Research from Quam Securities, Quam Securities

Quam Securities Research

Research from Quam Securities

Quam Securities

Since its inception in 1986, Quam Securities Limited (Quam Securities) has grown to become one of the few mid-tier securities brokerages in Hong Kong with global execution capabilities for both private and institutional clients. It boasts a well-established network in Greater China including Taiwan and in major world markets through the Global Alliance Partners (GAP). Quam Securities is well-positioned not only to harness and drive business within the China Tonghai International Financial Limited but also between China and the world markets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>ABCDE Sector Weekly provides market-moving insights and news for the rapidly transforming digital asset sector with a primary emphasis on their impact on related equities.  More importantly, we keep equity investors informed on how they can invest on the right side of change.  </p>

ABCDE Sector Weekly provides market-moving insights and news for the rapidly transforming digital asset sector with a primary emphasis on their impact on related equities.  More importantly, we keep equity investors informed on how they can invest on the right side of change.  

CTS Global Digital Asset and Blockchain Equities Weekly (20/8)

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>BC Technology Group (BCG) reported solid 1H21 revenue driven by solid trading income growth of its OSL digital asset and blockchain platform business. As one of the few listed and licensed digital asset exchange players, we expect BCG to benefit from strong revenue growth (2020-23E revenue CAGR of 71.1%), and earnings breakeven in 2022E.  We believe BCG’s shares offer investors exposure to the structural theme of rising institutional demand for digital assets trading and investment solutions.  We reiterate our Buy rating with a TP of HK$18.53 based on a 10.4x 2022E P/S, implying 26.8% upside potential.  For more details, please refer to our initiation report “BC Tech Group – Pushing the envelope in institutional digital asset; Initiate with Buy” and full sector report “Global Digital Asset Exchange Sector Initiation – Opportunities for Equity Investors” published on 6 Aug 2021.</p>

BC Technology Group (BCG) reported solid 1H21 revenue driven by solid trading income growth of its OSL digital asset and blockchain platform business. As one of the few listed and licensed digital asset exchange players, we expect BCG to benefit from strong revenue growth (2020-23E revenue CAGR of 71.1%), and earnings breakeven in 2022E.  We believe BCG’s shares offer investors exposure to the structural theme of rising institutional demand for digital assets trading and investment solutions.  We reiterate our Buy rating with a TP of HK$18.53 based on a 10.4x 2022E P/S, implying 26.8% upside potential.  For more details, please refer to our initiation report “BC Tech Group – Pushing the envelope in institutional digital asset; Initiate with Buy” and full sector report “Global Digital Asset Exchange Sector Initiation – Opportunities for Equity Investors” published on 6 Aug 2021.

Crypto

<p>ABCDE Sector Weekly provides market-moving insights and news for the rapidly transforming digital asset sector with a primary emphasis on their impact on related equities.  More importantly, we keep equity investors informed on how they can invest on the right side of change.   </p>

ABCDE Sector Weekly provides market-moving insights and news for the rapidly transforming digital asset sector with a primary emphasis on their impact on related equities.  More importantly, we keep equity investors informed on how they can invest on the right side of change.   

<h3>Stock Picks</h3>
<p><strong>Coinbase (COIN US) – Growing by leaps and bounds; Initiate with Buy, TP: US$302.62<br></strong>We initiate coverage of Coinbase Global (Coinbase) with a Buy rating and 12-month SOTP-derived target price of US$302.62. As one of the largest digital asset trading platforms with a broad suite of value-added services, we believe Coinbase will benefit from the expanding TAM of the cryptoeconomy, which will drive revenue and user growth. We see current valuations (17.2x 2022E P/E) as attractive relative to its robust growth profile and leading position in the digital asset industry.</p>
<p><strong>BC Tech Group (863 HK) – Pushing the envelope in institutional digital asset; Initiate with Buy; TP: HK$18.53<br></strong>We believe BCG’s shares offer investors exposure to the structural theme of rising institutional demand for digital assets trading and investment solutions. As one of the few publicly listed and licensed players in the digital asset exchange industry, we expect BCG to benefit from strong revenue growth and earnings breakeven in 2022E. We view current valuations (7.6x 2022E P/S) as attractive relative to its regional and global peers, given its robust revenue growth.</p>
<h3>Where we differ</h3>
<p>Sell-side research has been focused narrowly on margin compression and intensifying competition from other exchanges.  Our view is that focusing any discussion of licensed and regulatory compliant digital asset exchanges on commission and margin pressure is overly limiting. Instead, we urge equity investors to take a broader view. In other words, investing in pick and shovel plays will give investors exposure to the future potential of the digital asset phenomenon.</p>

Stock Picks
Coinbase (COIN US) – Growing by leaps and bounds; Initiate with Buy, TP: US$302.62 We initiate coverage of Coinbase Global (Coinbase) with a Buy rating and 12-month SOTP-derived target price of US$302.62. As one of the largest digital asset trading platforms with a broad suite of value-added services, we believe Coinbase will benefit from the expanding TAM of the cryptoeconomy, which will drive revenue and user growth. We see current valuations (17.2x 2022E P/E) as attractive relative to its robust growth profile and leading position in the digital asset industry.
BC Tech Group (863 HK) – Pushing the envelope in institutional digital asset; Initiate with Buy; TP: HK$18.53 We believe BCG’s shares offer investors exposure to the structural theme of rising institutional demand for digital assets trading and investment solutions. As one of the few publicly listed and licensed players in the digital asset exchange industry, we expect BCG to benefit from strong revenue growth and earnings breakeven in 2022E. We view current valuations (7.6x 2022E P/S) as attractive relative to its regional and global peers, given its robust revenue growth.
Where we differ
Sell-side research has been focused narrowly on margin compression and intensifying competition from other exchanges.  Our view is that focusing any discussion of licensed and regulatory compliant digital asset exchanges on commission and margin pressure is overly limiting. Instead, we urge equity investors to take a broader view. In other words, investing in pick and shovel plays will give investors exposure to the future potential of the digital asset phenomenon.

Corporate Access: BC Tech Group & Coinbase Coverage

Hong Kong

OSL Group is a Hong Kong-based investment holding company focused on digital assets and blockchain platforms. It offers brokerage, digital asset exchange, over-the-counter (OTC) trading, custody, and SaaS solutions, including products like OSL Global, OSL BizPay, and USDGO. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.

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OSL (863 HK)

CTS Global Digital Asset and Blockchain Equities Weekly (20/8)

CTS Research: BC Tech (863 HK) 1H21 strong rev| COIN new trading platfom in Japan; South Korea regulations; Eth 2.0 upgrade; OpenSea; Alibaba NFT

Quam Securities

BC Group (863 HK; BUY; TP:18.53)

Well-positioned in the digital asset sector, BC Technology Group (BCG) reported solid 1H21 revenue driven by solid trading income growth of its OSL...

Quam Securities

CTS Research: Digital Asset Thematic

Initiate COIN and BC Tech Group (863 HK) with Buy | Sign up for BC Tech Group NDR 20/8 | US infra bill passage; Poly Hack; Tencent NFT

Quam Securities

Corporate Access: BC Tech Group & Coinbase Coverage

We published a thematic sector report on Digital Asset Exchanges and initiated coverage on the Global Digital Exchange Sector with Buy ratings on...

Quam Securities

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