External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Oil India: Our BUY recommendation on Oil India with a revised target price of INR 490 is premised on oil production growth at 10% CAGR and gas production growth at 21% CAGR over FY25-27E</li><li>Q4FY25 standalone EBITDA at INR 19.8bn (-15% YoY, -7% QoQ) and PAT at INR 15.9bn (-21.6% YoY, +30.3% QoQ) came in below our estimates due to lower-than-expected volume and higher opex</li><li>Oil and gas production stood at 1.65mmtoe (-0.2%YoY, -2.8% QoQ). Medplus Health Services: EBITDA^ grew 29% YoY despite muted sales (pharmacy +1% YoY, diagnostics +21% YoY) and higher staff costs (+21%), led by 398 bps YoY expansion in gross margin (driven by increased private label share to 23.3%) and flat SG&amp;A</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Oil India: Our BUY recommendation on Oil India with a revised target price of INR 490 is premised on oil production growth at 10% CAGR and gas production growth at 21% CAGR over FY25-27EQ4FY25 standalone EBITDA at INR 19.8bn (-15% YoY, -7% QoQ) and PAT at INR 15.9bn (-21.6% YoY, +30.3% QoQ) came in below our estimates due to lower-than-expected volume and higher opexOil and gas production stood at 1.65mmtoe (-0.2%YoY, -2.8% QoQ). Medplus Health Services: EBITDA^ grew 29% YoY despite muted sales (pharmacy +1% YoY, diagnostics +21% YoY) and higher staff costs (+21%), led by 398 bps YoY expansion in gross margin (driven by increased private label share to 23.3%) and flat SG&amp;AContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Oil India, Medplus Health Services, JK Lakshmi Cement, Sansera Engineering

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Schloss Bangalore Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schloss-bangalore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43983:1" rel="noopener">Schloss Bangalore Ltd (SCHBL IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$409m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of around US$600m.</li>
<li>It is a luxury hospitality company which owns, operates, manages and develops luxury hotels and resorts under ‘The Leela’ brand, through direct ownership and hotel management agreements with third-party owners.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates.</li>
</ul>



Schloss Bangalore Ltd (SCHBL IN) is looking to raise about US$409m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of around US$600m.
It is a luxury hospitality company which owns, operates, manages and develops luxury hotels and resorts under ‘The Leela’ brand, through direct ownership and hotel management agreements with third-party owners.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates.


Schloss Bangalore IPO - Growth Has Softened; Corporate Structure Reorganised

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Crude oil prices have dropped sharply, with WTI and Brent falling 3-4% due to OPEC+'s decision to increase oil output to 960,000 bpd, representing a 44% unwinding .  </li>
<li>This decline in oil prices could benefit India’s Oil Marketing Companies, paint, tyre, and aviation sectors, while negatively impacting upstream oil explorers and refineries.</li>
<li>Despite OPEC+'s move to ramp up production, global demand remains uncertain due to trade tensions, and oil prices are forecasted to stay low, affecting various sectors.</li>
</ul>


Crude oil prices have dropped sharply, with WTI and Brent falling 3-4% due to OPEC+'s decision to increase oil output to 960,000 bpd, representing a 44% unwinding .  
This decline in oil prices could benefit India’s Oil Marketing Companies, paint, tyre, and aviation sectors, while negatively impacting upstream oil explorers and refineries.
Despite OPEC+'s move to ramp up production, global demand remains uncertain due to trade tensions, and oil prices are forecasted to stay low, affecting various sectors.


OPEC+ Pushes for Market Share, How India Can Benefit?

<ul><li>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: Mahindra &amp; Mahindra’s Q3FY25 standalone EBITDA margin at 14.6% was in line with our estimate of 14.6% and Bloomberg consensus estimate of 14.7%</li><li>The auto division’s EBIT margin at 9.7% is impressive, though it might moderate going forward as the company ramps up contract manufacturing for its ePV subsidiary Mahindra Electric Automobile Ltd (MEAL)</li><li>The farm division’s EBIT margin at 18.1% was impacted by the growing farm machinery business, and adjusted for it, the core tractor EBIT margin would have been 19.5%</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: Mahindra &amp; Mahindra’s Q3FY25 standalone EBITDA margin at 14.6% was in line with our estimate of 14.6% and Bloomberg consensus estimate of 14.7%The auto division’s EBIT margin at 9.7% is impressive, though it might moderate going forward as the company ramps up contract manufacturing for its ePV subsidiary Mahindra Electric Automobile Ltd (MEAL)The farm division’s EBIT margin at 18.1% was impacted by the growing farm machinery business, and adjusted for it, the core tractor EBIT margin would have been 19.5%Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Hero Motocorp, Oil India, Thermax

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 19 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. All names are exactly in line with our forecast.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 72.7bn (US$857m). There are 18 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The adds have continued to outperform the deletes even after the end of the review period. There could be further upside heading into year-end and implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 19 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. All names are exactly in line with our forecast.
Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 72.7bn (US$857m). There are 18 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
The adds have continued to outperform the deletes even after the end of the review period. There could be further upside heading into year-end and implementation of the changes.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade

India

Oil India Ltd. explores, develops, and produces crude oil and natural gas in India and internationally. The Company is also involved in the transportation of crude oil, production of liquefied petroleum gas, pipeline services, as well as various exploration and production related services.

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Oil India Ltd (OINL IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Oil India, Medplus Health Services, JK Lakshmi Cement, Sansera Engineering

Our BUY recommendation on Oil India with a revised target price of INR 490 is premised on oil production growth at 10% CAGR and gas production...

HDFC Securities

Schloss Bangalore IPO - Growth Has Softened; Corporate Structure Reorganised

Schloss Bangalore Limited (SBL) is looking to raise about US$409m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of around...

Akshat Shah

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Hero Motocorp, Oil India, Thermax

Mahindra & Mahindra: Mahindra & Mahindra’s Q3FY25 standalone EBITDA margin at 14.6% was in line with our estimate of 14.6% and Bloomberg...

HDFC Securities

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade

There are 19 changes a side and all names are in line with our forecast. Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSIE Results Daily: Oil India, Medplus Health Services, JK Lakshmi Cement, Sansera Engineering

Our BUY recommendation on Oil India with a revised target price of INR 490 is premised on oil production growth at 10% CAGR and gas production...

HDFC Securities

Schloss Bangalore IPO - Growth Has Softened; Corporate Structure Reorganised

Schloss Bangalore Limited (SBL) is looking to raise about US$409m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of around...

Akshat Shah

OPEC+ Pushes for Market Share, How India Can Benefit?

​OPEC+ decision to increase oil output leads to sharp drop in crude oil prices, benefiting some sectors in India but impacting others negatively,...

Nimish Maheshwari

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Hero Motocorp, Oil India, Thermax

Mahindra & Mahindra: Mahindra & Mahindra’s Q3FY25 standalone EBITDA margin at 14.6% was in line with our estimate of 14.6% and Bloomberg...

HDFC Securities

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade

There are 19 changes a side and all names are in line with our forecast. Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR...

Brian Freitas

OPEC+ decision to increase oil output leads to sharp drop in crude oil prices, benefiting some sectors in India but impacting others negatively,...