Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Commodities

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>More government  deals in the critical minerals sector support our outlook</li>
<li>Grasberg mine accident and closure highlights tightness in the copper market</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook
More government  deals in the critical minerals sector support our outlook
Grasberg mine accident and closure highlights tightness in the copper market


Overview #36 - AI Hype, Mineral Might, and the Nuclear Revival

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Micron delivered a blowout Q4, with $11.3B revenue and $3.03 EPS, led by DRAM’s 27% QoQ growth and an HBM3E run-rate nearing $8B.</li>
<li>Data centre accounted for 56% of FY2025 sales, driven by LPDDR5 shipments for Nvidia’s GB chips and early HBM4 sampling.</li>
<li>Management sees 2026 as a tight DRAM supply environment by design, with slower node transitions and deliberate capacity discipline supporting pricing.</li>
</ul>


Micron delivered a blowout Q4, with $11.3B revenue and $3.03 EPS, led by DRAM’s 27% QoQ growth and an HBM3E run-rate nearing $8B.
Data centre accounted for 56% of FY2025 sales, driven by LPDDR5 shipments for Nvidia’s GB chips and early HBM4 sampling.
Management sees 2026 as a tight DRAM supply environment by design, with slower node transitions and deliberate capacity discipline supporting pricing.


Led by DRAMs, Micron Crushes Q4 and Eyes Scarcity in 2026

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> 2Q25 growth likely reaches ~39% YoY with upside risk if 4Q25 outperforms.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> remains the anchor customer driving N2 ramp in 2026.</li>
<li>Since 2nm technology will be widely adopted starting in 2026, revenue growth is projected to be around 25% YoY.  </li>
</ul>



Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) 2Q25 growth likely reaches ~39% YoY with upside risk if 4Q25 outperforms.  

Apple (AAPL US) remains the anchor customer driving N2 ramp in 2026.
Since 2nm technology will be widely adopted starting in 2026, revenue growth is projected to be around 25% YoY.  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 4Q25/2025 Outlook Could Outperform; 2nm Is Likely to Largest Adopted in 2026

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Tekscend Photomask / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tekscend-photomask-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45819:1" rel="noopener">Tekscend Photomask (429A JP)</a> (TP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Tekscend Photomask (429A JP) (TP), a manufacturer and distributor of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO.
TP is a global provider of photomasks and related support services. It has been the leader in the merchant photomask market in terms of sales since 2016.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Tekscend Photomask IPO - The Negatives - Market Share

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>Micron Earnings Call Analysis: AI Memory Tailwinds Getting Stronger as Servers, Smartphone, PC Demand Converge</li>
<li>MediaTek Sharpens Flagship Push, Aiming for 40% Global Market Share... Also, Exploring U.S. Production Set Up</li>
<li>KYEC (2449.TT): The Recent Upward Momentum in the Share Price Has Been Driven by Strong Fundamentals </li>
</ul>


Micron Earnings Call Analysis: AI Memory Tailwinds Getting Stronger as Servers, Smartphone, PC Demand Converge
MediaTek Sharpens Flagship Push, Aiming for 40% Global Market Share... Also, Exploring U.S. Production Set Up
KYEC (2449.TT): The Recent Upward Momentum in the Share Price Has Been Driven by Strong Fundamentals 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek Eyes US Manufacturing, 40% Global Mkt Share; Micron Earnings Take-Aways

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

Overview #36 - AI Hype, Mineral Might, and the Nuclear Revival

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at recent news impacting commodities

Rikki Malik

Led by DRAMs, Micron Crushes Q4 and Eyes Scarcity in 2026

Micron reports strong Q4 results, driven by growth in DRAM and data center sales, with a focus on tight supply to support pricing in 2026.

Mint Finance

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 4Q25/2025 Outlook Could Outperform; 2nm Is Likely to Largest Adopted in 2026

TSMC's 2Q25 growth expected at 39% YoY, potential upside if 4Q25 outperforms. Apple driving N2 ramp in 2026, revenue growth projected at 25% YoY...

Patrick Liao

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Overview #36 - AI Hype, Mineral Might, and the Nuclear Revival

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at recent news impacting commodities

Rikki Malik

Led by DRAMs, Micron Crushes Q4 and Eyes Scarcity in 2026

​Micron reports strong Q4 results, driven by growth in DRAM and data center sales, with a focus on tight supply to support pricing in 2026.

Mint Finance

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 4Q25/2025 Outlook Could Outperform; 2nm Is Likely to Largest Adopted in 2026

​TSMC's 2Q25 growth expected at 39% YoY, potential upside if 4Q25 outperforms. Apple driving N2 ramp in 2026, revenue growth projected at 25% YoY...

Patrick Liao

Tekscend Photomask IPO - The Negatives - Market Share

Tekscend Photomask (429A JP), a manufacturer of semiconductor photomasks, aims to raise around US$830m in its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek Eyes US Manufacturing, 40% Global Mkt Share; Micron Earnings Take-Aways

​Micron sees AI memory demand rising, MediaTek targets 40% market share, KYEC's stock surge driven by strong fundamentals.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Micron reports strong Q4 results, driven by growth in DRAM and data center sales, with a focus on tight supply to support pricing in 2026.

TSMC's 2Q25 growth expected at 39% YoY, potential upside if 4Q25 outperforms. Apple driving N2 ramp in 2026, revenue growth projected at 25% YoY...

Micron sees AI memory demand rising, MediaTek targets 40% market share, KYEC's stock surge driven by strong fundamentals.