Due to Trump?; AI PCs & Memory Expansion

Major tech companies like Hon Hai, Pegatron, and Quanta are preparing for increased U.S. investments. Asustek and Lenovo show strong growth in PC...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

PC Monitor: Asustek & Lenovo Signal Strong PC Growth, AI PC Expansion in Process

Asustek, Acer, and Lenovo well-positioned for AI PC market growth, with Asus guiding for 20%+ YoY PC revenue growth in 4Q24E. AI PCs expected to...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech News This Week: TSMC, Samsung, Amazon / Nvidia, Super Micro, Smartphone ASP Increasing, AI PC

TSMC faces export restrictions to China. Korea offers subsidies to chipmakers, but faces labor issue. Amazon ramps up AI chip production. Chip...

Nicolas Baratte

ASML Investor Day: Oops They Did It Again. Different Story, Same 2030 Targets.

ASML maintains 2030 targets, growth driven by AI, DRAM / HBM and Logic. Lower growth for mature nodes and NAND. Operating profits expected to grow...

Nicolas Baratte

Episode 93: Arm/QCOM Earnings, Trump Presidency Impact on Semis, NVDA Preview

In this episode of The Circuit podcast, various semiconductor companies including ARM, Qualcomm, Intel, and Nvidia are discussed, with a focus on...

The Circuit

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Taiwan Firms to Surge U.S. Investment Due to Trump?; AI PCs & Memory Expansion

​Major tech companies like Hon Hai, Pegatron, and Quanta are preparing for increased U.S. investments. Asustek and Lenovo show strong growth in PC...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

PC Monitor: Asustek & Lenovo Signal Strong PC Growth, AI PC Expansion in Process

​Asustek, Acer, and Lenovo well-positioned for AI PC market growth, with Asus guiding for 20%+ YoY PC revenue growth in 4Q24E. AI PCs expected to...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech News This Week: TSMC, Samsung, Amazon / Nvidia, Super Micro, Smartphone ASP Increasing, AI PC

​TSMC faces export restrictions to China. Korea offers subsidies to chipmakers, but faces labor issue. Amazon ramps up AI chip production. Chip...

Nicolas Baratte

ASML Investor Day: Oops They Did It Again. Different Story, Same 2030 Targets.

​ASML maintains 2030 targets, growth driven by AI, DRAM / HBM and Logic. Lower growth for mature nodes and NAND. Operating profits expected to grow...

Nicolas Baratte

Episode 93: Arm/QCOM Earnings, Trump Presidency Impact on Semis, NVDA Preview

In this episode of The Circuit podcast, various semiconductor companies including ARM, Qualcomm, Intel, and Nvidia are discussed, with a focus on...

The Circuit

Major tech companies like Hon Hai, Pegatron, and Quanta are preparing for increased U.S. investments. Asustek and Lenovo show strong growth in PC...

Asustek, Acer, and Lenovo well-positioned for AI PC market growth, with Asus guiding for 20%+ YoY PC revenue growth in 4Q24E. AI PCs expected to...

TSMC faces export restrictions to China. Korea offers subsidies to chipmakers, but faces labor issue. Amazon ramps up AI chip production. Chip...

ASML maintains 2030 targets, growth driven by AI, DRAM / HBM and Logic. Lower growth for mature nodes and NAND. Operating profits expected to grow...