Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC's U.S. Production Strategy Achieves Major Milestone - Begins Production of Apple A16 Chips in Arizona</li>
<li>Reports of Apple's Disappointing Initial iPhone 16 Sales Data; Key Taiwan Suppliers Top Losers Recently</li>
<li>Samsung Falling Behind TSMC - New Report of Low Yields Continuing to Plague Samsung's 3nm AI Processors</li>
</ul>


TSMC's U.S. Production Strategy Achieves Major Milestone - Begins Production of Apple A16 Chips in Arizona
Reports of Apple's Disappointing Initial iPhone 16 Sales Data; Key Taiwan Suppliers Top Losers Recently
Samsung Falling Behind TSMC - New Report of Low Yields Continuing to Plague Samsung's 3nm AI Processors


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Apple Arizona Production Milestone, Samsung 3nm Yield Still Weak Vs. TSMC

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is back to test YTD highs and important resistance in the 5670-5783 range. This is an important target/resistance area we have discussed for weeks.</li>
<li>Using the 2007 SPX topping analog suggests a 2% or less move above the prior all-time high set in July at 5670 before topping, which gives the 5783 number.</li>
<li>As long as SPX does not have a weekly close above 5783 we continue to recommend reducing risk and shifting to defensives,and this is the ideal time to do so.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is back to test YTD highs and important resistance in the 5670-5783 range. This is an important target/resistance area we have discussed for weeks.
Using the 2007 SPX topping analog suggests a 2% or less move above the prior all-time high set in July at 5670 before topping, which gives the 5783 number.
As long as SPX does not have a weekly close above 5783 we continue to recommend reducing risk and shifting to defensives,and this is the ideal time to do so.


SPX Testing Resistance as Rate Cut Cycle Begins; SPX 5670-5783 Is Resistance, 2007 Analog on Track

Global TMT Analyst, Ex-PM, 30 years experience

Neil Campling

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Apple iPhone 16 pre-orders weak and Questions on Apple Intelligence remain</li>
<li>Big software investor days. Expect AI to feature big on hype, but what to expect from TAM to ARR to products?</li>
<li>Semis: Samsung challenges, Intel relief but pressures remain, TSM momentum, this time with ByteDance </li>
</ul>


Apple iPhone 16 pre-orders weak and Questions on Apple Intelligence remain
Big software investor days. Expect AI to feature big on hype, but what to expect from TAM to ARR to products?
Semis: Samsung challenges, Intel relief but pressures remain, TSM momentum, this time with ByteDance 


TMT Daily:Apple, TikTok, PINS, Semis (TSM, Samsung, Intel), Software (EA, CRM, CRWD, WDAY, HUBS),EVs

Podcast from BlackRock, The Bid

The Bid

Podcast from BlackRock

The Bid breaks down what’s happening in the world of investing and explores the forces changing the economy and finance. From stock market outlooks and megatrends to geopolitics and technology, BlackRock speaks to thought leaders and industry experts from around the globe about the biggest trends moving markets.

<ul><li>AI has become a dominant topic of discussion among industry leaders, signaling a significant shift in focus over the past year</li><li>Investment opportunities in AI extend beyond just a few mega cap stocks, with opportunities in chips, infrastructure, data and models, software applications, and services and solutions</li><li>Tony emphasizes the importance of building a new computing infrastructure for AI, which is transforming industries and creating new opportunities for tech investors.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

AI has become a dominant topic of discussion among industry leaders, signaling a significant shift in focus over the past yearInvestment opportunities in AI extend beyond just a few mega cap stocks, with opportunities in chips, infrastructure, data and models, software applications, and services and solutionsTony emphasizes the importance of building a new computing infrastructure for AI, which is transforming industries and creating new opportunities for tech investors.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Tech and AI Investing Trends: A Stock Picker’s Take

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> ETF in September but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">TSMC - ADR</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA</a> are the largest sells with buying spread across <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asml-holding-nv-b0092428-e3ec-4a92-bdd6-2f6eff7f1879" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28204:1" rel="noopener">ASML Holding NV</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualcomm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1" rel="noopener">Qualcomm Inc</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/micron-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13382:1" rel="noopener">Micron Technology</a>.</li>
<li>The selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> will add to the selling from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-select-sector-spdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27543:1" rel="noopener">Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US)</a> due to the market consultation.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) ETF in September but there are a lot of float and capping changes.

TSMC - ADR and NVIDIA are the largest sells with buying spread across ASML Holding NV, Qualcomm Inc, Applied Materials and Micron Technology.
The selling in NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) will add to the selling from the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US) due to the market consultation.


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Apple Arizona Production Milestone, Samsung 3nm Yield Still Weak Vs. TSMC

TSMC's U.S. production milestone with Apple A16 chips in Arizona. Reports of Apple's disappointing iPhone 16 sales. Samsung is still struggling...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

SPX Testing Resistance as Rate Cut Cycle Begins; SPX 5670-5783 Is Resistance, 2007 Analog on Track

$SPX Testing Resistance as Rate Cut Cycle Begins; SPX 5670-5783 is Resistance, 2007 Analog on Track if Below 5783. Still Neutral, prefer to sell...

Vermilion Research

TMT Daily:Apple, TikTok, PINS, Semis (TSM, Samsung, Intel), Software (EA, CRM, CRWD, WDAY, HUBS),EVs

Apple iPhone 16 pre-orders disappointing. Big software investor days AI hype and product expectations. Challenges for Samsung, Intel relief short...

Neil Campling

Tech and AI Investing Trends: A Stock Picker’s Take

Tony's 11th annual tech tour focused on AI as the dominant topic of discussion, reflecting its evolution from a background tool to a primary focus...

The Bid

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

No constituent changes but a lot of capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.9% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.04bn. The selling in...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Apple Arizona Production Milestone, Samsung 3nm Yield Still Weak Vs. TSMC

​TSMC's U.S. production milestone with Apple A16 chips in Arizona. Reports of Apple's disappointing iPhone 16 sales. Samsung is still struggling...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

SPX Testing Resistance as Rate Cut Cycle Begins; SPX 5670-5783 Is Resistance, 2007 Analog on Track

$SPX Testing Resistance as Rate Cut Cycle Begins; SPX 5670-5783 is Resistance, 2007 Analog on Track if Below 5783. Still Neutral, prefer to sell...

Vermilion Research

TMT Daily:Apple, TikTok, PINS, Semis (TSM, Samsung, Intel), Software (EA, CRM, CRWD, WDAY, HUBS),EVs

​Apple iPhone 16 pre-orders disappointing. Big software investor days AI hype and product expectations. Challenges for Samsung, Intel relief short...

Neil Campling

Tech and AI Investing Trends: A Stock Picker’s Take

Tony's 11th annual tech tour focused on AI as the dominant topic of discussion, reflecting its evolution from a background tool to a primary focus...

The Bid

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

No constituent changes but a lot of capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.9% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.04bn. The selling in...

Brian Freitas

TSMC's U.S. production milestone with Apple A16 chips in Arizona. Reports of Apple's disappointing iPhone 16 sales. Samsung is still struggling...

Apple iPhone 16 pre-orders disappointing. Big software investor days AI hype and product expectations. Challenges for Samsung, Intel relief short...