Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide updated NAV valuations of Hanmi Science (008930 KS), Amorepacific Holdings (002790 KS), Youngone Holdings (009970 KS), OCI Holdings (010060 KS), and Orion Holdings (001800 KS).</li>
<li>These five smaller holding companies have also outperformed the market this year (up 43% on average versus KOSPI which is up 20% in the same period).</li>
<li>These holdcos' outperformance has been driven by investors' perception that the new Lee Jae-Myung administration will make real changes to improve corporate governance policies. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide updated NAV valuations of Hanmi Science (008930 KS), Amorepacific Holdings (002790 KS), Youngone Holdings (009970 KS), OCI Holdings (010060 KS), and Orion Holdings (001800 KS).
These five smaller holding companies have also outperformed the market this year (up 43% on average versus KOSPI which is up 20% in the same period).
These holdcos' outperformance has been driven by investors' perception that the new Lee Jae-Myung administration will make real changes to improve corporate governance policies. 


NAV of Hanmi Science, Amorepacific Holdings, Youngone Holdings, OCI Holdings, & Orion Holdings

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide 3 major fundamental criteria for screening major Korean F&amp;B companies. </li>
<li>Three major criteria include 3 years CAGR revenue growth of 5% or more, increase in net margin in 2024, and overseas sales more than 10% of total sales.</li>
<li>Of the 30 Korean F&amp;B companies mentioned in this insight, only six companies meet these criteria including Samyang Foods, Orion Corp, Hitejinro, Lotte Wellfood, Daesang Corporation, and Pulmuone.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide 3 major fundamental criteria for screening major Korean F&amp;B companies. 
Three major criteria include 3 years CAGR revenue growth of 5% or more, increase in net margin in 2024, and overseas sales more than 10% of total sales.
Of the 30 Korean F&amp;B companies mentioned in this insight, only six companies meet these criteria including Samyang Foods, Orion Corp, Hitejinro, Lotte Wellfood, Daesang Corporation, and Pulmuone.


Korean F&B: Focus on Companies With Strongest Export Growth

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass and 2/27/25 Int'l Compass) we had been expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.</li>
<li>However, after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed in 4/1/25 and 4/3/25 reports how we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity, and we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious</li>
<li>While it is possible that the lows are in, we now are looking for the ACWI-US rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or the 200-day MA (~$118).</li>
</ul>


Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass and 2/27/25 Int'l Compass) we had been expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.
However, after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed in 4/1/25 and 4/3/25 reports how we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity, and we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious
While it is possible that the lows are in, we now are looking for the ACWI-US rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or the 200-day MA (~$118).


Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss 20 Korean stocks that could outperform the market in the next two months amid global tariff war and local political turmoil.</li>
<li>Going forward, we believe these 20 Korean stocks could continue to outperform the market in the next couple of months. </li>
<li>As the market tries to digest further the uncertainties due to tariff war and the local Presidential election, these 20 stocks could provide sound defensive outperformance. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss 20 Korean stocks that could outperform the market in the next two months amid global tariff war and local political turmoil.
Going forward, we believe these 20 Korean stocks could continue to outperform the market in the next couple of months. 
As the market tries to digest further the uncertainties due to tariff war and the local Presidential election, these 20 stocks could provide sound defensive outperformance. 


20 Korean Stocks That Could Outperform Next 2 Months Amid Tariff War and Local Political Turmoil

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide the top 10 stocks picks and key catalysts in the Korean stock market for the two weeks starting 31 March.</li>
<li>The top 10 picks in this bi-weekly include Orion Holdings, Hyundai Wia, KEPCO KPS, Samsung Electronics, KT, Emart, CJ Logistics, APR, Doosan Enerbility, and HD Hyundai Marine Solution.</li>
<li>The biggest near-term negative catalyst on the Korean stock market remains tariffs. The final legal outcome on President Yoon Seok-Yeol is expected to be made by the end of April.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide the top 10 stocks picks and key catalysts in the Korean stock market for the two weeks starting 31 March.
The top 10 picks in this bi-weekly include Orion Holdings, Hyundai Wia, KEPCO KPS, Samsung Electronics, KT, Emart, CJ Logistics, APR, Doosan Enerbility, and HD Hyundai Marine Solution.
The biggest near-term negative catalyst on the Korean stock market remains tariffs. The final legal outcome on President Yoon Seok-Yeol is expected to be made by the end of April.


Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (Starting 31 March 2025)

South Korea

Orion Corp. manufactures and distributes snacks and beverages. The Company also engages in movie production and investments.

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Orion Corp (271560 KS)

NAV of Hanmi Science, Amorepacific Holdings, Youngone Holdings, OCI Holdings, & Orion Holdings

In this insight, we provide updated NAV valuations of Hanmi Science, Amorepacific Holdings, Youngone Holdings, OCI Holdings, and Orion Holdings.

Douglas Kim

Korean F&B: Focus on Companies With Strongest Export Growth

We provide 3 fundamental criteria for screening Korean F&B companies including 3-years CAGR revenue growth of 5% or more, higher net margin in...

Douglas Kim

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities. Looking for the $ACWI rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or...

Vermilion Research

20 Korean Stocks That Could Outperform Next 2 Months Amid Tariff War and Local Political Turmoil

In this insight, we discuss 20 Korean stocks that could outperform the market in the next two months amid global tariff war and local political...

Douglas Kim

Top 10 Korean Stock Picks and Key Catalysts Bi-Weekly (Starting 31 March 2025)

The top 10 picks in this bi-weekly include Orion Holdings, Hyundai Wia, KEPCO KPS, Samsung Electronics, KT, Emart, CJ Logistics, APR, Doosan...

Douglas Kim

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