Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be up to 15 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Even with 15 changes, there is some sector balance among the potential adds and deletes with big churn in the Information Technology sector.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> since the start of the review period but performance has flattened over the last month.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be up to 15 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
Even with 15 changes, there is some sector balance among the potential adds and deletes with big churn in the Information Technology sector.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) since the start of the review period but performance has flattened over the last month.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Changes Possible as Review Period Ends

<ul>
<li>With nearly 85% of the review period complete, there could be 15 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Prior to the June rebalance, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/c-c-international-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40992:1" rel="noopener">C&amp;C International (352480 KS)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canariabio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36099:1" rel="noopener">CanariaBio (016790 KS)</a> in the index following CanariaBio being listed as an Administrative Issue and an Investment Attention Issue.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> since the start of the review period. Lighten positions ahead of the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


With nearly 85% of the review period complete, there could be 15 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
Prior to the June rebalance, C&amp;C International (352480 KS) will replace CanariaBio (016790 KS) in the index following CanariaBio being listed as an Administrative Issue and an Investment Attention Issue.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the KOSDAQ 150 Index since the start of the review period. Lighten positions ahead of the end of the review period.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Still Outperforming

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the potential inclusions and exclusions of the upcoming KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in May 2023.</li>
<li>The next round of KOSDAQ 150 rebalance will be announced in May and it will be effective as of end of May 2023.</li>
<li>Typically, the potential inclusions and exclusions to KOSDAQ 150 make their biggest moves in the one to three months prior to the rebalance announcements.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the potential inclusions and exclusions of the upcoming KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in May 2023.
The next round of KOSDAQ 150 rebalance will be announced in May and it will be effective as of end of May 2023.
Typically, the potential inclusions and exclusions to KOSDAQ 150 make their biggest moves in the one to three months prior to the rebalance announcements.


Potential Inclusions & Exclusions in KOSDAQ 150 Rebalance in May 2023

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>WCP has the largest gap between the exercise and current prices (-16%). And its retail allocation is also the largest (5.44% of SO). In addition, it is subject to short-selling.</li>
<li>The deadline is January 2nd. A large-scale option exercise will be unavoidable if the share price does not exceed ₩54,000 by that date.</li>
<li>It is very likely that WCP's share price will experience strong downward pressure for a week after January 2nd. We need to consider a position setup that actively utilizes this.</li>
</ul>


WCP has the largest gap between the exercise and current prices (-16%). And its retail allocation is also the largest (5.44% of SO). In addition, it is subject to short-selling.
The deadline is January 2nd. A large-scale option exercise will be unavoidable if the share price does not exceed ₩54,000 by that date.
It is very likely that WCP's share price will experience strong downward pressure for a week after January 2nd. We need to consider a position setup that actively utilizes this.


Recent IPOs Carrying Putback Option in Korea: Market's Attention Is on WCP

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>WCP starts trading on its IPO tomorrow (30 September) in Korea. Even at the lower share price of 60,000 won, we continue to have a Negative View of WCP. </li>
<li>We have updated our valuation on WCP taking into account the latest prices and valuation multiples of the comps as of 29 September. </li>
<li>Our base case valuation of WCP is market cap of 1.8 trillion won or target price of 51,973 won, which is 13% lower than the IPO price of 60,000 won.</li>
</ul>


WCP starts trading on its IPO tomorrow (30 September) in Korea. Even at the lower share price of 60,000 won, we continue to have a Negative View of WCP. 
We have updated our valuation on WCP taking into account the latest prices and valuation multiples of the comps as of 29 September. 
Our base case valuation of WCP is market cap of 1.8 trillion won or target price of 51,973 won, which is 13% lower than the IPO price of 60,000 won.


Trading Strategy for WCP Post Lowered IPO Price

South Korea

Openedges Technology, Inc. operates electronic component development businesses. The Company develops electronic chips, integrated circuits, and other products. Openedges Technology conducts businesses across worldwide.

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Openedges Technology (394280 KS)

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Changes Possible as Review Period Ends

With the review period complete, there could be up to 15 changes for the KOSDAQ150 Index in June. The adds have outperformed the deletes over the...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Still Outperforming

There could be 15 changes for the KOSDAQ150 Index in June. The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the KOSDAQ150 Index over...

Brian Freitas

Potential Inclusions & Exclusions in KOSDAQ 150 Rebalance in May 2023

We discuss the potential inclusions and exclusions of the upcoming KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in May 2023 which will be announced in May and it will be...

Douglas Kim

Recent IPOs Carrying Putback Option in Korea: Market's Attention Is on WCP

This post investigates the recent IPOs in Korea which carry putback options. In particular, it looks at WCP, which will likely experience a large...

Sanghyun Park

Trading Strategy for WCP Post Lowered IPO Price

Our base case valuation of WCP is market cap of 1.8 trillion won or target price of 51,973 won, which is 13% lower than the IPO price of 60,000 won.

Douglas Kim

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52-week Range

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