SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>REIT Watch - Singapore-based office S-Reits see growth in occupancy and rent reversions S-Reits with Singapore based office assets reported growth in rental reversions and improvements in occupancy rates.</li><li>Its Singapore offices recorded a 7.9 per cent growth in rent reversion in 9M 2022 while portfolio occupancy increased from 92.9 per cent in Q2 2022 to the current 96 per cent.</li></ul>

REIT Watch - Singapore-based office S-Reits see growth in occupancy and rent reversions S-Reits with Singapore based office assets reported growth in rental reversions and improvements in occupancy rates.Its Singapore offices recorded a 7.9 per cent growth in rent reversion in 9M 2022 while portfolio occupancy increased from 92.9 per cent in Q2 2022 to the current 96 per cent.

REIT Watch - Singapore-based office S-Reits see growth in occupancy and rent reversions

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oue-commercial-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:912" rel="noopener">OUE Commercial REIT (OUECT SP)</a> completed S$978m unsecured sustainability-linked loan refinancing</li><li>Telok Blangah House relaunched at a lower guided price of S$1,744psf</li><li>Shunwei Capital’s co-founder looks to acquire 999-year leasehold property in Bali Lane for S$23m; Samsung Hub strata office transacts at S$4,050psf</li></ul>

OUE Commercial REIT (OUECT SP) completed S$978m unsecured sustainability-linked loan refinancingTelok Blangah House relaunched at a lower guided price of S$1,744psfShunwei Capital’s co-founder looks to acquire 999-year leasehold property in Bali Lane for S$23m; Samsung Hub strata office transacts at S$4,050psf

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (18Aug22) - OUECT Secured Largest Sustainability-Linked Loan in SREIT to Date

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In June-July I warned of a reinvestment trade into S-REITs due to the S$2.0-3.0bn cash-out by investors in Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust and sellers into the SPHREIT Chain Offer.</li>
<li>Many investors who would need to re-allocate. The trade was to buy major S-REITs. From my last insight, a basket is up 5.3%. MCT has already topped out vs peers.</li>
<li>The question is.... is there still a trade left to run?</li>
</ul>


In June-July I warned of a reinvestment trade into S-REITs due to the S$2.0-3.0bn cash-out by investors in Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust and sellers into the SPHREIT Chain Offer.
Many investors who would need to re-allocate. The trade was to buy major S-REITs. From my last insight, a basket is up 5.3%. MCT has already topped out vs peers.
The question is.... is there still a trade left to run?


<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aims-amp-capital-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:933" rel="noopener">AIMS APAC REIT (AAREIT SP)</a> 1Q23 DPU +1.3% YoY; Robust occupancies and rental reversion continue to drive organic growth</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-industrial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40" rel="noopener">Mapletree Industrial Trust (MINT SP)</a> 1Q23 DPU +4.2% YoY; Flat quarterly performance despite occupancies trending up</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-dc-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:85" rel="noopener">Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP)</a> 2Q22 DPU +4.8% YoY; Robust occupancy, trading attractively at 5.3% FY23E yield</li></ul>

AIMS APAC REIT (AAREIT SP) 1Q23 DPU +1.3% YoY; Robust occupancies and rental reversion continue to drive organic growthMapletree Industrial Trust (MINT SP) 1Q23 DPU +4.2% YoY; Flat quarterly performance despite occupancies trending upKeppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP) 2Q22 DPU +4.8% YoY; Robust occupancy, trading attractively at 5.3% FY23E yield

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (26Jul22) - AAREIT Robust Operating Metrics

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Given recent corporate events in S-REIT land, there <em>could be</em> some considerable money to be allocated to the sector near-term</li>
<li>These flows come at a time when prices are down off highs and liquidity is low.</li>
<li>There could be some price impact on certain types of S-REITs near-term.</li>
</ul>


Given recent corporate events in S-REIT land, there could be some considerable money to be allocated to the sector near-term
These flows come at a time when prices are down off highs and liquidity is low.
There could be some price impact on certain types of S-REITs near-term.


Large Potential S-REIT Flows in the Next Two Weeks

Singapore

OUE Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust (“OUE C-REIT”) is one of the largest diversified Singapore REITs (“S-REITs”) with total assets of S$6.0 billion as at 31 December 2022. With seven properties across the commercial and hospitality segments in Singapore and Shanghai, the property portfolio comprises more than 2.1 million square feet of prime office and retail space, and 1,643 upper upscale hotel rooms.

OUE C-REIT invests in income-producing real estate used primarily for commercial purposes (including real estate used primarily for office and/or retail purposes) in financial and business hubs, hospitality and/or hospitality-related purposes, as well as real estate-related assets.

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OUE Commercial REIT (OUECT SP)

REIT Watch - Singapore-based office S-Reits see growth in occupancy and rent reversions

REIT Watch - Singapore-based office S-Reits see growth in occupancy and rent reversions S-Reits with Singapore based office assets reported growth...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (18Aug22) - OUECT Secured Largest Sustainability-Linked Loan in SREIT to Date

Telok Blangah House on market for S$92m; AME REIT to list on 20Sep22, ample gearing for acquisitions; Phils BSP hints further rate hikes

SCCM Asia Research

Update on the S-REIT Re-Allocation Trade

The S-REIT Re-Allocation Basket is +5.3%(TR) from close after I wrote (25 July) to yesterday. Not enough excess value has traded. Should it run?...

Travis Lundy

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (26Jul22) - AAREIT Robust Operating Metrics

MINT flat quarterly performance; KDCREIT trades attractively at 5.3% yield; CLCT expects retail recovery in 2H22; OUECT massive hotel turnaround;...

SCCM Asia Research

Large Potential S-REIT Flows in the Next Two Weeks

There may be a large inflow into S-REITs next week. It could range from 7-25 days of ADV or more for a large number of higher-yielding REITs and...

Travis Lundy

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