Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Mynt, the digital payments and consumer finance platform behind GCash, launched its PSE IPO to raise up to USD 1,279m. MS, JPM, and UBS are the joint global coordinators.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the deal terms and provide our thoughts on valuation for the company.</li>
<li>We look at the quality of the cornerstone investors and assess the risk-reward of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Mynt, the digital payments and consumer finance platform behind GCash, launched its PSE IPO to raise up to USD 1,279m. MS, JPM, and UBS are the joint global coordinators.
In this note, we look at the deal terms and provide our thoughts on valuation for the company.
We look at the quality of the cornerstone investors and assess the risk-reward of the deal.


Mynt (GCash) IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms and Valuation

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The United States has imposed a 50% reciprocal tariff on Indian exports, the highest among major Asian peers, significantly above China (30%) and Vietnam (20%).
</li>
<li>This could hamper 50-100 bps India’s GDP growth, strain sectors like textile, gems, and raise risks around FPI flows as US accounts for nearly 40% of India’s FPI assets.</li>
<li>While India retains buffers through domestic absorption, trade diversification, and potential monetary easing, the tariff shock deepens trade uncertainty and capital flow sensitivity, warranting close investor monitoring. </li>
</ul>


The United States has imposed a 50% reciprocal tariff on Indian exports, the highest among major Asian peers, significantly above China (30%) and Vietnam (20%).

This could hamper 50-100 bps India’s GDP growth, strain sectors like textile, gems, and raise risks around FPI flows as US accounts for nearly 40% of India’s FPI assets.
While India retains buffers through domestic absorption, trade diversification, and potential monetary easing, the tariff shock deepens trade uncertainty and capital flow sensitivity, warranting close investor monitoring. 


Will 50% Tariffs Break India’s Export Edge?

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

<ul>
<li>Grant Thornton's forensic review finds IndusInd Bank executives traded shares before public disclosure of accounting lapses, raising insider trading concerns.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dabur-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:242:1" rel="noopener">Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN)</a> plans to streamline its portfolio, focus on e-commerce and quick-commerce, and explore M&amp;A in health and wellness.</li>
<li>Vijay Shekhar Sharma, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/one-97-communications-limited-paytm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26149:1" rel="noopener">Paytm (PAYTM IN)</a> founder, banned for three years from receiving Esops; settles Sebi case with penalties.</li>
</ul>


Grant Thornton's forensic review finds IndusInd Bank executives traded shares before public disclosure of accounting lapses, raising insider trading concerns.

Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN) plans to streamline its portfolio, focus on e-commerce and quick-commerce, and explore M&amp;A in health and wellness.
Vijay Shekhar Sharma, Paytm (PAYTM IN) founder, banned for three years from receiving Esops; settles Sebi case with penalties.


#144 India Insight: IndusInd Execs in Insider Trade Row, Dabur Eyes M&A, Paytm's Founder Banned

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gcash" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40108:1" rel="noopener">GCash (Mynt) (GCASH PM)</a> is the No.1 finance super app in the Philippines. It is seeking to raise US$1.3 billion at PHP10.00 per share. Pricing is on 1 October.</li>
<li>I discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mynt-gcash-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:249615" rel="noopener">Mynt (GCash) IPO: The Investment Case</a>. I have updated my view and forecasts for the 2Q results.</li>
<li>My view is incrementally bearish due to escalating regulatory risk, declining sequential quarterly growth/margin, ongoing pressure in payment solutions, and stretched valuation. </li>
</ul>



GCash (Mynt) (GCASH PM) is the No.1 finance super app in the Philippines. It is seeking to raise US$1.3 billion at PHP10.00 per share. Pricing is on 1 October.
I discussed the IPO in Mynt (GCash) IPO: The Investment Case. I have updated my view and forecasts for the 2Q results.
My view is incrementally bearish due to escalating regulatory risk, declining sequential quarterly growth/margin, ongoing pressure in payment solutions, and stretched valuation. 


Mynt (GCash) IPO: 2Q and Valuation Update

Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, hailed as the largest gathering of the Hindu faith, is set to host an estimated 400-450 million devotees from India and around the world.</li>
<li>The event’s estimated budget is INR 6,382 crore (USD 800 Mn) for event management and infrastructure development, 72% higher than the budget allocated in 2019 Kumbh.</li>
<li>Kumbh Mela could generate financial transactions totaling INR 2–2.5 lakh crore (USD 25–30 billion) over 45 days. This accounts for an estimated 0.5–0.8% of the country’s GDP.</li>
</ul>


The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, hailed as the largest gathering of the Hindu faith, is set to host an estimated 400-450 million devotees from India and around the world.
The event’s estimated budget is INR 6,382 crore (USD 800 Mn) for event management and infrastructure development, 72% higher than the budget allocated in 2019 Kumbh.
Kumbh Mela could generate financial transactions totaling INR 2–2.5 lakh crore (USD 25–30 billion) over 45 days. This accounts for an estimated 0.5–0.8% of the country’s GDP.


Maha Kumbh 2025- How Big Is It for Economy?

India

One97 Communications Ltd. is an Indian multinational technology company that provides digital payment and financial services to consumers and merchants. Its core offerings include payment services, lending, insurance, and wealth management, primarily through its flagship mobile wallet, Paytm. The company is headquartered in Noida, India, and was founded in 2000.

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Paytm (PAYTM IN)

Mynt (GCash) IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms and Valuation

We analyze Mynt's USD 1,279m Philippine IPO. We look at deal terms and the cornerstone investors, as well as its valuation. We would participate in...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Will 50% Tariffs Break India’s Export Edge?

US imposes 50% tariff on Indian exports, highest in Asia, may slow GDP growth, strain sectors, and impact FPI flows. India has buffers but faces...

Nimish Maheshwari

#144 India Insight: IndusInd Execs in Insider Trade Row, Dabur Eyes M&A, Paytm's Founder Banned

Grant Thornton finds IndusInd Bank execs traded shares before accounting lapses disclosure; Dabur India plans portfolio streamlining, Paytm...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Mynt (GCash) IPO: 2Q and Valuation Update

GCash (Mynt) is the No.1 finance super app in the Philippines. It is seeking to raise US$1.3 billion at PHP10.00 per share. In this note, I update...

Arun George

Maha Kumbh 2025- How Big Is It for Economy?

The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, expected to draw 400-450 million devotees, and could generate up to INR 2-2.5 lakh crore in financial transactions,...

Nitin Mangal

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Mynt (GCash) IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms and Valuation

We analyze Mynt's USD 1,279m Philippine IPO. We look at deal terms and the cornerstone investors, as well as its valuation. We would participate in...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Will 50% Tariffs Break India’s Export Edge?

​US imposes 50% tariff on Indian exports, highest in Asia, may slow GDP growth, strain sectors, and impact FPI flows. India has buffers but faces...

Nimish Maheshwari

#144 India Insight: IndusInd Execs in Insider Trade Row, Dabur Eyes M&A, Paytm's Founder Banned

​Grant Thornton finds IndusInd Bank execs traded shares before accounting lapses disclosure; Dabur India plans portfolio streamlining, Paytm...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Mynt (GCash) IPO: 2Q and Valuation Update

GCash (Mynt) is the No.1 finance super app in the Philippines. It is seeking to raise US$1.3 billion at PHP10.00 per share. In this note, I update...

Arun George

Maha Kumbh 2025- How Big Is It for Economy?

​The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, expected to draw 400-450 million devotees, and could generate up to INR 2-2.5 lakh crore in financial transactions,...

Nitin Mangal

US imposes 50% tariff on Indian exports, highest in Asia, may slow GDP growth, strain sectors, and impact FPI flows. India has buffers but faces...

Grant Thornton finds IndusInd Bank execs traded shares before accounting lapses disclosure; Dabur India plans portfolio streamlining, Paytm...

The Mahakumbh Mela 2025, expected to draw 400-450 million devotees, and could generate up to INR 2-2.5 lakh crore in financial transactions,...