FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

FX & Rates

<p>The USD has finished each of the last three years with a run higher, and it may again end on a strong note as the market looks forward to tax reform.  The market is trading cautiously, facing a number of global uncertainties.  There is underlying strength in the US economy that appears to be underappreciated, but may support a strong year-end finish in the dollar.  Global growth remains buoyant, and emerging market assets have rebounded in recent sessions.  It is possible that they spoil the dollar’s year-end party.  However, demand for EM markets is unlikely to spill over to the AUD and NZD; low and diminishing yield advantage, and sluggish equities are likely to weigh on their performance.</p>

The USD has finished each of the last three years with a run higher, and it may again end on a strong note as the market looks forward to tax reform.  The market is trading cautiously, facing a number of global uncertainties.  There is underlying strength in the US economy that appears to be underappreciated, but may support a strong year-end finish in the dollar.  Global growth remains buoyant, and emerging market assets have rebounded in recent sessions.  It is possible that they spoil the dollar’s year-end party.  However, demand for EM markets is unlikely to spill over to the AUD and NZD; low and diminishing yield advantage, and sluggish equities are likely to weigh on their performance.

The Dollar Has Made a Habit of Year-End Rallies

<p><em>The rise in US long-term yields may continue, supported by Fed QT, ECB taper, rising oil prices, solid underlying recovery in the USA, solid global growth, diminishing uncertainty from geopolitical risks and hurricane season, and now a clearer focus on tax reform.  The USD/JPY is likely to mirror any further rise in yields.  The Bank of Canada walked back rate hike expectations.  NZD/USD may succumb to yet further narrowing in its razor-thin yield advantage with diminishing reasons to explain its strength.</em></p>

The rise in US long-term yields may continue, supported by Fed QT, ECB taper, rising oil prices, solid underlying recovery in the USA, solid global growth, diminishing uncertainty from geopolitical risks and hurricane season, and now a clearer focus on tax reform.  The USD/JPY is likely to mirror any further rise in yields.  The Bank of Canada walked back rate hike expectations.  NZD/USD may succumb to yet further narrowing in its razor-thin yield advantage with diminishing reasons to explain its strength.

Rising US Yields to Lift USD/JPY; CAD and NZD Vulnerable

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p><strong>USD greenlight</strong></p><p><strong>To view click on this link: </strong><strong><a href="https://www.screencast.com/t/j7Sv6CNZO" target="_blank">https://www.screencast.com/t/j7Sv6CNZO</a></strong><strong>10:06 min.</strong></p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img class="editor-image img-responsive" src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/034/437/original/CPG%20INSERT.png?1506500029" data-smartkarma-image-id="34437"></figure><div class="content-caption">USD breakout webcast</div><p><strong>DXY - Mid-week updates outlined the risk of the DXY bottoming above 91 and the Euro breaking below 1.19 minor support and now has taken out 1.18 pivot support opening the way for a DXY move to 93.50 and the bigger hurdle at 94.20.  We have been increasing USD long positions over recent weeks.</strong></p><p><strong>Fresh bull signals for a tactical USD rally. Given our bullish US yield stance we must take into</strong>…</p>

USD greenlightTo view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/j7Sv6CNZO10:06 min.USD breakout webcastDXY - Mid-week updates outlined the risk of the DXY bottoming above 91 and the Euro breaking below 1.19 minor support and now has taken out 1.18 pivot support opening the way for a DXY move to 93.50 and the bigger hurdle at 94.20.  We have been increasing USD long positions over recent weeks.Fresh bull signals for a tactical USD rally. Given our bullish US yield stance we must take into…

Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies, BBSP Asia

Federico D'Inca

Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies

BBSP Asia

<div data-placement="bottom" data-toggle="tooltip" data-original-title="Set Notification Alarm">Bearish reversal expected below 0.7300/7330 to 0.7010 even max 0.6815</div><div data-placement="bottom" data-toggle="tooltip" data-original-title="Set Notification Alarm">0.7170 is the bearish exit confirmation level (add on break)</div><div>MACD posting a bearish divergence and banging down off resistance line. 0.7330 can be found in multiple fractals below-descending resistance line with bearish divergence. Candlestick reversal pattern shaping (as per reversals in Sept 2016 and Feb 2017) that resulted in strong sell-offs.</div><div>Should you have any questions and wish to speak with one of our analysts, please…</div>

Bearish reversal expected below 0.7300/7330 to 0.7010 even max 0.68150.7170 is the bearish exit confirmation level (add on break)MACD posting a bearish divergence and banging down off resistance line. 0.7330 can be found in multiple fractals below-descending resistance line with bearish divergence. Candlestick reversal pattern shaping (as per reversals in Sept 2016 and Feb 2017) that resulted in strong sell-offs.Should you have any questions and wish to speak with one of our analysts, please…

Kiwi - Bearish Reversal Expected Below 0.7330

New Zealand

The New Zealand dollar is the official currency of New Zealand.  

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NZD (NZD BGN CURNCY)

The Dollar Has Made a Habit of Year-End Rallies

The USD has finished each of the last three years with a run higher, and it may again end on a strong note as the market looks forward to tax...

Greg Gibbs

Rising US Yields to Lift USD/JPY; CAD and NZD Vulnerable

The rise in US long-term yields may continue, supported by Fed QT, ECB taper, rising oil prices, solid underlying recovery in the USA, solid global...

Greg Gibbs

USD Breakout

USD greenlightTo view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/j7Sv6CNZO10:06 min.DXY - Mid-week updates outlined the risk of the DXY...

Thomas Schroeder

Kiwi - Bearish Reversal Expected Below 0.7330

Bearish reversal expected below 0.7300/7330 to 0.7010 even max 0.68150.7170 is the bearish exit confirmation level (add on break)MACD posting...

BBSP Asia

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