Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Asia’s heavy-grade base oils prices stay high versus feedstock/competing fuel prices.</li><li>High margins point to tight supply-demand fundamentals, incentivizing refiners to maintain or raise output.</li><li>Light-grade base oils prices stay low vs feedstock/competing fuel prices, cutting incentive for refiners to raise output.</li></ul>

Asia’s heavy-grade base oils prices stay high versus feedstock/competing fuel prices.High margins point to tight supply-demand fundamentals, incentivizing refiners to maintain or raise output.Light-grade base oils prices stay low vs feedstock/competing fuel prices, cutting incentive for refiners to raise output.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 24 March

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand could hold steady even with high heavy-grade prices and seasonal slowdown in consumption at start of Q2 2025.</li><li>Asia’s lube demand likely to peak in month of March, before holding at lower levels over following months.</li><li>Lube demand in Q2 2025 likely to remain well above levels in Q1 2025 even with slowdown at start of Q2 2025.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand could hold steady even with high heavy-grade prices and seasonal slowdown in consumption at start of Q2 2025.Asia’s lube demand likely to peak in month of March, before holding at lower levels over following months.Lube demand in Q2 2025 likely to remain well above levels in Q1 2025 even with slowdown at start of Q2 2025.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 24 March

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

China Construction Bank H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong earnings season enters its final week with at least 17 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index</a> companies reporting their 2024 results and announcing dividends.</li>
<li>The proportion of companies reporting in the coming week and the week after is significant at an index level, with notable weightings in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HS TECH </a>indices.</li>
<li>Opportunities to profit from price movement around earnings are manifold and include event-focused trading, statistical arbitrage, hedging, and capitalizing on changes in dividends and implied volatility.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong earnings season enters its final week with at least 17 Hang Seng Index companies reporting their 2024 results and announcing dividends.
The proportion of companies reporting in the coming week and the week after is significant at an index level, with notable weightings in the HSI, HSCEI, and HS TECH indices.
Opportunities to profit from price movement around earnings are manifold and include event-focused trading, statistical arbitrage, hedging, and capitalizing on changes in dividends and implied volatility.


Hong Kong Earnings in the Week Commencing March 24

<ul><li>Global base oils values rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices.</li><li>Firmer base oils values contrast with lower gasoil premium to crude oil, magnifying impact of rising base oils premium.</li><li>Rising base oils premium points to firm supply-demand fundamentals, especially in Europe and Asia.</li></ul>

Global base oils values rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices.Firmer base oils values contrast with lower gasoil premium to crude oil, magnifying impact of rising base oils premium.Rising base oils premium points to firm supply-demand fundamentals, especially in Europe and Asia.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 17 March

<ul><li>US Group II base oils export prices mostly stay in narrow range vs vacuum gasoil so far this year.</li><li>US’ steady price premium contrasts with strong rise in Asia Group II base oils export price premium to Singapore gasoil prices so far this year.</li><li>US Group I brightstock price rises vs vacuum gasoil so far this year.</li></ul>

US Group II base oils export prices mostly stay in narrow range vs vacuum gasoil so far this year.US’ steady price premium contrasts with strong rise in Asia Group II base oils export price premium to Singapore gasoil prices so far this year.US Group I brightstock price rises vs vacuum gasoil so far this year.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 17 March

China

PetroChina Company Limited explores, develops, and produces crude oil and natural gas.  The Company also refines, transports, and distributes crude oil and petroleum products, produces and sells chemicals, and transmits, markets and sells natural gas.

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PetroChina (857 HK)

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 24 March

Asia’s heavy-grade base oils prices stay high versus feedstock/competing fuel prices. High margins point to tight supply-demand fundamentals,...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 24 March

Asia’s base oils demand could hold steady even with high heavy-grade prices and seasonal slowdown in consumption at start of Q2 2025. Asia’s lube...

Base Oil News

Hong Kong Earnings in the Week Commencing March 24

The Hong Kong earnings season wraps up with 17 Hang Seng Index companies reporting 2024 results and dividends, offering various profit...

Gaudenz Schneider

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 17 March

Global base oils values rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices. Firmer base oils values contrast with lower gasoil premium to crude oil,...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 17 March

US Group II base oils export prices mostly stay in narrow range vs vacuum gasoil so far this year. US’ steady price premium contrasts with strong...

Base Oil News

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 24 March

Asia’s heavy-grade base oils prices stay high versus feedstock/competing fuel prices. High margins point to tight supply-demand fundamentals,...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 24 March

Asia’s base oils demand could hold steady even with high heavy-grade prices and seasonal slowdown in consumption at start of Q2 2025. Asia’s lube...

Base Oil News

Hong Kong Earnings in the Week Commencing March 24

​The Hong Kong earnings season wraps up with 17 Hang Seng Index companies reporting 2024 results and dividends, offering various profit...

Gaudenz Schneider

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 17 March

Global base oils values rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices. Firmer base oils values contrast with lower gasoil premium to crude oil,...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 17 March

US Group II base oils export prices mostly stay in narrow range vs vacuum gasoil so far this year. US’ steady price premium contrasts with strong...

Base Oil News

The Hong Kong earnings season wraps up with 17 Hang Seng Index companies reporting 2024 results and dividends, offering various profit...