Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li> Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C: Target price of A$0.60 per share: Activity programme to unlock the value of the Montney – Calima will start the re-testing of two wells in the Montney in late January.</li><li>The Calima #2 test will further define the gas and condensate potential of the Middle Montney.</li><li>Decklar Resources (DKL CN)/San Leon Energy (SLE LN): Production update in Nigeria – Production from the Oza Oil Field has reached ~1,300 bbl/d.</li></ul>

 Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C: Target price of A$0.60 per share: Activity programme to unlock the value of the Montney – Calima will start the re-testing of two wells in the Montney in late January.The Calima #2 test will further define the gas and condensate potential of the Middle Montney.Decklar Resources (DKL CN)/San Leon Energy (SLE LN): Production update in Nigeria – Production from the Oza Oil Field has reached ~1,300 bbl/d.

<ul><li>Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C: Target price of A$0.60 per share: New wells deliver flow rates above expectations – The three new Sunburst wells (Gemini #10, #11 and #12) drilled in 4Q22 are now on production and on average are achieving IP30 rates 35% higher than forecast.</li><li>This compares with IP30 production of 120 boe/d gross for a type well.</li><li>Hurricane Energy (HUR LN): Operating update in the UK – Oil production from Lancaster in December was 7,951 bbl/d with 50% water cut.</li></ul>

Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C: Target price of A$0.60 per share: New wells deliver flow rates above expectations – The three new Sunburst wells (Gemini #10, #11 and #12) drilled in 4Q22 are now on production and on average are achieving IP30 rates 35% higher than forecast.This compares with IP30 production of 120 boe/d gross for a type well.Hurricane Energy (HUR LN): Operating update in the UK – Oil production from Lancaster in December was 7,951 bbl/d with 50% water cut.

<ul><li>Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; Target price of A$0.60 per share: Market cap paid back in 2 years, even after incorporating higher differentials - Four wells out of the five well 4Q22 programme have now been drilled with two wells already in production.</li><li>Gemini#10 is producing in line with the type curve (IP of 120 boe/d gross and 60 boe/d net to Calima 50% WI).</li><li>We have reduced our target price from C$0.70 to C$0.60 per share as we incorporate the impact of the higher differentials.</li></ul>

Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; Target price of A$0.60 per share: Market cap paid back in 2 years, even after incorporating higher differentials - Four wells out of the five well 4Q22 programme have now been drilled with two wells already in production.Gemini#10 is producing in line with the type curve (IP of 120 boe/d gross and 60 boe/d net to Calima 50% WI).We have reduced our target price from C$0.70 to C$0.60 per share as we incorporate the impact of the higher differentials.

<ul><li>Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK50 per share: Dry hole in South Africa – The Gazania- 1 well did not encounter hydrocarbons.</li><li>Panoro, Africa Energy (AFE CN/AEC SS) and Eco Atlantic (ECO LN/EOG CN) hold respectively 12.5%, 27.5% and 50% WI in the well.</li><li>Neptune Energy (EQNR NO): 3Q22 results – 3Q22 production was 133.7 mboe/d.</li></ul>

Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK50 per share: Dry hole in South Africa – The Gazania- 1 well did not encounter hydrocarbons.Panoro, Africa Energy (AFE CN/AEC SS) and Eco Atlantic (ECO LN/EOG CN) hold respectively 12.5%, 27.5% and 50% WI in the well.Neptune Energy (EQNR NO): 3Q22 results – 3Q22 production was 133.7 mboe/d.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>3Q23 production of ~10 mbbl/d and net cash at the end of September had been previously reported.</li>
<li>Production plateau of 40 mbbl/d was reiterated and could be reached by the end of 1Q24 in our estimation.</li>
<li>Shareholder distributions Panoro has declared a cash distribution of NOK40 mm for 3Q23 for a total payout of NOK140 mm since the 2023 shareholder returns policy was announced.</li>
</ul>


3Q23 production of ~10 mbbl/d and net cash at the end of September had been previously reported.
Production plateau of 40 mbbl/d was reiterated and could be reached by the end of 1Q24 in our estimation.
Shareholder distributions Panoro has declared a cash distribution of NOK40 mm for 3Q23 for a total payout of NOK140 mm since the 2023 shareholder returns policy was announced.


Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): 2024 shareholder distributions could represent a total yield of 12.5%-15.5%

Norway

Panoro Energy ASA explores for oil and natural gas in Brazil, Gabon, and Nigeria . The Company operates offshore in the Camamu-Almada and Santos basins.

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Panoro Energy ASA (PEN NO)

Auctus on Friday - 20/01/2023

Target price of A$0.60 per share: Activity programme to unlock the value of the Montney – Calima will start the re-testing of two wells in the...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 13/01/2023

Hurricane Energy (HUR LN): Operating update in the UK – Oil production from Lancaster in December was 7,951 bbl/d with 50% water cut.

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 25/11/2022

Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; Target price of A$0.60 per share: Market cap paid back in 2 years, even after incorporating higher differentials

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 18/11/2022

Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK50 per share: Dry hole in South Africa – The Gazania- 1 well did not encounter hydrocarbons.

Auctus Advisors

Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): 2024 shareholder distributions could represent a total yield of 12.5%-15.5%

3Q23 production of ~10 mbbl/d and net cash at the end of September had been previously reported. Production plateau of 40 mbbl/d was reiterated and...

Auctus Advisors

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