TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Elliott Management has bought a $2B stake in PayPal and seeks cost cutting measures.</li>
<li>PayPal has started to take action through cost cutting, a new buyback, new organizational measures, and increased focus on revenue strategy.</li>
<li>The wild card that would get us more bullish is Elliott forcing a merger with Pinterest, which would yield a readymade Dan Schulman replacement in Bill Ready.</li>
</ul>


Elliott Management has bought a $2B stake in PayPal and seeks cost cutting measures.
PayPal has started to take action through cost cutting, a new buyback, new organizational measures, and increased focus on revenue strategy.
The wild card that would get us more bullish is Elliott forcing a merger with Pinterest, which would yield a readymade Dan Schulman replacement in Bill Ready.


PayPal: Elliott Sees Opportunity, So Do We

<ul>
<li>Pinterest co-founder/CEO Ben Silbermann is replaced by Google exec Bill Ready.</li>
<li>Ready is a payments industry veteran and is perfectly suited to drive commerce adoption at Pinterest. </li>
<li>Unique pay package incentivizes Ready to succesfully pivot the business. </li>
</ul>


Pinterest co-founder/CEO Ben Silbermann is replaced by Google exec Bill Ready.
Ready is a payments industry veteran and is perfectly suited to drive commerce adoption at Pinterest. 
Unique pay package incentivizes Ready to succesfully pivot the business. 


Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay, Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay

Quantitative fund & research firm with a qualitative overlay. 

Our coverage: General U.S. with a skew towards the primary sector. 

Methods: Smart Beta/Factor Pricing, Neural Networks, Street Gossip, and Common Sense.

<ul>
<li>Business unit growth is slowing down after two years of exponential transaction growth.</li>
<li>High-yield debt is in bad shape considering the economy, according to a quantitative risk analysis.</li>
<li>PayPal owns a few promising subsidiaries. Yet, it could be a while before they provide significant value, says analyst.</li>
</ul>


Business unit growth is slowing down after two years of exponential transaction growth.
High-yield debt is in bad shape considering the economy, according to a quantitative risk analysis.
PayPal owns a few promising subsidiaries. Yet, it could be a while before they provide significant value, says analyst.


PayPal Stock: Be Careful Of Looking At Price In Isolation

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Net Protections Holdings, a buy now pay later service provider, raised around US$570m via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Japan IPO in Dec 2021.</li>
<li>As per Yano Research, it had 40% market share in the domestic BNPL market for B2C transactions.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry on 12th Jun 2022.</li>
</ul>


Net Protections Holdings, a buy now pay later service provider, raised around US$570m via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Japan IPO in Dec 2021.
As per Yano Research, it had 40% market share in the domestic BNPL market for B2C transactions.
In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry on 12th Jun 2022.


Net Protections Holding IPO Lock-Up - Small Expiry Now, Before 20% Is Released Later in the Year

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

<ul>
<li>During the #1 product and growth conference Amplify 2022 in Las Vegas, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amplitude-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34148:1" rel="noopener">Amplitude (AMPL US)</a>  introduced the Customer Data Platform (CDP) with integrated product analytics.  </li>
<li>The company expanded partner integration with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/snowflake-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29254:1" rel="noopener">Snowflake Inc (SNOW US)</a>  to improve data connectivity while Amplitude Experiment sees strong traction with customers. </li>
<li>With shares down ~65% YTD, Amplitude has underperformed the Nasdaq Composite (-23%). Our PT is $28.00, implying ~14x EV/2022E revenue and ~10x EV/2023E revenue. </li>
</ul>


During the #1 product and growth conference Amplify 2022 in Las Vegas, Amplitude (AMPL US)  introduced the Customer Data Platform (CDP) with integrated product analytics.  
The company expanded partner integration with Snowflake Inc (SNOW US)  to improve data connectivity while Amplitude Experiment sees strong traction with customers. 
With shares down ~65% YTD, Amplitude has underperformed the Nasdaq Composite (-23%). Our PT is $28.00, implying ~14x EV/2022E revenue and ~10x EV/2023E revenue. 


Amplitude: Valuations Look Attractive and Growth Catalysts May Materialize in CY22

United States

PayPal Holdings, Inc. operates as a technology platform company that enables digital and mobile payments on behalf of consumers and merchants. The Company offers online payment solutions. PayPal Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Paypal Holdings (PYPL US)

PayPal: Elliott Sees Opportunity, So Do We

We think Elliott's stake in PayPal and management's 4 pronged plan announced on last week's earnings has put the floor in on PYPL. Trading at an...

Aaron Gabin

Pinterest "Ready" For Commerce

We think Pinterest's hiring of Google Exec Bill Ready is an excellent choice. He scaled Braintree and Venmo and has run Google's commerce...he...

Aaron Gabin

PayPal Stock: Be Careful Of Looking At Price In Isolation

Business unit growth is slowing down after two years of exponential transaction growth. High-yield debt is in bad shape considering the economy,...

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Net Protections Holding IPO Lock-Up - Small Expiry Now, Before 20% Is Released Later in the Year

Net Protections Holdings, a buy now pay later service provider, raised around US$570m in its Japan IPO in Dec 2021. The lockup on one set of...

Sumeet Singh

Amplitude: Valuations Look Attractive and Growth Catalysts May Materialize in CY22

Amplitude remains well-positioned as one of the leaders in product analytics with an opportunity to convert more GA enterprise customers to...

Andrei Zakharov

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