Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We see global equities (MSCI ACWI) going through a pause/pullback amid short-term breakouts in the U.S. dollar (DXY) and global sovereign 10-year yields.</li>
<li>A rising DXY and climbing yields is a near-term headwind, and we could continue to see more choppy price action in the weeks ahead.</li>
<li>With that said, as long as the DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and ACWI-US is above $98, we would view pullbacks as buying opportunities.</li>
</ul>


We see global equities (MSCI ACWI) going through a pause/pullback amid short-term breakouts in the U.S. dollar (DXY) and global sovereign 10-year yields.
A rising DXY and climbing yields is a near-term headwind, and we could continue to see more choppy price action in the weeks ahead.
With that said, as long as the DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and ACWI-US is above $98, we would view pullbacks as buying opportunities.


Pause/Pullback Underway; Downgrading Europe and Mexico; Buys in Services, Tech, Comm, Healthcare

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>NEW YEAR PICKS 2024: We are thrilled to announce that we have released the report – NEW YEAR PICKS 2024: New Year, New Horizons, which contains deeply-researched 9 stocks that are best-placed to deliver excellent performance in 2024.</li><li>We strongly urge you to refer to the report here and fortify your investment endeavours further.</li><li>Pick of the Week (PoW): POW calls delivered an astounding monthly strike rate of 88% in Dec’23.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NEW YEAR PICKS 2024: We are thrilled to announce that we have released the report – NEW YEAR PICKS 2024: New Year, New Horizons, which contains deeply-researched 9 stocks that are best-placed to deliver excellent performance in 2024.We strongly urge you to refer to the report here and fortify your investment endeavours further.Pick of the Week (PoW): POW calls delivered an astounding monthly strike rate of 88% in Dec’23.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Research Scorecard Report for Dec 2023

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Persistent Systems (PSYS) is poised to sustain its outperformance with continued growth and margin improvement in the medium term</li><li>Key positives include (1) a strong pedigree in product engineering services that drives leadership in new spend areas, (2) consistency in deal velocity and growth drivers from large clients, (3) notable market-share gains against tier-1 competitors in several large deals, (4) recent additions to senior management aimed at enhancing business scalability, (5) margin drivers from utilisation, fixed price deals, and diversification in the offshore cost base.</li><li>We maintain BUY on PSYS (our preferred pick) with a target price of INR 8,530, based on a 35x FY26E valuation supported by a 28% EPS CAGR over FY24-26E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Persistent Systems (PSYS) is poised to sustain its outperformance with continued growth and margin improvement in the medium termKey positives include (1) a strong pedigree in product engineering services that drives leadership in new spend areas, (2) consistency in deal velocity and growth drivers from large clients, (3) notable market-share gains against tier-1 competitors in several large deals, (4) recent additions to senior management aimed at enhancing business scalability, (5) margin drivers from utilisation, fixed price deals, and diversification in the offshore cost base.We maintain BUY on PSYS (our preferred pick) with a target price of INR 8,530, based on a 35x FY26E valuation supported by a 28% EPS CAGR over FY24-26E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Persistent Systems: Outperformance to Continue. Maintain BUY

Persistent Systems - Outperformance to Continue. Maintain BUY

<ul><li>Accenture’s reported Q1FY24 results stood below street expectations on all financial and operational terms.</li><li>Revenue for the quarter stood at $16.04 Bn, registering a growth of 1% in local currency YoY and 3% in US$ terms.</li><li>It registered GAAP EPS of $3.1 for the quarter while adjusted EPS stood at $3.27, reporting 6% YoY growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Accenture’s reported Q1FY24 results stood below street expectations on all financial and operational terms.Revenue for the quarter stood at $16.04 Bn, registering a growth of 1% in local currency YoY and 3% in US$ terms.It registered GAAP EPS of $3.1 for the quarter while adjusted EPS stood at $3.27, reporting 6% YoY growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sector Update: Accenture Q1FY24 Result Update

India

Persistent Systems Limited offers outsourced software product development. The Company offer services that include testing, support, and professional services.

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Persistent Systems (PSYS IN)

Pause/Pullback Underway; Downgrading Europe and Mexico; Buys in Services, Tech, Comm, Healthcare

Pause/pullback underway in $ACWI, but as long as the $DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and $ACWI is above...

Vermilion Research

Axis Research Scorecard Report for Dec 2023

NEW YEAR PICKS 2024: New Year, New Horizons, which contains deeply-researched 9 stocks that are best-placed to deliver excellent performance in 2024.

Axis Direct

Persistent Systems: Outperformance to Continue. Maintain BUY

We maintain BUY on PSYS (our preferred pick) with a target price of INR 8,530, based on a 35x FY26E valuation supported by a 28% EPS CAGR over FY24...

HDFC Securities

Persistent Systems - Outperformance to Continue. Maintain BUY

ersistent Systems (PSYS) is poised to sustain its outperformance with continued growth and margin improvement in the medium term

HDFC Securities

Sector Update: Accenture Q1FY24 Result Update

We believe strong investments in Digital Technologies, Cloud Transformation,Generative AI, and Machine Learning across verticals will support the...

Axis Direct

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