Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

FNArena

Financial News, Analysis and Data

Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Extra Edition of the Broker Call Report</li></ul>

Aussie Broadband Pty Ltd - Australian Broker Call *Extra* Edition - Jul 02, 2025

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P DJI have proposed methodology changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices to enhance representativeness and more quickly reflecting changing market conditions.</li>
<li>The main changes are lowering the minimum float threshold, shortening the market cap calculation period and the liquidity calculation period, and including buffers for additions and deletions.</li>
<li>We currently forecast 47 changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in September and the short market cap computation period could lead to more change over the next two months.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P DJI have proposed methodology changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices to enhance representativeness and more quickly reflecting changing market conditions.
The main changes are lowering the minimum float threshold, shortening the market cap calculation period and the liquidity calculation period, and including buffers for additions and deletions.
We currently forecast 47 changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in September and the short market cap computation period could lead to more change over the next two months.


S&P/ASX Indices: Proposed Methodology Changes & The BIG September Rebalance

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ansarada-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30718:1" rel="noopener">Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU)</a> IE considers Datasite’s A$2.50 scheme offer fair and reasonable. However, the inter-conditional carve-out transaction is NOT fair but reasonable. </li>
<li>ACCC clearance (findings on 6 June) is a prerequisite for FIRB approval (scheme condition). As Datasite has a limited Australian presence, ACCC approval should be forthcoming. </li>
<li>The offer is attractive, with no vocal shareholder opposition. At the last close and for the 1 July payment, the gross/annualised spread was 2.5%/12.2%.</li>
</ul>


The Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU) IE considers Datasite’s A$2.50 scheme offer fair and reasonable. However, the inter-conditional carve-out transaction is NOT fair but reasonable. 
ACCC clearance (findings on 6 June) is a prerequisite for FIRB approval (scheme condition). As Datasite has a limited Australian presence, ACCC approval should be forthcoming. 
The offer is attractive, with no vocal shareholder opposition. At the last close and for the 1 July payment, the gross/annualised spread was 2.5%/12.2%.


Ansarada (AND AU): Scheme Vote on 14 June

<ul>
<li>Potentia has returned with an improved three-part offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a>. The base offer of A$2.17 is 0.9% higher than Alludo’s A$2.15 offer. </li>
<li>The offer could rise to A$2.20 or A$2.25 per share based on hitting additional conditions. There is a clear path for the final offer to reach A$2.20 per share. </li>
<li>A A$2.25 per share offer is unlikely due to the onerous 25% scrip acceptance condition. At the last close, the gross spread to the likely final A$2.20 offer is 0.5%.</li>
</ul>


Potentia has returned with an improved three-part offer for Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU). The base offer of A$2.17 is 0.9% higher than Alludo’s A$2.15 offer. 
The offer could rise to A$2.20 or A$2.25 per share based on hitting additional conditions. There is a clear path for the final offer to reach A$2.20 per share. 
A A$2.25 per share offer is unlikely due to the onerous 25% scrip acceptance condition. At the last close, the gross spread to the likely final A$2.20 offer is 0.5%.


Nitro (NTO AU): Potentia Comes Good with a Three-Part Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nitro-software-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30943:1" rel="noopener">Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU)</a> has finally granted Potentia due diligence access until 22 February. Subject to satisfactory due diligence, Potentia could increase its offer from A$2.00 to A$2.20-2.30 per share.</li>
<li>Alludo’s A$2.15 off-market takeover offer is its best and final offer. Alludo’s offer is subject to a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition (currently at 12.53%) and closes on 3 March.</li>
<li>Potentia’s dogged pursuit despite the Board's stonewalling suggests a desire to get a deal done. At the last close, the gross spread to Potentia’s potential offer is 2.3% to 7.0%.</li>
</ul>



Nitro Software Ltd (NTO AU) has finally granted Potentia due diligence access until 22 February. Subject to satisfactory due diligence, Potentia could increase its offer from A$2.00 to A$2.20-2.30 per share.
Alludo’s A$2.15 off-market takeover offer is its best and final offer. Alludo’s offer is subject to a 50.1% minimum acceptance condition (currently at 12.53%) and closes on 3 March.
Potentia’s dogged pursuit despite the Board's stonewalling suggests a desire to get a deal done. At the last close, the gross spread to Potentia’s potential offer is 2.3% to 7.0%.


Nitro Software (NTO AU): Potentia Finally Secures Due Diligence

Australia

Objective Corporation Limited manufactures knowledge management application software.  The Company's products allow users to access and manage word processing documents, spreadsheets, web page content and e-mails.  Objective also develops branded software which provides template-based conversion of documents to HTML.

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Objective Corporation (OCL AU)

Aussie Broadband Pty Ltd - Australian Broker Call Extra Edition - Jul 02, 2025

Extra Edition of the Broker Call Report

FNArena

S&P/ASX Indices: Proposed Methodology Changes & The BIG September Rebalance

The proposed methodology changes could result in 47 changes for the S&P/ASX family in September. Plus there will be an ad hoc inclusion in July....

Brian Freitas

Ansarada (AND AU): Scheme Vote on 14 June

Datasite has received ACCC clearance for the Ansarada scheme privatisation, which is a prerequisite for FIRB approval (scheme condition). The...

Arun George

Nitro (NTO AU): Potentia Comes Good with a Three-Part Offer

The base offer of A$2.17 could rise to A$2.20 or A$2.25 per share based on hitting additional conditions. There is a clear path for the final offer...

Arun George

Nitro Software (NTO AU): Potentia Finally Secures Due Diligence

Potentia’s dogged pursuit despite the Board's stonewalling suggests a desire to get a deal done. At the last close, the gross spread to Potentia’s...

Arun George

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