IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Thai Life Insurance  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>On the ECM front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)</a> will start trading on 25 July, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-fih" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36101:1" rel="noopener">Bharat FIH (BFIH IN)</a> aims to launch an August IPO to raise US$625 million.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments at DTAC/True, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suncorp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4218:1" rel="noopener">Suncorp (SUN AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwa-hong-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6648:1" rel="noopener">Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/excelpoint-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1774:1" rel="noopener">Excelpoint Technology (EXLP SP)</a>, Cocoaland.   </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
On the ECM front, Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB) will start trading on 25 July, Bharat FIH (BFIH IN) aims to launch an August IPO to raise US$625 million.
Event-Driven developments at DTAC/True, Link Administration (LNK AU), Pendal Group (PDL AU), Tassal (TGR AU), Suncorp (SUN AU), Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP), Excelpoint Technology (EXLP SP), Cocoaland.   


Weekly Deals Digest (24 Jul): Thai Life, Bharat FIH, Link, DTAC/True, Pendal, Tassal, Ramsay, AOF

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>'s bidder list is out. It is Bain, Brookfield, JIP-JIC, and CVC. Overall, the impression of this pool of candidates is negative</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> is trading cheap at a look-through forward P/B of 0.26x compared to its five-year average of 0.38x, and the two-year average pre-Covid of 0.48x. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soho-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4123:1" rel="noopener">Soho China (410 HK)</a>'s name was toxic after SAMR dinged Blackstone's deal. It is no less toxic now. Arguably the upside is greater than the downside. But on what timeframe?</li>
</ul>



Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)'s bidder list is out. It is Bain, Brookfield, JIP-JIC, and CVC. Overall, the impression of this pool of candidates is negative

Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) is trading cheap at a look-through forward P/B of 0.26x compared to its five-year average of 0.38x, and the two-year average pre-Covid of 0.48x. 

Soho China (410 HK)'s name was toxic after SAMR dinged Blackstone's deal. It is no less toxic now. Arguably the upside is greater than the downside. But on what timeframe?


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Swire, SOHO, Link Admin, DIDI Global, 51job

<ul>
<li>There are 43 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>I see no new transactions were discussed this week on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/excelpoint-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1774:1" rel="noopener">Excelpoint Technology (EXLP SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cocoaland-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:493:1" rel="noopener">Cocoaland Holdings (COLA MK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 43 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
I see no new transactions were discussed this week on Smartkarma.
Key updates took place for: Pendal Group (PDL AU),Link Administration (LNK AU), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), Excelpoint Technology (EXLP SP), and Cocoaland Holdings (COLA MK).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Pendal, Link Ad, Toshiba, Excelpoint, Cocoaland, True/DTAC

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> has entered a revised scheme implementation deed with Dye&amp;Durham/DND at A$4.81 per share. The scheme meeting will be held in mid-August.</li>
<li>Shareholders will be supportive due to deal fatigue, and the offer price is 11% above the undisturbed price and at the low end of the original IE valuation range.</li>
<li>Regulatory approvals are a key risk. DND is presumably confident in its undertakings to gain ACCC approval. At last close, the gross spread is 7.8%.</li>
</ul>



Link Administration (LNK AU) has entered a revised scheme implementation deed with Dye&amp;Durham/DND at A$4.81 per share. The scheme meeting will be held in mid-August.
Shareholders will be supportive due to deal fatigue, and the offer price is 11% above the undisturbed price and at the low end of the original IE valuation range.
Regulatory approvals are a key risk. DND is presumably confident in its undertakings to gain ACCC approval. At last close, the gross spread is 7.8%.


<ul>
<li>Back on the 4 April, asset manager <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a> announced a non-binding proposal from investment firm <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</a>.</li>
<li>As widely expected, Pendal's board unanimously determined that the indicative cash/scrip Offer significantly undervalued the current and future value of the company.</li>
<li>Pendal said yesterday that it is still in discussions with Perpetual regarding a potential transition.  Using yesterday's close, and applying the same terms, backs out an indicative price of A$5.67/share. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 4 April, asset manager Pendal Group (PDL AU) announced a non-binding proposal from investment firm Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU).
As widely expected, Pendal's board unanimously determined that the indicative cash/scrip Offer significantly undervalued the current and future value of the company.
Pendal said yesterday that it is still in discussions with Perpetual regarding a potential transition.  Using yesterday's close, and applying the same terms, backs out an indicative price of A$5.67/share. 


Australia

Perpetual Limited is a financial services company that has two primary activities, wealth management services and corporate trust services. The Company provides funds management, responsible entity services, trustee services, executor services, financial planning, investment administration, superannuation, custody and registry services.

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Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)

Weekly Deals Digest (24 Jul): Thai Life, Bharat FIH, Link, DTAC/True, Pendal, Tassal, Ramsay, AOF

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Link Admin, Suncorp, Pendal, Tassal, AOF, DTAC/True, Excelpoint, Hwa Hong, Cocoaland) and...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Swire, SOHO, Link Admin, DIDI Global, 51job

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Pendal, Link Ad, Toshiba, Excelpoint, Cocoaland, True/DTAC

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Link and DND Shake Hands at A$4.81

Shareholders will be supportive of the A$4.81 offer. Regulatory approvals are the key risk. At the last close, the gross spread to the offer is 7.8%.

Arun George

Perpetual Needs To Pay Up For Pendal

Go long Pendal, and short Perpetual. Perpetual is keen, but probably needs to pay upwards of $6/share to get board support.

David Blennerhassett

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