Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The aggregation effects that fuelled social media/search and e-commerce platforms are not relevant in hardware and the premia being applied to current first movers from Tesla to Nvidia look excessive.</li>
<li>It’s striking that Wal-Mart and GM are outperforming Amazon and Tesla, while Intel is outperforming AMD as it reinvents itself as an AI player - some incumbents are adapting fast to disruption risks.</li>
<li>I’ve been covering AI regularly since 2013/4 as a theme, but every IB tech analyst is now an…</li>
</ul>


The aggregation effects that fuelled social media/search and e-commerce platforms are not relevant in hardware and the premia being applied to current first movers from Tesla to Nvidia look excessive.
It’s striking that Wal-Mart and GM are outperforming Amazon and Tesla, while Intel is outperforming AMD as it reinvents itself as an AI player - some incumbents are adapting fast to disruption risks.
I’ve been covering AI regularly since 2013/4 as a theme, but every IB tech analyst is now an…


Incumbent 'Second Mover' Advantage as AI Hype Risks Reality Check...

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media, CM Research

Cyrus Mewawalla

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media

Thematic TMT investing

CM Research

CM Research is an independent research house based in London, England. We provide global thematic research in the Technology, Media and Telecoms (TMT) sectors. 

Our focus is on disruptive technologies: how will they unfold; which industries will be impacted; and who will be the ultimate winners and losers. 

Our aim is to help investors predict share prices and corporate executives stay one step ahead of the technology trends that are shaping their industry. 

We research technology investment themes in detail and then feed the results into a scorecard system to quantify the impact of several conflicting themes on individual stocks. 

Recent themes covered include internet TV, the Internet of Things, Big Data, Mobile payments, crowdfunding, artificial intelligence, the cloud, software defined networking and Generation Hashtag.

We cover the top 500 global TMT stocks by market capitalisation and several technology start-ups and pre-IPO companies too. 

In 2015, CM Research analysts outperformed the Bloomberg Benchmark Analyst Index - which measures how good analysts are at predicting stock prices - by 7.1%.

<p>This reports looks at the key trends driving stocks in the global semiconductor industry, identifying winners and losers.</p><p>It is extracted from CM Research's "Tech and Media Trends 2018" report, which covers the top 600 TMT stocks globally and all the investment themes driving their earnings. Using our unique "thematic engine", we quantify the impact of these themes on each of our 18 TMT subsectors, of which semiconductors is one.</p>

This reports looks at the key trends driving stocks in the global semiconductor industry, identifying winners and losers.It is extracted from CM Research's "Tech and Media Trends 2018" report, which covers the top 600 TMT stocks globally and all the investment themes driving their earnings. Using our unique "thematic engine", we quantify the impact of these themes on each of our 18 TMT subsectors, of which semiconductors is one.

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Equity Bottom-Up

<h2>What's new?</h2><p>According to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20279" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1">Tesla Motors Inc (TSLA US)</a>'s press release yesterday, Tesla delivered 26,150 vehicles in 3Q17, up 19% q/q and up 5% y/y (14,065 were Model S, up 17% q/q but down 12% y/y, and 11,865 were Model X, up 18% q/q and 35% y/y, 220 were Model 3). Tesla now expects 2H Model S/X deliveries to exceed that by several thousand vehicles than 1H's 47,077 with a total about 100,000 Model S/X in 2017 or 31% y/y increase.</p><p>Q3 production totaled 25,336 vehicles, with 260 of them being Model…</p>

What's new?According to Tesla Motors Inc (TSLA US)'s press release yesterday, Tesla delivered 26,150 vehicles in 3Q17, up 19% q/q and up 5% y/y (14,065 were Model S, up 17% q/q but down 12% y/y, and 11,865 were Model X, up 18% q/q and 35% y/y, 220 were Model 3). Tesla now expects 2H Model S/X deliveries to exceed that by several thousand vehicles than 1H's 47,077 with a total about 100,000 Model S/X in 2017 or 31% y/y increase.Q3 production totaled 25,336 vehicles, with 260 of them being Model…

Tesla - Missed Model 3 Deliveries as Expected; More Value at Its Suppliers than Tesla Itself

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<h2>Morris' retirement</h2><p>After 30 years devotion to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/11230" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1">Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (2330 TT), </a>Chairman Morris Chang today announces to retire from the Company immediately after the Annual Shareholders Meeting in early June 2018. Dr. Chang will not be a director in the next term of the board of directors nor will participate in any TSMC management activities. From early June 2018 on, Dr. Mark Liu will be the Chairman of the Board, and Dr. C.C. Wei will be the CEO. All present directors of the board…</p>

Morris' retirementAfter 30 years devotion to Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (2330 TT), Chairman Morris Chang today announces to retire from the Company immediately after the Annual Shareholders Meeting in early June 2018. Dr. Chang will not be a director in the next term of the board of directors nor will participate in any TSMC management activities. From early June 2018 on, Dr. Mark Liu will be the Chairman of the Board, and Dr. C.C. Wei will be the CEO. All present directors of the board…

TSMC - Chairman Morris Chang Will Retire in June 2018; Implications for All Prospects

<h2>What's new?</h2><p>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/798" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:798:1">Fiat Chrysler Automobiles Nv (FCAU US)</a> left Waymo to join BMW-Intel autonomous car platform in August 2017 (" <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/fiat-chrysler-is-leaving-waymo-to-join-bmw-intel-autonomous-platform-negative-positive-to" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:12899">Fiat Chrysler Is Leaving Waymo to Join BMW-Intel Autonomous Platform; Negative/Positive To?</a> "), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/16764" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> announced to collaborate with Waymo (an <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/11369" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11369:1">Alphabet Inc Cl C (GOOG US)</a> company) on self-driving car technology yesterday. Waymo’s newest vehicles, the self-driving Chrysler Pacifica hybrid minivans, feature Intel-based technologies for sensor processing…</p>

What's new?After Fiat Chrysler Automobiles Nv (FCAU US) left Waymo to join BMW-Intel autonomous car platform in August 2017 (" Fiat Chrysler Is Leaving Waymo to Join BMW-Intel Autonomous Platform; Negative/Positive To? "), Intel Corp (INTC US) announced to collaborate with Waymo (an Alphabet Inc Cl C (GOOG US) company) on self-driving car technology yesterday. Waymo’s newest vehicles, the self-driving Chrysler Pacifica hybrid minivans, feature Intel-based technologies for sensor processing…

Waymo and Intel Collaborate on the Autonomous Car; Turning Intel the Only Semi Competitor to Nvidia

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

Incumbent 'Second Mover' Advantage as AI Hype Risks Reality Check...

The aggregation effects that fuelled social media/search and e-commerce platforms are not relevant in hardware and the premia being applied to...

Sean Maher

Semiconductor Industry Trends

This reports looks at the key trends driving stocks in the global semiconductor industry, identifying winners and losers.It is extracted from CM...

CM Research

Tesla - Missed Model 3 Deliveries as Expected; More Value at Its Suppliers than Tesla Itself

What's new?According to Tesla Motors Inc (TSLA US)'s press release yesterday, Tesla delivered 26,150 vehicles in 3Q17, up 19% q/q and up 5% y/y...

Andrew Lu

TSMC - Chairman Morris Chang Will Retire in June 2018; Implications for All Prospects

Morris' retirementAfter 30 years devotion to Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (2330 TT), Chairman Morris Chang today announces to retire from the...

Andrew Lu

Waymo and Intel Collaborate on the Autonomous Car; Turning Intel the Only Semi Competitor to Nvidia

What's new?After Fiat Chrysler Automobiles Nv (FCAU US) left Waymo to join BMW-Intel autonomous car platform in August 2017 (" Fiat Chrysler Is...

Andrew Lu

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