IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smartpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20456:1" rel="noopener">Smartpay Holdings (SPY NZ)</a> has entered a scheme implementation deed with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift4-payments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28965:1" rel="noopener">Shift4 Payments (FOUR US)</a> at NZ$1.20 (A$1.12), a 19.4% premium to the last close price of NZ$1.005.</li>
<li>The scheme is subject to shareholder and OIO approval. In the absence of a competing proposal, the offer is the best and final offer.   </li>
<li>Microequities has provided an irrevocable, and the other substantial shareholders should be supportive as the offer is attractive.</li>
</ul>



Smartpay Holdings (SPY NZ) has entered a scheme implementation deed with Shift4 Payments (FOUR US) at NZ$1.20 (A$1.12), a 19.4% premium to the last close price of NZ$1.005.
The scheme is subject to shareholder and OIO approval. In the absence of a competing proposal, the offer is the best and final offer.   
Microequities has provided an irrevocable, and the other substantial shareholders should be supportive as the offer is attractive.


Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU): Shift4’s Binding Proposal at NZ$1.20

<ul>
<li>On 2 May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smartpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20456:1" rel="noopener">Smartpay Holdings (SPY NZ)</a> disclosed receiving a third non-binding scheme proposal from another international strategic at NZ$1.20 (A$1.12), 20% premium to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a> offer.</li>
<li>Smartpay previously disclosed a NZ$1.00 cash/scrip bid from Tyro and an undisclosed offer from an international strategic (rumoured to be <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift4-payments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28965:1" rel="noopener">Shift4 Payments (FOUR US)</a>). </li>
<li>Smartpay was susceptible to bids due to the RBA’s surcharge review, but the shareholder structure necessitates an attractive offer. The NZ$1.20 offer is attractive.</li>
</ul>


On 2 May, Smartpay Holdings (SPY NZ) disclosed receiving a third non-binding scheme proposal from another international strategic at NZ$1.20 (A$1.12), 20% premium to the Tyro Payments (TYR AU) offer.
Smartpay previously disclosed a NZ$1.00 cash/scrip bid from Tyro and an undisclosed offer from an international strategic (rumoured to be Shift4 Payments (FOUR US)). 
Smartpay was susceptible to bids due to the RBA’s surcharge review, but the shareholder structure necessitates an attractive offer. The NZ$1.20 offer is attractive.


Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU): Three Is No Crowd as a Third Bid Lands at NZ$1.20

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Chinese Real Estate prices have been the major driver of the Chinese stock market slump, but the fall seemed to stop. </li>
<li>Recently sworn-in President Trump is no longer considered an enemy of China, and his tariff punishment will no longer be across the board but more selective. </li>
<li>A few stocks in Hong Kong listing that trade at lower PE multiples to the dividend yield, indicating the undemanding valuation to obtain yield. </li>
</ul>


Chinese Real Estate prices have been the major driver of the Chinese stock market slump, but the fall seemed to stop. 
Recently sworn-in President Trump is no longer considered an enemy of China, and his tariff punishment will no longer be across the board but more selective. 
A few stocks in Hong Kong listing that trade at lower PE multiples to the dividend yield, indicating the undemanding valuation to obtain yield. 


Research from Quam Securities, Quam Securities

Quam Securities Research

Research from Quam Securities

Quam Securities

Since its inception in 1986, Quam Securities Limited (Quam Securities) has grown to become one of the few mid-tier securities brokerages in Hong Kong with global execution capabilities for both private and institutional clients. It boasts a well-established network in Greater China including Taiwan and in major world markets through the Global Alliance Partners (GAP). Quam Securities is well-positioned not only to harness and drive business within the China Tonghai International Financial Limited but also between China and the world markets.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>PAX Global (“PAX”) posted a reasonable set of 1H23 results with net profit decreased by 7.0% y/y to HK$650.6mn, in-line with our forecast.</li><li>Its revenue decreased by 14.7% y/y to HK$3.6bn, as the slowing global economic growth and high interest rates have resulted in more conservative terminal deployment plans among customers.</li><li>An interim DPS of 21 HK cents was declared (1H22: 17 HK cents), translating into a payout ratio of 34.8% (1H22: 26.3%). </li></ul></div></div></div></div>

PAX Global (“PAX”) posted a reasonable set of 1H23 results with net profit decreased by 7.0% y/y to HK$650.6mn, in-line with our forecast.Its revenue decreased by 14.7% y/y to HK$3.6bn, as the slowing global economic growth and high interest rates have resulted in more conservative terminal deployment plans among customers.An interim DPS of 21 HK cents was declared (1H22: 17 HK cents), translating into a payout ratio of 34.8% (1H22: 26.3%). 

PAX Global (327 HK) - 1H23 Payout Ratio Increased to 35%

<ul><li>PAX Global (“PAX”) posted a satisfactory set of 2022 results with net profit increased by 16.7% y/y to HK$1.3bn, in-line with our forecast.</li><li>Its total revenue increased by 12.0% y/y to HK$8.1bn, driven by the strong performance in EMEA (+41.5% y/y) and USCA (+35.4% y/y).</li><li>A final dividend of 19 HK cents was declared, combining with the interim payout, full-year dividend stood at 36 HK cents (2022: 27 HK cents), translating into 30.8% payout ratio.</li></ul>

PAX Global (“PAX”) posted a satisfactory set of 2022 results with net profit increased by 16.7% y/y to HK$1.3bn, in-line with our forecast.Its total revenue increased by 12.0% y/y to HK$8.1bn, driven by the strong performance in EMEA (+41.5% y/y) and USCA (+35.4% y/y).A final dividend of 19 HK cents was declared, combining with the interim payout, full-year dividend stood at 36 HK cents (2022: 27 HK cents), translating into 30.8% payout ratio.

PAX Global (327 HK) - 2022 Results In-Line; Payout Ratio Increased

Hong Kong

PAX Global Technology Ltd. is an electronic fund transfer point-of-sale (EFT-POS) terminal solutions provider. The Company principally engaged in the development and sale of EFT-POS products and provision of related services. PAX develop and sells countertop and mobile EFT-POS terminals which are able to process a wide range of electronic payment types.

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Pax Global Technology (327 HK)

Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU): Shift4’s Binding Proposal at NZ$1.20

Microequities has provided an irrevocable, and the other substantial shareholders should be supportive as the offer is attractive.

Arun George

Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU): Three Is No Crowd as a Third Bid Lands at NZ$1.20

Due to the RBA’s surcharge review, Smartpay was susceptible to bids. Three bidders increase the odds of one converting to a binding proposal.

Arun George

China: Revival 2.0?

Chinese real estate prices impact stock market, Trump's tariff approach to China changes, undervalued stocks in Hong Kong offer high yield potential.

Henry Soediarko

PAX Global (327 HK) - 1H23 Payout Ratio Increased to 35%

PAX Global (“PAX”) posted a reasonable set of 1H23 results with net profit decreased by 7.0% y/y to HK$650.6mn, in-line with our forecast.

Quam Securities

PAX Global (327 HK) - 2022 Results In-Line; Payout Ratio Increased

PAX Global (“PAX”) posted a satisfactory set of 2022 results with net profit increased by 16.7% y/y to HK$1.3bn, in-line with our forecast.

Quam Securities

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU): Shift4’s Binding Proposal at NZ$1.20

Microequities has provided an irrevocable, and the other substantial shareholders should be supportive as the offer is attractive.

Arun George

Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU): Three Is No Crowd as a Third Bid Lands at NZ$1.20

Due to the RBA’s surcharge review, Smartpay was susceptible to bids. Three bidders increase the odds of one converting to a binding proposal.

Arun George

China: Revival 2.0?

​Chinese real estate prices impact stock market, Trump's tariff approach to China changes, undervalued stocks in Hong Kong offer high yield potential.

Henry Soediarko

PAX Global (327 HK) - 1H23 Payout Ratio Increased to 35%

PAX Global (“PAX”) posted a reasonable set of 1H23 results with net profit decreased by 7.0% y/y to HK$650.6mn, in-line with our forecast.

Quam Securities

PAX Global (327 HK) - 2022 Results In-Line; Payout Ratio Increased

PAX Global (“PAX”) posted a satisfactory set of 2022 results with net profit increased by 16.7% y/y to HK$1.3bn, in-line with our forecast.

Quam Securities

Chinese real estate prices impact stock market, Trump's tariff approach to China changes, undervalued stocks in Hong Kong offer high yield potential.