Value Investing

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Keurig Dr Pepper share price has been under pressure over the recent months due to higher than expected drop in profitability.</li>
<li>Beverage segments, however, continue to perform well and would most likely offset weaknesses in coffee.</li>
<li>Investors should not expect a quick rebound in the company's free cash flow.</li>
</ul>


Keurig Dr Pepper share price has been under pressure over the recent months due to higher than expected drop in profitability.
Beverage segments, however, continue to perform well and would most likely offset weaknesses in coffee.
Investors should not expect a quick rebound in the company's free cash flow.


Keurig Dr Pepper: The Recent Share Price Drop Might Not Last For Long

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

Weilong Delicious / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weilong-delicious-global-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33378:1" rel="noopener">Weilong Delicious Global (9985 HK)</a> has priced its IPO at HK$10.56 per share, slightly above the bottom of the IPO price range of HK$10.4-11.4 per share.</li>
<li>The company's HK offering was oversubscribed by 10.53x while the international offering was oversubscribed by 2.6x.</li>
<li>Even at the above price, Weilong’s IPO is still at a significant premium to domestic as well as international peers.</li>
</ul>



Weilong Delicious Global (9985 HK) has priced its IPO at HK$10.56 per share, slightly above the bottom of the IPO price range of HK$10.4-11.4 per share.
The company's HK offering was oversubscribed by 10.53x while the international offering was oversubscribed by 2.6x.
Even at the above price, Weilong’s IPO is still at a significant premium to domestic as well as international peers.


Weilong Delicious IPO: Thoughts on First Day Trading

<ul>
<li>Weilong Delicious has downsized its IPO to raise around HK$942m (US$121.3m). The company also has the flexibility to set its IPO price at a 10% discount to the bottom.</li>
<li>The company’s top line growth has slowed down in 1H2022 and margins have been under pressure with increased S&amp;M spending to further penetrate into online channels.</li>
<li>Weilong’s IPO is priced at a significant premium to domestic as well as multinational peers which do not justify the growth prospects.</li>
</ul>


Weilong Delicious has downsized its IPO to raise around HK$942m (US$121.3m). The company also has the flexibility to set its IPO price at a 10% discount to the bottom.
The company’s top line growth has slowed down in 1H2022 and margins have been under pressure with increased S&amp;M spending to further penetrate into online channels.
Weilong’s IPO is priced at a significant premium to domestic as well as multinational peers which do not justify the growth prospects.


Weilong Delicious IPO: Peer Comparison and Valuation

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In Nov 2021, Sapphire Foods Limited (SFL), one of Yum Brand’s franchisees in the Indian subcontinent, raised around US$280m in its Indian IPO. </li>
<li>The lock-up on its shareholders will expire soon, with a number of PE funds on its register</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>


In Nov 2021, Sapphire Foods Limited (SFL), one of Yum Brand’s franchisees in the Indian subcontinent, raised around US$280m in its Indian IPO. 
The lock-up on its shareholders will expire soon, with a number of PE funds on its register
In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.


Sapphire Foods IPO - Smallish Stock with Big (US$550m) Multiple PE Lockup Expiry

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>PepsiCo reported a decent result in the quarter as the business momentum continued in spite of ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic volatility and greater levels of inflation over the markets.</li><li>The company delivered an all-aroubd beat driven by organic revenue growth of double digits in the quarter.</li><li>We provide the stock of PepsiCo with a ‘Hold’ rating with a revision in the target price.</li></ul>

PepsiCo reported a decent result in the quarter as the business momentum continued in spite of ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic volatility and greater levels of inflation over the markets.The company delivered an all-aroubd beat driven by organic revenue growth of double digits in the quarter.We provide the stock of PepsiCo with a ‘Hold’ rating with a revision in the target price.

PepsiCo Inc: Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (08/22)

United States

PepsiCo, Inc. operates worldwide beverage, snack and food businesses. The Company manufactures or uses contract manufacturers, markets and sells a variety of grain-based snacks, carbonated and non-carbonated beverages and foods in countries throughout the world.

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Pepsico Inc (PEP US)

Weilong Delicious IPO: Thoughts on First Day Trading

Weilong has set its final IPO price at HK$10.56 per share , which is close to the bottom end of the IPO price range. Still the company's IPO is...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Weilong Delicious IPO: Peer Comparison and Valuation

Weilong's IPO is now downsized to US$121.3m from US$500m earlier. The company's IPO is priced at a huge premium to domestic as well as...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Sapphire Foods IPO - Smallish Stock with Big (US$550m) Multiple PE Lockup Expiry

In Nov 2021, Sapphire Foods Limited, one of Yum Brand’s franchisees in the Indian subcontinent, raised around US$280m in its Indian IPO. In this...

Sumeet Singh

PepsiCo Inc: Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (08/22)

PepsiCo reported a decent result in the quarter as the business momentum continued in spite of ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic volatility...

Baptista Research

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